Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $39.0966 (-0.2%) ($38.9901 - $40.0554) on Fri. Jan. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.0966(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.16(-10.07%)
Resistance Level   $40.88
5 Day Moving Average   $39.41(-0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.52(-3.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.88(-4.36%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $19.883b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.42%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2016	41.02	40.88	40.52	39.41	39.44	39.41	39.1(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-0	-11	-72	8.85	61%	-0.05	-86.2	1.99%	0	-1.7	41	0
2	Jan_7_2016	41.04	41.04	40.81	39.8	39.5	39.42	39.17(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-40	-19	-60	11.31	64%	-0.07	-77.9	1.99%	0	-1.8	38	0
3	Jan_6_2016	41.07	41.24	41.06	40.25	39.9	39.48	39.93(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-100	-22	-42	12.39	57%	-0.05	-66.4	2.01%	0	-1.4	45	0
4	Jan_5_2016	41.09	41.46	41.19	40.69	40.48	39.58	39.24(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-170	-39	-27	10.51	61%	-0.07	-33.3	2.11%	0	-2.2	47	0
5	Jan_4_2016	41.12	41.67	41.28	41.22	41.1	40.33	39.62(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-140	-45	-16	12.04	61%	-0.05	-4.9	2.16%	0	-1.9	46	0

6	Dec_31_2015	41.14	41.8	41.45	41.78	41.71	41.38	41.01(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-60	-20	6	6.81	65%	0	17.5	2.13%	0	-0.8	42	0
7	Dec_30_2015	41.14	41.87	41.54	41.96	42.01	41.88	41.45(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-20	-3	18	5.46	65%	0	33.9	2.12%	0	-0.4	46	0
8	Dec_29_2015	41.14	41.9	41.52	41.98	41.97	42.03	42.13(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	4	10	4.01	65%	0.05	39.4	2.12%	0	0.2	44	0
9	Dec_28_2015	41.12	41.8	41.35	41.76	41.82	42.15	41.87(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	60	20	-16	4.15	61%	0.05	27.8	2.11%	0	0.1	38	0
10	Dec_24_2015	41.1	41.73	41.35	41.35	41.44	41.92	42.43(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	90	23	-47	3.31	58%	0.02	14.4	2.12%	0	0.6	44	0

11	Dec_23_2015	41.09	41.61	41.24	41.09	40.92	41.5	41.92(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	90	13	-57	6.09	58%	0.02	6.6	2.14%	0	0.3	51	0
12	Dec_22_2015	41.08	41.52	41.26	41.07	40.94	40.97	41.54(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-0	15	-59	5.7	54%	0.02	2.3	2.14%	0	0	47	0
13	Dec_21_2015	41.07	41.52	41.4	41.01	40.99	40.34	41.06(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-110	-12	-64	6.6	54%	0.05	-1	2.22%	0	-0.3	48	0
14	Dec_18_2015	41.05	41.49	41.7	40.89	41.1	40.91	39.79(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-20	-23	-49	17.81	51%	0.02	-7.8	2.18%	0	-1.3	53	0
15	Dec_17_2015	41.04	41.56	42.08	41.08	41.24	41.64	41.12(-1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	80	2	-15	7.22	54%	0.05	-9.6	2.15%	0	-0.4	55	0

16	Dec_16_2015	41.02	41.54	42.17	41.4	41.17	41.29	41.84(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	0	5	10	7.85	54%	0.05	-11.5	2.16%	0	0.2	60	0
17	Dec_15_2015	41	41.49	42.24	41.49	41.41	40.83	41.25(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-100	-19	19	7.1	54%	0.07	-17.1	2.15%	0	-0.2	58	0
18	Dec_14_2015	40.97	41.51	42.32	41.87	41.84	41.04	40.45(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-30	-140	-49	28	10.78	54%	0.05	-15.4	2.14%	0	-0.9	50	0
19	Dec_11_2015	40.95	41.59	42.32	42.64	42.52	42	40.76(-4.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-13	-90	-37	58	10.24	54%	0	-4.8	2.14%	0	-0.7	52	0
20	Dec_10_2015	40.95	41.59	42.31	43.2	43.24	42.64	42.7(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-90	-8	92	7.96	59%	0.07	1.7	2.08%	0	0.8	59	0

21	Dec_9_2015	40.92	41.68	42.06	43.04	43.34	43.04	42.27(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-18	82	8	59%	0.07	-6	2.08%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Dec_8_2015	40.89	41.71	41.84	43.08	43.22	43.83	43.14(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	110	13	92	9.04	59%	0.1	-12.2	2.06%	0	1.1	61	0
23	Dec_7_2015	40.85	41.7	41.62	42.83	43.03	43.63	44.34(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	68	110	58	99	8.91	63%	0.1	-23.5	2.03%	0	2.1	63	0
24	Dec_4_2015	40.81	41.7	41.24	41.95	42.21	42.62	43.55(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	90	31	46	9.46	63%	0.1	-47.1	2.03%	0	1.5	55	0
25	Dec_3_2015	40.77	41.65	40.96	41.31	41.51	42.42	41.91(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	170	32	11	7.24	59%		-59	1.98%	0	0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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