Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $42.6993 (1.01%) ($42.1667 - $43.0770) on Thu. Dec. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $42.6993(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.2(-1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.31(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.68(2.45%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $21.715b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.93% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2015	40.95		42.31	43.2	43.24	42.64	42.7(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-90	-8	92	7.96	59%	0.07	1.7	2.08%	0	0.8	59	INF
2	Dec_9_2015	40.92	41.68	42.06	43.04	43.34	43.04	42.27(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-18	82	8	59%	0.07	-6	2.08%	0	0.5	60	INF
3	Dec_8_2015	40.89	41.71	41.84	43.08	43.22	43.83	43.14(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	110	13	92	9.04	59%	0.1	-12.2	2.06%	0	1.1	61	INF
4	Dec_7_2015	40.85	41.7	41.62	42.83	43.03	43.63	44.34(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	68	110	58	99	8.91	63%	0.1	-23.5	2.03%	0	2.1	63	INF
5	Dec_4_2015	40.81	41.7	41.24	41.95	42.21	42.62	43.55(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	90	31	46	9.46	63%	0.1	-47.1	2.03%	0	1.5	55	INF

6	Dec_3_2015	40.77	41.65	40.96	41.31	41.51	42.42	41.91(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	170	32	11	7.24	59%	0.05	-59	1.98%	0	0.2	44	INF
7	Dec_2_2015	40.75	41.75	40.8	40.93	41.02	41.8	42.44(1.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	37	140	53	-13	8.01	64%	0.05	-63	1.98%	0	0.5	43	INF
8	Dec_1_2015	40.73	41.86	40.63	40.43	40.37	40.59	41.9(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	30	17	-58	8.91	64%	0.02	-65.1	2.11%	0	0	39	INF
9	Nov_30_2015	40.72	42	40.57	40.25	40.07	40.25	39.96(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-26	20	-4	-90	6.45	60%	0	-63.9	2.01%	0	-1.2	19	INF
10	Nov_27_2015	40.72	42.23	40.77	40.43	40.25	40.14	40.38(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-23	-30	1	-94	3.07	60%	0.12	-59.8	2.01%	0	-1.1	18	INF

11	Nov_25_2015	40.67	42.43	40.98	40.55	40.42	39.88	40.01(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-100	-17	-107	4.28	63%	0.02	-59.3	2.04%	0	-1.4	12	INF
12	Nov_24_2015	40.66	42.65	41.27	40.63	40.65	40.35	39.93(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-50	-23	-114	7.58	57%	0.02	-56.1	2.04%	0	-1.6	11	INF
13	Nov_23_2015	40.65	42.91	41.58	40.84	40.83	40.96	40.97(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	20	-3	-107	4.17	60%	0.02	-51.6	2.12%	0	-1.2	11	INF
14	Nov_20_2015	40.64	43.1	41.8	40.94	40.94	40.94	40.87(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-28	0	-1	-109	5.66	51%	0.07	-46.9	2.23%	0	-1.5	12	INF
15	Nov_19_2015	40.61	43.28	42.1	41.18	40.98	40.71	40.97(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-60	-16	-110	6.55	51%	0.07	-39.7	2.27%	0	-1.6	16	INF

16	Nov_18_2015	40.58	43.46	42.41	41.49	41.32	40.94	40.43(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-45	-80	-25	-106	11.07	51%	0.05	-31.7	2.26%	0	-2.3	15	INF
17	Nov_17_2015	40.56	43.6	42.8	42.01	41.87	41.25	40.97(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-42	-110	-25	-92	9.6	53%	0.07	-23.4	2.26%	0	-2.3	17	INF
18	Nov_16_2015	40.53	43.73	43.21	42.43	42.33	41.69	41.48(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-44	-110	-32	-81	10.2	53%	0.05	-9.3	2.27%	0	-2.3	16	INF
19	Nov_13_2015	40.51	43.82	43.55	42.78	42.84	42.49	42.08(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-33	-50	-22	-66	7.49	53%	0.02	3.8	2.27%	0	-1.9	18	INF
20	Nov_12_2015	40.5	43.85	43.82	43.15	43.15	42.98	42.52(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-30	-16	-50	5.95	53%	0.05	22.4	2.26%	0	-1.5	35	INF

21	Nov_11_2015	40.48	43.89	44.01	43.48	43.48	43.19	42.99(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-50	-11	-38	4.42	53%	0.05	57.1	2.26%	0	-1	36	INF
22	Nov_10_2015	40.46	43.87	44.16	43.72	43.7	43.33	43.09(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-60	-21	-27	5.94	53%	0.02	82.2	2.28%	0	-0.8	56	INF
23	Nov_9_2015	40.45	43.82	44.34	44.11	44.02	43.76	43.24(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-50	-19	-5	7.21	53%	0.07	115.6	2.28%	0	-0.6	53	INF
24	Nov_6_2015	40.42	43.79	44.52	44.44	44.45	44.07	43.91(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-60	-10	20	11.67	53%	0.15	124.2	2.28%	0	0.1	61	INF
25	Nov_5_2015	40.36	43.66	44.55	44.59	44.66	44.28	44.16(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-50	-14	34	5.87	53%		104.4	2.29%	0	0.3	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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