Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $36.9520 (1.63%) ($36.3103 - $37.2298) on Wed. Sep. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $36.9520(1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLI(54%)    XLF(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $37.53
5 Day Moving Average   $36.61(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.12(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.53(-1.54%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $18.792b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.45%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.17%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2014	38.31	37.53	37.12	36.61	36.53	36.51	36.95(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10	-3	-53	8.11	40%	0.08	15.6	2.18%	0	-0.7	37	0
2	Sep_9_2014	38.28	37.49	37.16	36.71	36.71	36.42	36.36(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-60	-20	-66	9.1	40%	0.05	20	2.17%	0	-1.3	35	0
3	Sep_8_2014	38.26	37.5	37.31	37.2	37.05	36.56	36.62(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-100	-18	-54	7.35	40%	-0.05	34.9	2.17%	0	-1	34	0
4	Sep_5_2014	38.28	37.47	37.46	37.32	37.43	36.99	36.25(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-70	-21	-46	12.07	43%	0.08	25.8	2.22%	0	-1.3	45	0
5	Sep_4_2014	38.25	37.44	37.63	37.58	37.61	37.55	36.85(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10	-10	-33	12.01	45%	0.08	22.9	2.21%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Sep_3_2014	38.22	37.4	37.84	37.68	37.6	37.88	37.49(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	50	6	-8	10	45%	0.13	17	2.24%	0	0.1	58	0
7	Sep_2_2014	38.17	37.32	37.84	37.67	37.54	37.67	38.79(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	10	15	13	10.93	49%	0.34	7.1	2.2%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Aug_29_2014	38.04	37.2	37.95	37.46	37.45	37.31	37.24(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-30	-10	12	6.65	46%	0.11	-5.5	2.15%	0	0	58	0
9	Aug_28_2014	38	37.22	37.99	37.65	37.67	37.4	37.52(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-50	-8	34	3.89	46%	0.05	-9.3	2.15%	0	0.3	65	0
10	Aug_27_2014	37.98	37.2	38.04	37.71	37.86	37.58	37.34(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-19	51	6.46	46%	0.08	-20.5	2.16%	0	0.1	66	0

11	Aug_26_2014	37.95	37.22	37.98	38.02	38.11	37.93	37.44(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-30	-15	72	5.73	46%	0.11	-27.3	2.16%	0	0.2	61	0
12	Aug_25_2014	37.91	37.23	37.86	38.28	38.37	38.14	37.76(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-30	-12	88	7.08	46%	0.05	-31.3	2.17%	0	0.5	65	0
13	Aug_22_2014	37.89	37.26	37.73	38.51	38.57	38.28	38.17(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-50	-6	102	5.77	46%	0.08	-30.7	2.17%	0	0.7	59	0
14	Aug_21_2014	37.86	37.32	37.49	38.39	38.66	38.6	37.84(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	10	-4	85	8.16	46%	0.05	-34.4	2.17%	0	0.4	50	0
15	Aug_20_2014	37.84	37.43	37.25	38.4	38.51	38.85	38.89(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	70	20	85	6.51	48%	0.05	-28.4	2.14%	0	0.9	57	0

16	Aug_19_2014	37.82	37.52	36.94	37.92	38.17	38.72	38.72(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	120	36	59	5.82	48%	0.11	-35.1	2.15%	0	0.7	53	0
17	Aug_18_2014	37.78	37.59	36.62	37.37	37.51	38.17	38.94(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	130	34	20	10.9	48%	0.16	-44.8	2.14%	0	0.7	54	0
18	Aug_15_2014	37.72	37.65	36.62	36.85	36.93	37.62	37.54(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	22	140	34	-16	9.81	45%	0.08	-51	2.1%	0	-0.1	43	0
19	Aug_14_2014	37.69	37.81	36.35	36.47	36.54	36.85	37.9(3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	16	70	37	-46	10.13	45%	0.08	-55.8	2.1%	0	0	38	0
20	Aug_13_2014	37.66	37.89	36.25	35.95	35.95	36.24	36.51(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	60	6	-104	6.18	42%	0	-61.2	2.06%	0	-0.7	27	0

21	Aug_12_2014	37.66	38.13	36.36	35.82	35.82	36.22	35.94(-1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	80	18	-131	6.22	44%	0.03	-57.7	2.05%	0	-1	20	0
22	Aug_11_2014	37.65	38.42	36.54	35.75	35.65	35.66	36.37(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10	6	-157	9.02	44%	0.05	-53.2	2.07%	0	-0.9	29	0
23	Aug_8_2014	37.63	38.65	36.73	35.79	35.57	35.42	35.61(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-50	-24	-184	20.76	45%	0.03	-48.2	2.06%	0	-1.4	23	0
24	Aug_7_2014	37.62	38.93	37.14	36.22	36.1	35.63	35.3(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-100	-18	-173	9.89	45%	-0.03	-42.8	2.08%	0	-1.7	19	0
25	Aug_6_2014	37.63	39.22	37.63	36.6	36.5	35.73	35.88(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-68	-160	-36	-164	9.5	45%		-40.2	2.08%	0	-1.7	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.