Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $33.5518 (-2.5%) ($33.4656 - $34.2414) on Mon. Sep. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $33.5518(-2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)    XLI(54%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.31(-18.6%)
Resistance Level   $35.69
5 Day Moving Average   $34.02(-1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.74(-3.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.69(-5.99%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $17.063b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.81% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.4%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.21%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.36%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.52%(88%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.17%(13%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2014	38.32	35.69	34.74	34.02	34.03	33.93	33.55(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-20	-5	-92	7.49	41%	-0.08	-63.5	2.13%	0	-1.6	36	INF
2	Sep_26_2014	38.35	35.88	34.95	34.13	34.01	34.03	34.41(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10	-8	-98	8.52	42%	-0.08	-68.3	2.11%	0	-1.1	38	INF
3	Sep_25_2014	38.38	36.03	35.11	34.26	34.17	34.13	33.72(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-20	-18	-100	10.93	42%	-0.03	-68.2	2.1%	0	-1.8	37	INF
4	Sep_24_2014	38.39	36.22	35.39	34.81	34.63	33.99	34.6(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-140	-20	-81	8.49	42%	-0.03	-67.2	2.1%	0	-1.4	37	INF
5	Sep_23_2014	38.4	36.37	35.62	35.07	35.13	34.22	33.84(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-57	-180	-47	-86	12.15	40%	-0.03	-69.3	2.09%	0	-2.2	29	INF

6	Sep_22_2014	38.41	36.57	35.89	35.57	35.72	35.27	34.08(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-41	-80	-30	-75	10.97	40%	-0.03	-71.4	2.09%	0	-2.5	25	INF
7	Sep_19_2014	38.42	36.78	36.15	35.86	36.01	36.04	35.08(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	20	-8	-58	17.59	45%	0.03	-70.7	2.12%	0	-1.9	40	INF
8	Sep_18_2014	38.41	36.93	36.28	36.05	35.99	36.17	36.44(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	30	4	-56	4.56	47%	0.08	-71.7	2.08%	0	-0.6	44	INF
9	Sep_17_2014	38.38	37.04	36.32	36.06	36.02	35.97	35.88(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10	-5	-64	6.68	47%	0.05	-53.5	2.08%	0	-1.3	42	INF
10	Sep_16_2014	38.36	37.18	36.47	36.28	36.2	35.81	36.38(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-80	-9	-57	6.72	47%	0.05	-33.2	2.09%	0	-0.9	44	INF

11	Sep_15_2014	38.34	37.31	36.69	36.27	36.41	36.06	35.51(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-60	-21	-56	7.95	45%	0.05	-20	2.08%	0	-1.9	36	INF
12	Sep_12_2014	38.32	37.42	36.88	36.49	36.55	36.6	36.06(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	10	-6	-48	8.23	42%	0	-5.5	2.07%	0	-1.5	36	INF
13	Sep_11_2014	38.32	37.52	37.03	36.53	36.59	36.77	36.48(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	40	5	-43	10.07	40%	0.03	9.6	2.16%	0	-1.3	41	INF
14	Sep_10_2014	38.31	37.53	37.12	36.61	36.53	36.51	36.95(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10	-3	-53	8.11	40%	0.08	15.6	2.18%	0	-0.7	37	INF
15	Sep_9_2014	38.28	37.49	37.16	36.71	36.71	36.42	36.36(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-60	-20	-66	9.1	40%	0.05	20	2.17%	0	-1.3	35	INF

16	Sep_8_2014	38.26	37.5	37.31	37.2	37.05	36.56	36.62(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-100	-18	-54	7.35	40%	-0.05	34.9	2.17%	0	-1	34	INF
17	Sep_5_2014	38.28	37.47	37.46	37.32	37.43	36.99	36.25(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-70	-21	-46	12.07	43%	0.08	25.8	2.22%	0	-1.3	45	INF
18	Sep_4_2014	38.25	37.44	37.63	37.58	37.61	37.55	36.85(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10	-10	-33	12.01	45%	0.08	22.9	2.21%	0	-0.6	45	INF
19	Sep_3_2014	38.22	37.4	37.84	37.68	37.6	37.88	37.49(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	50	6	-8	10	45%	0.13	17	2.24%	0	0.1	58	INF
20	Sep_2_2014	38.17	37.32	37.84	37.67	37.54	37.67	38.79(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	10	15	13	10.93	49%	0.34	7.1	2.2%	0	1.3	69	INF

21	Aug_29_2014	38.04	37.2	37.95	37.46	37.45	37.31	37.24(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-30	-10	12	6.65	46%	0.11	-5.5	2.15%	0	0	58	INF
22	Aug_28_2014	38	37.22	37.99	37.65	37.67	37.4	37.52(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-50	-8	34	3.89	46%	0.05	-9.3	2.15%	0	0.3	65	INF
23	Aug_27_2014	37.98	37.2	38.04	37.71	37.86	37.58	37.34(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-19	51	6.46	46%	0.08	-20.5	2.16%	0	0.1	66	INF
24	Aug_26_2014	37.95	37.22	37.98	38.02	38.11	37.93	37.44(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-30	-15	72	5.73	46%	0.11	-27.3	2.16%	0	0.2	61	INF
25	Aug_25_2014	37.91	37.23	37.86	38.28	38.37	38.14	37.76(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-30	-12	88	7.08	46%		-31.3	2.17%	0	0.5	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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