Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $28.9348 (1.26%) ($28.8666 - $29.5971) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $28.9348(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.83(-21.1%)
Resistance Level   $30.6
5 Day Moving Average   $29.03(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.33(-4.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.6(-5.44%)
To recent high   -31.5%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $14.715b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.28%(71%) Average negative next day return: -2.56%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.55%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.92%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.66%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.94%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2016	36.03	30.6	30.33	29.03	29.02	28.77	28.93(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-13	-96	8.36	21%	-0.25	-57.7	1.98%	0	-1.5	39	0
2	Jun_17_2016	36.12	30.71	30.5	29.44	29.31	28.56	28.57(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-190	-53	-94	15.3	24%	-0.25	-49	2.02%	0	-2.1	39	0
3	Jun_16_2016	36.21	30.86	30.67	30.18	30.07	29.27	28.38(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-60	-200	-59	-64	18.24	24%	-0.28	-30.2	2.01%	0	-2.7	39	0
4	Jun_15_2016	36.31	31.04	30.94	31.01	30.94	30.05	29.69(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-210	-42	-18	8.15	26%	-0.25	-8.9	1.95%	0	-1.8	41	0
5	Jun_14_2016	36.4	31.15	31.1	31.4	31.48	30.87	29.57(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-32	-130	-43	2	13.8	26%	-0.22	-0.5	1.95%	0	-2.3	40	0

6	Jun_13_2016	36.48	31.24	31.27	31.79	31.85	31.83	30.97(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	0	-2	43	9.23	28%	-0.22	12.1	1.89%	0	-0.5	52	0
7	Jun_10_2016	36.56	31.23	31.26	31.69	31.75	32.08	32.28(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	35	80	30	48	8.25	30%	-0.19	-4.3	1.86%	0	1.8	58	0
8	Jun_9_2016	36.63	31.14	31.09	31.23	31.24	31.87	32.53(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	28	140	31	17	8.19	30%	-0.14	-39.5	1.86%	0	2.5	59	0
9	Jun_8_2016	36.68	31.1	30.95	30.89	30.81	31.42	31.66(0.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	19	130	28	-8	8.17	25%	-0.16	-66.5	1.84%	0	1.1	47	0
10	Jun_7_2016	36.74	31.15	30.91	30.79	30.81	30.62	31.52(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-20	14	-25	12.42	25%	-0.14	-63.8	1.87%	0	0.6	45	0

11	Jun_6_2016	36.79	31.17	30.84	30.7	30.61	30.2	30.44(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-100	-17	-47	8.34	20%	-0.22	-74.6	1.82%	0	-1.1	42	0
12	Jun_3_2016	36.87	31.26	30.91	30.77	30.81	30.6	30.01(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-40	-19	-40	12.42	20%	-0.24	-82.7	1.8%	0	-1.9	46	0
13	Jun_2_2016	36.96	31.36	31.05	30.91	30.94	31.03	30.84(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	20	-4	-19	6.81	21%	-0.24	-105.8	1.79%	0	-0.9	56	0
14	Jun_1_2016	37.05	31.43	31.14	31.01	30.96	31.02	31.12(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	10	1	-14	6.42	21%	-0.24	-122.3	1.79%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	May_31_2016	37.14	31.55	31.2	31.05	31.07	30.86	31.08(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-50	-1	-23	9.62	21%	-0.3	-108.9	1.81%	0	-0.6	34	0

16	May_27_2016	37.25	31.67	31.2	31.01	31.14	30.9	30.82(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-40	-14	-38	8.57	21%	-0.24	-102	1.81%	0	-0.9	41	0
17	May_26_2016	37.34	31.81	31.22	31.08	31.22	31.28	30.69(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	30	-9	-46	7.22	21%	-0.24	-96.9	1.82%	0	-1	40	0
18	May_25_2016	37.43	32.01	31.21	31.21	31.32	31.38	31.33(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	20	4	-48	7.4	22%	-0.21	-93.1	1.81%	0	-0.5	45	0
19	May_24_2016	37.51	32.21	31.27	31.29	31.27	31.15	31.31(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-30	-9	-52	6.96	22%	-0.24	-93.4	1.83%	0	-0.6	42	0
20	May_23_2016	37.6	32.42	31.41	31.39	31.44	31.26	30.9(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-40	-8	-55	6.5	22%	-0.19	-95.1	1.82%	0	-0.9	31	0

21	May_20_2016	37.67	32.67	31.53	31.46	31.59	31.38	31.17(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-1	-61	7.28	26%	-0.26	-93.2	1.85%	0	-0.8	34	0
22	May_19_2016	37.77	32.95	31.63	31.37	31.47	31.61	31.31(-1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	40	4	-79	8.88	26%	-0.26	-85.8	1.86%	0	-0.7	34	0
23	May_18_2016	37.87	33.31	31.69	31.21	31.29	31.79	31.76(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	120	13	-111	9.14	26%	-0.29	-77.3	1.86%	0	-0.6	30	0
24	May_17_2016	37.98	33.7	31.75	31.25	31.15	31.34	31.79(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	30	4	-142	13.3	26%	-0.26	-68.1	1.86%	0	-0.7	27	0
25	May_16_2016	38.08	34.09	31.92	31.47	31.35	30.79	31.28(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-140	-16	-158	12.4	26%		-60.2	1.87%	0	-0.9	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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