Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $40.1142 (5.89%) ($38.4617 - $40.1142) on Wed. Sep. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.42% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $40.1142(5.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.21% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.14(5.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.98(5.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.55(1.43%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $20.4b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.98% (three month std-dev: 2.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(33%) Average negative next day return: -5.44%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.33%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -11.95%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.99%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.52%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2015	41.69	39.55	37.98	38.14	38.08	38.53	40.11(5.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	80	34	-95	19.32	51%	-0.14	-26.3	2.42%	0	0.3	44	0
2	Sep_1_2015	41.75	39.61	38.11	37.63	37.64	37.7	37.88(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	10	11	-124	16.04	50%	-0.19	-28.7	2.31%	0	-0.9	35	0
3	Aug_31_2015	41.83	39.78	38.51	37.3	37.49	37.62	37.67(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	40	8	-129	12.41	50%	-0.19	-30.6	2.37%	0	-1.1	33	0
4	Aug_28_2015	41.91	39.91	38.96	37.04	37.36	37.58	37.32(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	70	6	-128	11.82	50%	-0.21	-32.1	2.37%	0	-1.4	38	0
5	Aug_27_2015	42	40	39.37	37.25	36.89	37.35	37.72(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-42	60	-14	-124	13.79	50%	-0.21	-29.3	2.37%	0	-1.2	41	0

6	Aug_26_2015	42.09	40.08	39.73	37.82	37.3	37.14	37.54(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-70	-17	-105	15.68	49%	-0.21	-27.4	2.37%	0	-1.4	37	0
7	Aug_25_2015	42.18	40.18	40.1	38.73	38.3	36.42	36.24(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-72	-380	-63	-97	12.82	46%	-0.24	-16	2.35%	0	-2.3	27	0
8	Aug_24_2015	42.28	40.38	40.64	39.91	39.55	37.46	36.36(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-96	-400	-104	-73	19.61	46%	-0.14	4.7	2.37%	0	-2.7	29	0
9	Aug_21_2015	42.34	40.53	41.08	41.14	41.22	40.18	38.41(-5.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-43	-170	-54	-10	16.24	50%	-0.21	31.3	2.27%	0	-1.7	44	0
10	Aug_20_2015	42.43	40.55	41.3	41.74	41.9	41.63	40.57(-3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-30	-18	37	8.91	47%	-0.19	41.2	2.18%	0	0	64	0

11	Aug_19_2015	42.51	40.57	41.33	41.87	41.94	42.27	42.07(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	60	8	58	8.37	47%	-0.21	49	2.47%	0	1.2	73	0
12	Aug_18_2015	42.6	40.46	41.25	41.68	41.73	42.17	42.16(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	80	20	69	6.32	47%	-0.21	46	2.49%	0	1.5	69	0
13	Aug_17_2015	42.69	40.31	41.15	41.5	41.3	41.61	42.47(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	40	18	72	8.39	47%	-0.21	39.3	2.49%	0	1.9	66	0
14	Aug_14_2015	42.78	40.14	40.91	41.06	41.04	41.28	41.44(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	40	14	66	4.86	45%	-0.19	23.8	2.47%	0	1.3	68	0
15	Aug_13_2015	42.86	40.06	40.65	40.79	40.83	40.98	41.24(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	30	8	58	6.61	45%	-0.21	18.3	2.47%	0	1.2	70	0

16	Aug_12_2015	42.95	39.98	40.42	40.7	40.63	40.8	41.09(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	20	-1	40	10.43	45%	-0.26	24.3	2.47%	0	1.2	49	0
17	Aug_11_2015	43.06	39.92	40.24	40.76	40.77	40.69	41.26(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10	4	42	10.38	45%	-0.25	38.2	2.48%	0	1.5	55	0
18	Aug_10_2015	43.17	39.88	40.08	40.75	40.88	40.45	40.28(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-60	-10	38	6.86	45%	-0.32	46.2	2.46%	0	0.5	55	0
19	Aug_7_2015	43.31	39.9	39.93	40.74	40.99	40.86	40.09(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	-0	-0	40	5.59	49%	-0.3	60.1	2.46%	0	0.2	55	0
20	Aug_6_2015	43.44	39.88	39.75	40.45	40.75	41.31	40.76(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	120	19	29	7.4	49%	-0.28	58.1	2.51%	0	0.9	54	0

21	Aug_5_2015	43.56	39.76	39.76	40.07	40.15	41.12	41.42(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	180	34	29	7.58	46%	-0.23	47.6	2.51%	0	1.7	56	0
22	Aug_4_2015	43.66	39.58	39.59	39.64	39.55	40.2	41.21(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	110	31	12	13.35	46%	-0.16	36.2	2.55%	0	1.8	55	0
23	Aug_3_2015	43.73	39.48	39.39	39.33	39.19	39.17	40.21(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10	12	-11	9.26	46%	-0.18	33.2	2.53%	0	0.8	48	0
24	Jul_31_2015	43.81	39.38	39.27	39.03	39.12	38.9	38.66(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-3	-38	6.96	45%	-0.18	15.7	2.49%	0	-0.8	38	0
25	Jul_30_2015	43.89	39.34	39.4	38.94	39.03	39.2	38.83(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	40	-15	-45	5.86	45%		-2.9	2.51%	0	-0.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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