Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $38.4381 (0.13%) ($38.2347 - $39.5809) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $38.4381(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $39.19
5 Day Moving Average   $38.38(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.3(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.19(-1.92%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $19.548b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.54%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.69%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.38%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.01%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	41.08	39.19	38.3	38.38	38.44	38.34	38.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10	14	-45	10.19	36%	-0.02	-73.3	1.92%	0	-0.7	42	0
2	Jan_26_2016	41.09	39.36	38.5	38.26	38.23	38.07	38.39(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-5	-49	8.1	36%	-0.07	-59.8	1.92%	0	-0.8	47	0
3	Jan_25_2016	41.12	39.55	38.62	38.11	38.05	38.54	37.65(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	90	5	-51	10.11	33%	-0.05	-54.7	1.92%	0	-1.4	41	0
4	Jan_22_2016	41.14	39.76	38.78	38.09	37.97	38.4	38.89(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	70	24	-61	7.25	42%	-0.02	-57	1.88%	0	-0.6	39	0
5	Jan_21_2016	41.15	39.89	38.8	38.16	37.7	37.57	38.53(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-60	-4	-83	9.78	42%	-0.02	-49.9	1.94%	0	-0.9	35	0

6	Jan_20_2016	41.16	40.02	38.93	38.22	37.92	37.54	37.83(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-90	-33	-109	16.09	42%	0	-46.3	1.93%	0	-1.4	29	0
7	Jan_19_2016	41.16	40.13	39.08	38.79	38.59	37.83	37.63(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-150	-33	-105	10.51	42%	0.1	-41	1.93%	0	-1.7	30	0
8	Jan_15_2016	41.12	40.32	39.3	39.22	39.17	38.31	37.54(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-58	-160	-41	-110	18.92	42%	0	-42.5	1.94%	0	-2.1	28	0
9	Jan_14_2016	41.12	40.54	39.65	39.53	39.57	39.35	39.27(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-20	-99	11.76	46%	0.02	-43.3	1.87%	0	-1.1	36	0
10	Jan_13_2016	41.11	40.64	39.85	39.51	39.73	40.03	38.84(-4.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-22	70	2	-94	12.72	46%	0.07	-52	1.87%	0	-1.6	37	0

11	Jan_12_2016	41.08	40.64	40.17	39.73	39.6	39.8	40.68(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	30	22	-74	12.64	57%	0.1	-66.9	1.79%	0	-0.1	48	0
12	Jan_11_2016	41.04	40.74	40.27	39.45	39.42	39.42	39.78(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-0	1	-81	15.88	54%	0.05	-85.2	1.81%	0	-0.9	52	0
13	Jan_8_2016	41.02	40.88	40.52	39.41	39.44	39.41	39.1(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-0	-11	-72	8.85	61%	-0.05	-86.2	1.99%	0	-1.7	41	0
14	Jan_7_2016	41.04	41.04	40.81	39.8	39.5	39.42	39.17(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-40	-19	-60	11.31	64%	-0.07	-77.9	1.99%	0	-1.8	38	0
15	Jan_6_2016	41.07	41.24	41.06	40.25	39.9	39.48	39.93(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-100	-22	-42	12.39	57%	-0.05	-66.4	2.01%	0	-1.4	45	0

16	Jan_5_2016	41.09	41.46	41.19	40.69	40.48	39.58	39.24(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-170	-39	-27	10.51	61%	-0.07	-33.3	2.11%	0	-2.2	47	0
17	Jan_4_2016	41.12	41.67	41.28	41.22	41.1	40.33	39.62(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-140	-45	-16	12.04	61%	-0.05	-4.9	2.16%	0	-1.9	46	0
18	Dec_31_2015	41.14	41.8	41.45	41.78	41.71	41.38	41.01(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-60	-20	6	6.81	65%	0	17.5	2.13%	0	-0.8	42	0
19	Dec_30_2015	41.14	41.87	41.54	41.96	42.01	41.88	41.45(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-20	-3	18	5.46	65%	0	33.9	2.12%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Dec_29_2015	41.14	41.9	41.52	41.98	41.97	42.03	42.13(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	4	10	4.01	65%	0.05	39.4	2.12%	0	0.2	44	0

21	Dec_28_2015	41.12	41.8	41.35	41.76	41.82	42.15	41.87(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	60	20	-16	4.15	61%	0.05	27.8	2.11%	0	0.1	38	0
22	Dec_24_2015	41.1	41.73	41.35	41.35	41.44	41.92	42.43(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	90	23	-47	3.31	58%	0.02	14.4	2.12%	0	0.6	44	0
23	Dec_23_2015	41.09	41.61	41.24	41.09	40.92	41.5	41.92(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	90	13	-57	6.09	58%	0.02	6.6	2.14%	0	0.3	51	0
24	Dec_22_2015	41.08	41.52	41.26	41.07	40.94	40.97	41.54(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-0	15	-59	5.7	54%	0.02	2.3	2.14%	0	0	47	0
25	Dec_21_2015	41.07	41.49	41.4	41.01	40.99	40.34	41.06(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-110	-12	-64	6.6	54%		-1	2.22%	0	-0.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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