Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $36.2528 (-1.61%) ($36.1187 - $37.0765) on Fri. Sep. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $36.2528(-1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLI(54%)    XLF(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $37.47
5 Day Moving Average   $37.32(-2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.46(-3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.47(-3.25%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $18.437b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20141005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2014	38.28	37.47	37.46	37.32	37.43	36.99	36.25(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-70	-21	-46	12.07	43%	0.08	25.8	2.22%	0	-1.3	45	INF
2	Sep_4_2014	38.25	37.44	37.63	37.58	37.61	37.55	36.85(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10	-10	-33	12.01	45%	0.08	22.9	2.21%	0	-0.6	45	INF
3	Sep_3_2014	38.22	37.4	37.84	37.68	37.6	37.88	37.49(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	50	6	-8	10	45%	0.13	17	2.24%	0	0.1	58	INF
4	Sep_2_2014	38.17	37.32	37.84	37.67	37.54	37.67	38.79(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	10	15	13	10.93	49%	0.34	7.1	2.2%	0	1.3	69	INF
5	Aug_29_2014	38.04	37.2	37.95	37.46	37.45	37.31	37.24(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-30	-10	12	6.65	46%	0.11	-5.5	2.15%	0	0	58	INF

6	Aug_28_2014	38	37.22	37.99	37.65	37.67	37.4	37.52(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-50	-8	34	3.89	46%	0.05	-9.3	2.15%	0	0.3	65	INF
7	Aug_27_2014	37.98	37.2	38.04	37.71	37.86	37.58	37.34(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-19	51	6.46	46%	0.08	-20.5	2.16%	0	0.1	66	INF
8	Aug_26_2014	37.95	37.22	37.98	38.02	38.11	37.93	37.44(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-30	-15	72	5.73	46%	0.11	-27.3	2.16%	0	0.2	61	INF
9	Aug_25_2014	37.91	37.23	37.86	38.28	38.37	38.14	37.76(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-30	-12	88	7.08	46%	0.05	-31.3	2.17%	0	0.5	65	INF
10	Aug_22_2014	37.89	37.26	37.73	38.51	38.57	38.28	38.17(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-50	-6	102	5.77	46%	0.08	-30.7	2.17%	0	0.7	59	INF

11	Aug_21_2014	37.86	37.32	37.49	38.39	38.66	38.6	37.84(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	10	-4	85	8.16	46%	0.05	-34.4	2.17%	0	0.4	50	INF
12	Aug_20_2014	37.84	37.43	37.25	38.4	38.51	38.85	38.89(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	70	20	85	6.51	48%	0.05	-28.4	2.14%	0	0.9	57	INF
13	Aug_19_2014	37.82	37.52	36.94	37.92	38.17	38.72	38.72(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	120	36	59	5.82	48%	0.11	-35.1	2.15%	0	0.7	53	INF
14	Aug_18_2014	37.78	37.59	36.62	37.37	37.51	38.17	38.94(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	130	34	20	10.9	48%	0.16	-44.8	2.14%	0	0.7	54	INF
15	Aug_15_2014	37.72	37.65	36.62	36.85	36.93	37.62	37.54(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	22	140	34	-16	9.81	45%	0.08	-51	2.1%	0	-0.1	43	INF

16	Aug_14_2014	37.69	37.81	36.35	36.47	36.54	36.85	37.9(3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	16	70	37	-46	10.13	45%	0.08	-55.8	2.1%	0	0	38	INF
17	Aug_13_2014	37.66	37.89	36.25	35.95	35.95	36.24	36.51(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	60	6	-104	6.18	42%	0	-61.2	2.06%	0	-0.7	27	INF
18	Aug_12_2014	37.66	38.13	36.36	35.82	35.82	36.22	35.94(-1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	80	18	-131	6.22	44%	0.03	-57.7	2.05%	0	-1	20	INF
19	Aug_11_2014	37.65	38.42	36.54	35.75	35.65	35.66	36.37(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10	6	-157	9.02	44%	0.05	-53.2	2.07%	0	-0.9	29	INF
20	Aug_8_2014	37.63	38.65	36.73	35.79	35.57	35.42	35.61(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-50	-24	-184	20.76	45%	0.03	-48.2	2.06%	0	-1.4	23	INF

21	Aug_7_2014	37.62	38.93	37.14	36.22	36.1	35.63	35.3(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-100	-18	-173	9.89	45%	-0.03	-42.8	2.08%	0	-1.7	19	INF
22	Aug_6_2014	37.63	39.22	37.63	36.6	36.5	35.73	35.88(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-68	-160	-36	-164	9.5	45%	0.03	-40.2	2.08%	0	-1.7	31	INF
23	Aug_5_2014	37.62	39.45	38.16	36.98	36.92	36.56	35.61(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-70	-35	-151	10.42	45%	-0.03	-42.6	2.08%	0	-2.2	25	INF
24	Aug_4_2014	37.63	39.62	38.66	37.41	37.42	37.26	36.53(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-30	-15	-137	11.09	47%	0.05	-48.2	2.05%	0	-2	26	INF
25	Aug_1_2014	37.61	39.73	39.08	37.8	37.71	37.28	37.77(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-51	-90	-24	-133	8.98	52%		-56.9	2.01%	0	-1.4	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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