Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $34.1204 (-1.74%) ($34.0520 - $34.7218) on Mon. Sep. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.66% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $34.1204(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.33% (StdDev 2.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.39(-19.73%)
Resistance Level   $35.65
5 Day Moving Average   $34.3(-0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.8(-1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.65(-4.29%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   38.6%
Market Cap   $17.352b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 2.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2016	32.79	35.65	34.8	34.3	34.3	34.43	34.12(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	30	-4	-99	7.35	78%	0.06	-28.4	2.66%	0	-1.2	40	0
2	Sep_23_2016	32.77	35.73	35.12	34.4	34.38	34.5	34.73(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	5	-74	4.6	66%	0.09	-28.5	3%	0	-0.8	46	0
3	Sep_22_2016	32.74	35.79	35.38	34.38	34.45	34.17	34.43(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-50	-7	-70	7.44	66%	0.06	-29.3	3%	0	-1.1	47	0
4	Sep_21_2016	32.72	35.87	35.77	34.61	34.6	34.26	33.87(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-70	-18	-54	10.41	66%	0.03	-25.4	2.99%	0	-1.7	43	0
5	Sep_20_2016	32.71	35.96	36.17	34.95	35	34.73	34.34(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-50	-15	-35	6.67	66%	0	-20.5	2.99%	0	-1.5	41	0

6	Sep_19_2016	32.71	36.02	36.37	35.38	35.3	34.94	34.62(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-80	-21	-21	5.42	66%	0.03	-9.2	2.99%	0	-1.4	49	0
7	Sep_16_2016	32.7	36.08	36.51	35.95	35.82	35.26	34.67(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-120	-22	-3	10.72	62%	0	13.2	2.99%	0	-1.4	49	0
8	Sep_15_2016	32.7	36.15	36.61	36.53	36.24	35.66	35.57(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-140	-28	10	7.81	62%	0	40.5	3.02%	0	-0.6	50	0
9	Sep_14_2016	32.7	36.16	36.63	37.11	36.84	36.37	35.55(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-8	-110	-21	30	8.09	58%	0	70.9	3.02%	0	-0.7	50	0
10	Sep_13_2016	32.7	36.18	36.71	37.57	37.39	36.82	36.5(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-120	-8	53	9.33	55%	0	98	3.06%	0	0.4	58	0

11	Sep_12_2016	32.7	36.11	36.61	37.49	37.52	37.31	37.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-40	-2	55	11.96	55%	0.03	101.2	3.09%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Sep_9_2016	32.69	35.95	36.4	37.13	37.29	37.96	37.6(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	140	17	51	8.62	57%	-0.06	89.4	3.09%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Sep_8_2016	32.71	35.78	36.22	36.7	36.69	37.74	38.44(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	200	35	46	7.1	57%	-0.03	84.9	3.09%	0	2.7	67	0
14	Sep_7_2016	32.72	35.52	35.93	36.1	36.05	36.62	37.85(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	26	110	26	26	13.77	58%	-0.09	78.6	3.09%	0	2.6	65	0
15	Sep_6_2016	32.75	35.31	35.68	35.77	35.61	35.65	36.1(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10	7	7	5.5	56%	-0.3	85.3	3.06%	0	1	51	0

16	Sep_2_2016	32.85	35.19	35.59	35.61	35.51	35.48	35.68(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10	0	-0	5.43	54%	-0.15	64.4	3.06%	0	0.6	58	0
17	Sep_1_2016	32.9	35.09	35.58	35.55	35.48	35.56	35.4(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	10	-2	4	6.94	54%	-0.09	52.1	3.06%	0	0.3	64	0
18	Aug_31_2016	32.93	34.97	35.62	35.65	35.51	35.54	35.46(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10	1	17	13.11	54%	-0.09	39.4	3.06%	0	0.4	65	0
19	Aug_30_2016	32.96	34.84	35.65	35.72	35.54	35.41	36.19(2.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	9	-40	1	32	14.51	54%	-0.03	28.6	3.05%	0	1.2	77	0
20	Aug_29_2016	32.97	34.67	35.62	35.59	35.59	35.47	35.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-20	-3	38	4.76	54%	-0.06	15.2	3.06%	0	0.6	67	0

21	Aug_26_2016	32.99	34.63	35.6	35.56	35.64	35.67	35.39(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	10	-1	46	6.26	53%	-0.06	13.7	3.06%	0	0.7	69	0
22	Aug_25_2016	33.01	34.58	35.48	35.61	35.57	35.71	35.87(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	2	53	5.45	53%	-0.06	11.8	3.07%	0	1.2	73	0
23	Aug_24_2016	33.03	34.55	35.32	35.6	35.54	35.61	35.8(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	10	3	61	5.95	53%	-0.06	17.6	3.07%	0	1.2	78	0
24	Aug_23_2016	33.05	34.51	35.09	35.59	35.52	35.44	35.56(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-20	-2	64	5.4	53%	-0.09	18.7	3.07%	0	1	77	0
25	Aug_22_2016	33.08	34.5	34.92	35.66	35.56	35.46	35.17(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-30	-2	75	5.19	53%		23.4	3.07%	0	0.6	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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