Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $50.9293 (-1.55%) ($50.0555 - $52.2640) on Tue. Jan. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $50.9293(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)    XLI(54%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.44(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.49(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.17(3.58%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   86%
Market Cap   $25.9b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.17%(82%) Average negative next three day return: -0.28%(18%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(82%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.86%(18%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2015	40.1	49.17	50.49	51.44	51.69	51.61	50.93(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	0	-3	78	13.77	59%	0.3	65.7	2.91%	0	1	60	INF
2	Jan_5_2015	39.98	49.06	50.28	51.41	51.64	51.85	51.73(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	40	11	87	11.57	59%	0.38	74.1	2.95%	0	1.5	66	INF
3	Jan_2_2015	39.83	48.85	49.92	51.04	51.21	51.77	51.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	90	17	79	10.76	62%	0.43	87.6	3.04%	0	1.8	63	INF
4	Dec_31_2014	39.66	48.57	49.44	50.56	50.66	51.42	51.5(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	110	28	73	11.06	60%	0.41	96.8	3.05%	0	1.9	67	INF
5	Dec_30_2014	39.5	48.29	48.9	49.9	49.98	50.65	51.29(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	100	25	57	8.06	60%	0.38	103.3	3.09%	0	2.1	69	INF

6	Dec_29_2014	39.35	48.02	48.62	49.41	49.33	49.9	50.75(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	80	18	44	8.79	59%	0.41	117.4	3.09%	0	2	55	INF
7	Dec_26_2014	39.19	47.8	48.33	49	49.06	49.31	49.89(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	40	17	31	6.84	59%	0.46	138	3.12%	0	1.7	52	INF
8	Dec_24_2014	39.01	47.48	48.17	48.65	48.68	48.76	49.38(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	10	10	24	5.96	58%	0.36	110.6	3.12%	0	1.3	56	INF
9	Dec_23_2014	38.87	47.14	47.93	48.14	48.26	48.81	48.21(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	90	14	17	7.17	58%	0.28	82.9	3.12%	0	0.6	58	INF
10	Dec_22_2014	38.76	46.83	47.75	48.14	47.69	48.61	48.82(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	130	18	10	8.87	56%	0.31	62.6	3.11%	0	0.9	61	INF

11	Dec_19_2014	38.64	46.48	47.75	47.71	47.29	47.72	48.69(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	40	16	20	26.79	54%	0.29	56.5	3.14%	0	0.9	61	INF
12	Dec_18_2014	38.53	46.18	47.73	47.57	47.36	46.78	48.14(2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-100	-6	16	16.95	54%	0.29	53.2	3.19%	0	0.8	56	INF
13	Dec_17_2014	38.42	45.89	47.68	47.65	47.73	46.86	46.86(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-120	-22	29	24.78	54%	0.23	54.3	3.18%	0	0.4	65	INF
14	Dec_16_2014	38.33	45.72	47.65	47.67	48.26	47.95	46.05(-5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10	-11	50	22.05	55%	0.21	57.2	3.18%	0	0.1	65	INF
15	Dec_15_2014	38.25	45.53	47.68	47.67	48.24	48.6	48.82(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	80	5	78	15.37	59%	0.24	55.8	3.1%	0	1.2	77	INF

16	Dec_12_2014	38.16	45.2	47.4	47.74	47.78	48.58	47.98(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	120	9	99	15.36	59%	0.18	58.8	3.1%	0	1.1	76	INF
17	Dec_11_2014	38.09	44.92	47.26	47.94	47.75	47.87	48.52(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	10	16	127	15.1	59%	0.21	64.1	3.1%	0	1.4	73	INF
18	Dec_10_2014	38.01	44.57	46.75	47.77	47.83	46.98	46.99(1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-120	-9	121	18.5	57%	0.16	66.5	3.09%	0	1	70	INF
19	Dec_9_2014	37.95	44.31	46.33	47.63	47.92	47.62	46.39(-4.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-30	-14	116	20.58	57%	0.16	67.3	3.09%	0	0.8	63	INF
20	Dec_8_2014	37.89	44.09	45.88	47.55	47.76	48.68	48.8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	150	22	133	16.17	60%	0.21	71	3.02%	0	1.9	77	INF

21	Dec_5_2014	37.81	43.71	45.17	46.98	47.1	48.21	48.98(2.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	57	170	35	124	15.59	60%	0.24	74.4	3.02%	0	2.3	76	INF
22	Dec_4_2014	37.72	43.31	44.49	46.5	46.56	46.84	47.67(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	50	31	114	15.23	60%	0.16	86.7	3.02%	0	2.2	72	INF
23	Dec_3_2014	37.66	42.94	43.93	45.61	46.14	45.99	46.32(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	10	14	89	8.92	58%	0.13	88.9	3.02%	0	1.9	72	INF
24	Dec_2_2014	37.61	42.67	43.6	44.82	45.4	46.27	45.96(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	170	23	79	11.85	60%	0.13	90.6	3.05%	0	2	71	INF
25	Dec_1_2014	37.56	42.38	43.19	43.93	44.38	46.29	45.97(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	57	330	53	68	15.15	60%		88.8	3.09%	0	2.4	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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