Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $36.0472 (2.57%) ($35.4744 - $36.5522) on Wed. Feb. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $36.0472(2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.27(-18.8%)
Resistance Level   $37.25
5 Day Moving Average   $35.66(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.28(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.25(-3.23%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $18.332b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.66%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.62%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.78%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.7%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.12%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2016	40.6	37.25	36.28	35.66	35.34	35.28	36.05(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-40	11	-92	8.11	32%	-0.1	-76.1	2.25%	0	-0.9	40	INF
2	Feb_9_2016	40.64	37.47	36.51	35.72	35.5	34.64	35.14(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-190	-25	-103	11.14	29%	-0.17	-63.5	2.22%	0	-1.6	40	INF
3	Feb_8_2016	40.71	37.7	36.83	35.86	35.8	35.4	34.52(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-80	-47	-104	12.82	29%	-0.2	-63.1	2.21%	0	-2.2	39	INF
4	Feb_5_2016	40.79	37.95	37.16	36.58	36.34	36.36	35.59(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-20	-14	-63	10.07	30%	-0.17	-63.8	2.18%	0	-1.9	43	INF
5	Feb_4_2016	40.86	38.13	37.5	37.02	36.79	36.21	37(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-130	-4	-46	8.6	32%	-0.12	-69.2	2.14%	0	-1	40	INF

6	Feb_3_2016	40.91	38.28	37.65	37	36.88	36.33	36.33(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-110	-41	-64	12.39	32%	-0.12	-76.5	2.13%	0	-1.7	40	INF
7	Feb_2_2016	40.96	38.43	37.81	37.43	37.3	37.38	35.86(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-30	0	-20	-58	12.4	32%	-0.12	-82.7	2.12%	0	-2.4	31	INF
8	Feb_1_2016	41.01	38.63	38.02	37.93	37.8	37.42	38.14(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-80	8	-44	12.02	36%	-0.05	-96.7	2%	0	-0.5	43	INF
9	Jan_29_2016	41.03	38.76	37.96	37.84	37.78	37.21	37.76(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-110	-35	-77	20.96	36%	-0.07	-102.4	2%	0	-1.1	45	INF
10	Jan_28_2016	41.06	38.94	38.1	38.06	38.12	38.18	36.94(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	20	-17	-62	17.11	33%	-0.05	-88.5	1.97%	0	-1.9	41	INF

11	Jan_27_2016	41.08	39.19	38.3	38.38	38.44	38.34	38.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10	14	-45	10.19	36%	-0.02	-73.3	1.92%	0	-0.7	42	INF
12	Jan_26_2016	41.09	39.36	38.5	38.26	38.23	38.07	38.39(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-5	-49	8.1	36%	-0.07	-59.8	1.92%	0	-0.8	47	INF
13	Jan_25_2016	41.12	39.55	38.62	38.11	38.05	38.54	37.65(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	90	5	-51	10.11	33%	-0.05	-54.7	1.92%	0	-1.4	41	INF
14	Jan_22_2016	41.14	39.76	38.78	38.09	37.97	38.4	38.89(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	70	24	-61	7.25	42%	-0.02	-57	1.88%	0	-0.6	39	INF
15	Jan_21_2016	41.15	39.89	38.8	38.16	37.7	37.57	38.53(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-60	-4	-83	9.78	42%	-0.02	-49.9	1.94%	0	-0.9	35	INF

16	Jan_20_2016	41.16	40.02	38.93	38.22	37.92	37.54	37.83(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-90	-33	-109	16.09	42%	0	-46.3	1.93%	0	-1.4	29	INF
17	Jan_19_2016	41.16	40.13	39.08	38.79	38.59	37.83	37.63(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-150	-33	-105	10.51	42%	0.1	-41	1.93%	0	-1.7	30	INF
18	Jan_15_2016	41.12	40.32	39.3	39.22	39.17	38.31	37.54(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-58	-160	-41	-110	18.92	42%	0	-42.5	1.94%	0	-2.1	28	INF
19	Jan_14_2016	41.12	40.54	39.65	39.53	39.57	39.35	39.27(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-20	-99	11.76	46%	0.02	-43.3	1.87%	0	-1.1	36	INF
20	Jan_13_2016	41.11	40.64	39.85	39.51	39.73	40.03	38.84(-4.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-22	70	2	-94	12.72	46%	0.07	-52	1.87%	0	-1.6	37	INF

21	Jan_12_2016	41.08	40.64	40.17	39.73	39.6	39.8	40.68(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	30	22	-74	12.64	57%	0.1	-66.9	1.79%	0	-0.1	48	INF
22	Jan_11_2016	41.04	40.74	40.27	39.45	39.42	39.42	39.78(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-0	1	-81	15.88	54%	0.05	-85.2	1.81%	0	-0.9	52	INF
23	Jan_8_2016	41.02	40.88	40.52	39.41	39.44	39.41	39.1(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-0	-11	-72	8.85	61%	-0.05	-86.2	1.99%	0	-1.7	41	INF
24	Jan_7_2016	41.04	41.04	40.81	39.8	39.5	39.42	39.17(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-40	-19	-60	11.31	64%	-0.07	-77.9	1.99%	0	-1.8	38	INF
25	Jan_6_2016	41.07	41.24	41.06	40.25	39.9	39.48	39.93(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-100	-22	-42	12.39	57%		-66.4	2.01%	0	-1.4	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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