Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sat. Jul. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $37.6298 (0.59%) ($37.0224 - $38.3770) on Sat. Jul. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $37.6298(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $39.2
5 Day Moving Average   $38.36(-1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.52(-4.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.2(-4.01%)
To recent high   -25.8%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(23%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(77%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 3.27%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.42%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150804

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2015	45.36	39.2	39.52	38.36	38.35	37.89	37.63(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-80	-34	-30	11.08	46%	-0.2	-66.1	2.34%	0	-1.3	43	INF
2	Jul_1_2015	45.45	39.35	39.65	38.98	39.05	38.42	37.41(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-110	-32	-7	24.91	43%	-0.2	-49.8	2.35%	0	-1.6	47	INF
3	Jun_30_2015	45.54	39.56	39.79	39.65	39.79	38.82	38.5(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-160	-36	12	11.18	45%	-0.13	-31.3	2.37%	0	-0.8	49	INF
4	Jun_29_2015	45.6	39.74	39.78	40.18	40.35	39.68	38.32(-4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-27	-100	-44	25	17.65	45%	-0.18	-11.3	2.39%	0	-1	49	INF
5	Jun_26_2015	45.68	39.94	39.84	40.82	40.96	40.77	39.95(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-9	65	9.82	50%	-0.15	6.5	2.37%	0	0	61	INF

6	Jun_25_2015	45.75	39.98	39.77	40.84	41.18	41.03	40.72(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-0	12	70	8.17	48%	-0.15	6.6	2.37%	0	0.6	51	INF
7	Jun_24_2015	45.82	39.98	39.56	40.4	40.79	41.14	40.72(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	90	13	42	6.9	48%	-0.11	-6	2.4%	0	0.6	49	INF
8	Jun_23_2015	45.87	39.96	39.37	39.95	40.17	41.33	41.19(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	220	42	23	10.7	48%	-0.13	-33.3	2.4%	0	0.9	45	INF
9	Jun_22_2015	45.93	39.89	39.12	39.32	39.36	40.43	41.49(3.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	35	190	51	-14	15.12	48%	-0.13	-69.3	2.42%	0	1.2	43	INF
10	Jun_19_2015	45.99	39.86	38.8	38.75	38.63	39.01	40.07(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	60	21	-71	20.2	45%	-0.22	-101.8	2.37%	0	0.2	34	INF

11	Jun_18_2015	46.09	39.9	38.78	38.75	38.47	38.29	38.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-40	-0	-92	10.65	41%	-0.22	-124	2.33%	0	-1	38	INF
12	Jun_17_2015	46.19	40.04	38.98	38.59	38.57	38.25	38.45(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-60	-14	-98	9.57	47%	-0.28	-141.3	2.33%	0	-1.2	41	INF
13	Jun_16_2015	46.32	40.41	39.27	38.7	38.81	38.65	38.06(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-20	-10	-83	9.21	47%	-0.32	-105.1	2.5%	0	-1.3	37	INF
14	Jun_15_2015	46.47	40.84	39.67	38.86	38.94	38.89	38.63(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-0	2	-63	8.83	47%	-0.32	-85.1	2.51%	0	-1	44	INF
15	Jun_12_2015	46.62	41.24	40.05	38.82	38.94	38.96	39.24(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	30	-5	-60	10.33	49%	-0.32	-77.7	2.51%	0	-0.8	42	INF

16	Jun_11_2015	46.77	41.61	40.22	39.02	38.76	38.99	38.58(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	20	-4	-54	10.12	49%	-0.28	-70.3	2.53%	0	-1.1	39	INF
17	Jun_10_2015	46.9	42.01	40.43	39.43	39.13	38.55	38.98(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-130	-17	-53	15.73	48%	-0.26	-63	2.53%	0	-1.1	38	INF
18	Jun_9_2015	47.02	42.41	40.62	39.95	39.71	38.53	38.88(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-230	-47	-76	27.02	48%	-0.17	-54.6	2.55%	0	-1.2	24	INF
19	Jun_8_2015	47.1	42.86	40.76	40.62	40.62	39.72	38.43(-4.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-59	-160	-48	-92	25.76	48%	-0.21	-47.1	2.54%	0	-1.5	20	INF
20	Jun_5_2015	47.2	43.3	41.05	41.45	41.39	40.88	40.22(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-90	-19	-87	9.95	51%	-0.17	-41.7	2.49%	0	-1	25	INF

21	Jun_4_2015	47.28	43.66	41.14	41.58	41.7	41.52	40.66(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-20	-4	-109	14.13	51%	-0.13	-39.8	2.49%	0	-1	25	INF
22	Jun_3_2015	47.34	43.9	41.22	41.54	41.51	41.89	41.58(-1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	60	7	-133	13.27	51%	-0.17	-44.1	2.47%	0	-0.8	29	INF
23	Jun_2_2015	47.42	44.09	41.63	41.37	41.21	41.88	42.2(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	100	29	-136	14.83	51%	-0.11	-52.4	2.47%	0	-0.7	29	INF
24	Jun_1_2015	47.47	44.34	42.07	40.94	40.83	41.12	42.6(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-23	40	21	-156	21.92	51%	-0.17	-59.9	2.47%	0	-0.6	28	INF
25	May_29_2015	47.55	44.59	42.45	40.64	40.58	40.55	40.85(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-10	-2	-180	13.24	47%		-66.7	2.43%	0	-1.3	22	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.