Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $46.2314 (3.27%) ($45.1249 - $46.5441) on Tue. Feb. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $46.2314(3.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)    XLI(54%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.91(-22.33%)
Resistance Level   $48.62
5 Day Moving Average   $46.36(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.94(-1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.62(-4.91%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $23.511b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 5.33% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.7%(17%) Average negative next day return: -2.61%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 11.95%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.29%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 9.84%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.34%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2015	43.07	48.62	46.94	46.36	46.09	45.32	46.23(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-130	-10	-138	9.09	48%	0.28	-38.1	2.65%	0	-0.9	37	INF
2	Feb_9_2015	42.95	48.71	47.35	46.23	46.39	45.76	44.77(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-80	-30	-152	12.96	46%	0.23	-47.4	2.63%	0	-1.6	36	INF
3	Feb_6_2015	42.85	48.99	48.17	46.63	46.57	46.87	46.32(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	40	-4	-114	8.65	48%	0.23	-49.8	2.59%	0	-1.1	49	INF
4	Feb_5_2015	42.75	49.25	48.86	46.79	46.44	47.03	46.96(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	70	-0	-85	9.22	48%	0.28	-49.3	2.59%	0	-1	52	INF
5	Feb_4_2015	42.63	49.45	49.48	47.43	46.8	46.28	47.49(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-120	-2	-47	11.84	48%	0.26	-43.7	2.59%	0	-0.8	53	INF

6	Feb_3_2015	42.52	49.63	49.89	47.66	47.42	45.84	45.61(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-250	-58	-52	16.68	45%	0.26	-41.9	2.55%	0	-1.8	45	INF
7	Feb_2_2015	42.41	49.95	50.45	48.65	48.49	47.33	46.78(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-180	-69	-18	22.41	45%	0.26	-29.1	2.53%	0	-1.5	51	INF
8	Jan_30_2015	42.3	50.2	50.62	49.95	49.77	48.99	47.13(-6.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-31	-120	-47	16	18.47	45%	0.26	-8.2	2.55%	0	-1.5	45	INF
9	Jan_29_2015	42.19	50.43	50.73	51.22	50.99	49.65	50.16(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-200	-41	39	16.62	50%	0.31	17.3	2.41%	0	-0.1	46	INF
10	Jan_28_2015	42.06	50.49	50.5	51.86	51.93	50.55	48.61(-3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-33	-180	-56	38	17.06	47%	0.31	32.3	2.39%	0	-1	45	INF

11	Jan_27_2015	41.93	50.6	50.52	52.45	52.67	52.33	50.6(-4.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-30	-20	60	19.81	50%	0.34	47	2.33%	0	0	49	INF
12	Jan_26_2015	41.79	50.57	50.24	52.46	52.59	53.31	53.24(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	100	38	68	13.35	56%	0.43	51.8	2.22%	0	1.4	53	INF
13	Jan_23_2015	41.61	50.37	49.88	51.37	51.64	53.02	53.47(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	200	67	38	9.49	63%	0.41	44.6	2.25%	0	1.7	54	INF
14	Jan_22_2015	41.44	50.1	49.62	50.17	50.17	51.86	53.38(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	57	240	74	5	16.2	63%	0.41	33.3	2.28%	0	1.9	55	INF
15	Jan_21_2015	41.27	49.86	49.31	48.98	48.83	50.26	51.53(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	37	200	62	-37	12.88	66%	0.32	16	2.28%	0	1.1	50	INF

16	Jan_20_2015	41.14	49.71	49.21	48.35	47.93	48.48	50.65(5.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	13	50	37	-60	15.16	69%	0.32	6.6	2.43%	0	0.6	49	INF
17	Jan_16_2015	41.01	49.59	49.28	47.74	47.62	47.4	47.83(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-40	-10	-90	12.98	68%	0.27	-5.1	2.4%	0	-1.1	41	INF
18	Jan_15_2015	40.9	49.57	49.67	48.17	47.85	47.37	47.44(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-44	-90	-33	-77	10.4	68%	0.27	2.3	2.44%	0	-1.4	43	INF
19	Jan_14_2015	40.79	49.53	50.08	48.98	48.69	47.84	47.44(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-140	-35	-43	15.68	73%	0.25	15.7	2.44%	0	-1.3	51	INF
20	Jan_13_2015	40.69	49.53	50.49	49.68	49.74	48.33	48.39(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-190	-37	-15	12.26	66%	0.27	26.4	2.69%	0	-0.7	51	INF

21	Jan_12_2015	40.58	49.61	50.75	50.18	50.38	49.54	47.61(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-35	-100	-47	1	18.26	66%	0.25	32.7	2.87%	0	-1.2	49	INF
22	Jan_9_2015	40.48	49.67	51.03	51.01	51.14	51.14	49.95(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	10	-9	43	12.35	64%	0.3	50	2.84%	0	0.2	65	INF
23	Jan_8_2015	40.36	49.53	51	51.37	51.42	51.23	51.52(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-20	1	67	9.67	64%	0.32	58.1	2.84%	0	1.2	82	INF
24	Jan_7_2015	40.23	49.28	50.69	51.36	51.49	51.13	50.9(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-40	-11	71	10.07	62%	0.32	58.7	2.89%	0	0.9	83	INF
25	Jan_6_2015	40.1	49.17	50.49	51.44	51.69	51.61	50.93(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	0	-3	78	13.77	59%		65.7	2.91%	0	1	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.