Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $45.3187 (-3.97%) ($45.2174 - $46.9625) on Tue. May. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $45.3187(-3.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $47.48
5 Day Moving Average   $46.74(-3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.16(-5.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.48(-4.55%)
To recent high   -15.5%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $23.047b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.84%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.37%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2015	48.48	47.48	48.16	46.74	46.92	46.77	45.32(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10	-36	-37	11.38	53%	-0.06	-15.8	2.2%	0	-1.3	52	0
2	May_4_2015	48.51	47.52	48.6	47.53	47.33	47.44	47.19(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	0	-8	18	5.59	59%	-0.02	-19.3	2.14%	0	-0.2	61	0
3	May_1_2015	48.52	47.49	48.69	48.07	47.75	47.08	47.62(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-120	-25	39	8.08	59%	-0.02	-21.7	2.19%	0	0.1	61	0
4	Apr_30_2015	48.53	47.47	48.6	48.69	48.48	47.21	46.55(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-25	-200	-51	53	9.4	52%	-0.02	-17	2.19%	0	-0.6	57	0
5	Apr_29_2015	48.54	47.57	48.64	49.28	49.38	48.43	47.03(-4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-130	-42	74	18.05	55%	0.02	-11.1	2.32%	0	-0.3	59	0

6	Apr_28_2015	48.53	47.74	48.57	49.77	49.38	49.75	49.25(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10	-13	101	9.24	55%	0.02	-5.7	2.28%	0	0.9	65	0
7	Apr_27_2015	48.52	47.83	48.23	49.8	49.81	50.34	49.91(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	80	23	117	9.84	51%	0.02	-6.7	2.33%	0	1.1	74	0
8	Apr_24_2015	48.51	47.84	47.84	49.39	49.4	49.86	50.71(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	70	37	109	20.25	51%	0.06	-18.8	2.39%	0	1.4	74	0
9	Apr_23_2015	48.48	47.84	47.34	48.52	48.59	49.27	49.5(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	100	27	73	9.82	50%	0.06	-41	2.39%	0	0.9	60	0
10	Apr_22_2015	48.45	47.75	46.98	47.91	47.85	48.95	49.45(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	160	44	50	7.33	52%	0.08	-54.2	2.39%	0	0.9	51	0

11	Apr_21_2015	48.41	47.84	46.69	47.2	47.13	47.9	49.42(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	110	44	10	10.85	52%	0.06	-58.8	2.43%	0	0.8	41	0
12	Apr_20_2015	48.38	47.96	46.29	46.44	46.52	46.76	47.88(3.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	40	20	-50	9.52	54%	0.04	-56	2.41%	0	-0	31	0
13	Apr_17_2015	48.36	48.22	46.11	46.07	46.13	46.36	46.37(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	40	4	-86	8.66	52%	-0.06	-43.4	2.49%	0	-0.7	29	0
14	Apr_16_2015	48.39	48.54	46.19	45.98	46.05	46.29	46.41(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	40	9	-96	7.16	52%	0.08	-32.5	2.51%	0	-0.8	38	0
15	Apr_15_2015	48.35	48.82	46.38	45.9	46.03	45.91	45.94(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10	-2	-111	9.85	52%	0.08	-22.9	2.51%	0	-1	33	0

16	Apr_14_2015	48.31	49.11	46.83	46.09	46.13	45.81	45.63(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-50	-10	-115	9.88	52%	0.08	-10.9	2.5%	0	-1.3	27	0
17	Apr_13_2015	48.27	49.27	47.39	46.11	46.36	46.15	45.98(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-20	-8	-117	9.35	52%	0.1	-7.5	2.52%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Apr_10_2015	48.22	49.37	47.85	46.16	46.41	46.46	45.92(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-37	20	-7	-126	11.71	49%	0.06	-5.2	2.57%	0	-1.3	24	0
19	Apr_9_2015	48.19	49.45	48.2	46.44	46.43	46.57	46.03(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	20	-8	-135	11.58	47%	0.08	-1.6	2.59%	0	-1.4	27	0
20	Apr_8_2015	48.15	49.47	48.61	46.94	46.78	46.36	46.9(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-70	-18	-136	11.18	47%	0.08	1.4	2.61%	0	-1	34	0

21	Apr_7_2015	48.11	49.41	49.1	47.72	47.36	46.29	45.7(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-71	-180	-51	-132	9.39	45%	0.08	6.1	2.59%	0	-1.4	31	0
22	Apr_6_2015	48.07	49.47	49.78	48.9	48.61	47.2	46.26(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-61	-220	-52	-89	13.32	45%	0.21	18.4	2.59%	0	-1.2	48	0
23	Apr_2_2015	47.97	49.5	50.52	49.78	49.87	48.43	47.31(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-200	-43	-40	14.11	45%	0.13	28.2	2.56%	0	-0.8	54	0
24	Apr_1_2015	47.91	49.49	51.12	50.18	50.39	50.02	48.53(-4.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-23	-40	-31	1	15.19	45%	0.15	31.3	2.54%	0	-0.4	60	0
25	Mar_31_2015	47.84	49.44	51.5	50.49	50.45	51.31	50.78(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	120	9	54	8.39	48%		33	2.5%	0	0.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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