Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $41.4791 (-1.43%) ($40.5300 - $41.4887) on Mon. Nov. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $41.4791(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $43.73
5 Day Moving Average   $42.43(-2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.21(-4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.73(-5.15%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $21.094b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.36%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.94%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -9.53%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.48%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.32%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2015	40.53	43.73	43.21	42.43	42.33	41.69	41.48(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-44	-110	-32	-81	10.2	53%	0.05	-9.3	2.27%	0	-2.3	16	INF
2	Nov_13_2015	40.51	43.82	43.55	42.78	42.84	42.49	42.08(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-33	-50	-22	-66	7.49	53%	0.02	3.8	2.27%	0	-1.9	18	INF
3	Nov_12_2015	40.5	43.85	43.82	43.15	43.15	42.98	42.52(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-30	-16	-50	5.95	53%	0.05	22.4	2.26%	0	-1.5	35	INF
4	Nov_11_2015	40.48	43.89	44.01	43.48	43.48	43.19	42.99(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-50	-11	-38	4.42	53%	0.05	57.1	2.26%	0	-1	36	INF
5	Nov_10_2015	40.46	43.87	44.16	43.72	43.7	43.33	43.09(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-60	-21	-27	5.94	53%	0.02	82.2	2.28%	0	-0.8	56	INF

6	Nov_9_2015	40.45	43.82	44.34	44.11	44.02	43.76	43.24(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-50	-19	-5	7.21	53%	0.07	115.6	2.28%	0	-0.6	53	INF
7	Nov_6_2015	40.42	43.79	44.52	44.44	44.45	44.07	43.91(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-60	-10	20	11.67	53%	0.15	124.2	2.28%	0	0.1	61	INF
8	Nov_5_2015	40.36	43.66	44.55	44.59	44.66	44.28	44.16(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-50	-14	34	5.87	53%	0.15	104.4	2.29%	0	0.3	68	INF
9	Nov_4_2015	40.3	43.39	44.59	44.62	44.77	44.83	44.19(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	20	-4	49	8.08	53%	0.15	87.9	2.29%	0	0.4	60	INF
10	Nov_3_2015	40.24	43.11	44.47	44.65	44.7	45.03	45.03(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	60	10	59	6.98	56%	0.15	75.6	2.29%	0	0.8	70	INF

11	Nov_2_2015	40.18	42.72	44.3	44.65	44.49	44.71	44.91(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	8	65	6.19	56%	0.15	71.7	2.34%	0	0.9	71	INF
12	Oct_30_2015	40.12	42.42	44.11	44.62	44.46	44.37	44.67(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-20	5	69	8.59	56%	0.15	70.1	2.34%	0	0.9	66	INF
13	Oct_29_2015	40.06	42.07	43.88	44.52	44.4	44.27	44.32(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-30	-6	69	5.23	56%	0.12	64.6	2.35%	0	0.9	71	INF
14	Oct_28_2015	40.01	41.75	43.75	44.54	44.36	44.56	44.32(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	20	8	103	7.63	57%	0.15	62.1	2.35%	0	0.9	79	INF
15	Oct_27_2015	39.95	41.42	43.55	44.24	44.22	44.53	44.9(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	50	19	124	6.82	57%	0.18	55.1	2.36%	0	1.3	84	INF

16	Oct_26_2015	39.88	41.06	43.26	43.92	43.79	44.17	44.91(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	50	17	145	11.03	57%	0.1	49.6	2.36%	0	1.4	86	INF
17	Oct_23_2015	39.84	40.7	42.99	43.53	43.52	43.91	44.13(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	60	21	148	20.28	54%	0.1	41	2.52%	0	1.4	70	INF
18	Oct_22_2015	39.8	40.42	42.68	43.15	43.16	43.4	44.44(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	40	16	157	14.44	54%	0.08	32.7	2.54%	0	1.7	75	INF
19	Oct_21_2015	39.77	40.13	42.1	42.85	42.76	43.13	42.82(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	50	7	154	6.94	52%	0	24.6	2.5%	0	1.2	69	INF
20	Oct_20_2015	39.77	39.97	41.64	42.75	42.67	42.93	43.28(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	40	18	163	7.61	52%	0.03	20.7	2.5%	0	1.5	72	INF

21	Oct_19_2015	39.76	39.77	41.03	42.49	42.46	42.39	42.96(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10	5	147	8.93	52%	0.05	15.1	2.51%	0	1.6	69	INF
22	Oct_16_2015	39.74	39.68	40.61	42.37	42.23	42.41	42.24(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	20	4	154	11.57	52%	0.05	15.9	2.51%	0	1.3	68	INF
23	Oct_15_2015	39.72	39.65	40.13	42.12	42.13	42.53	42.97(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	70	35	153	8.19	52%	0.05	15.4	2.5%	0	1.7	64	INF
24	Oct_14_2015	39.7	39.59	39.61	41.21	41.46	42.05	42.33(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	120	37	119	11.13	52%	0.05	9.1	2.5%	0	1.4	62	INF
25	Oct_13_2015	39.68	39.53	39.11	40.34	40.38	41.73	41.95(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	240	51	82	13.25	53%		1.3	2.5%	0	1.3	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.