Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $37.2106 (-1.52%) ($36.4444 - $37.7374) on Thu. Jul. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.02% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $37.2106(-1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLI(54%)    XLF(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.01% (StdDev 2.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.01(-13.98%)
Resistance Level   $39.85
5 Day Moving Average   $38.21(-2.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.4(-5.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.85(-6.62%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $18.924b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 2.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.5%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(67%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -3.15%(59%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 3.51%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.88%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2014	37.61	39.85	39.4	38.21	38.15	37.57	37.21(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-110	-41	-124	13.54	52%	0	-61.3	2.02%	0	-1.9	32	0
2	Jul_30_2014	37.61	40	39.69	38.83	38.89	38.15	37.79(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-130	-42	-107	10.76	52%	0	-62.7	2.06%	0	-1.8	34	0
3	Jul_29_2014	37.61	40.21	40.07	39.55	39.56	38.73	37.77(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-52	-150	-45	-72	10.72	52%	0	-46.4	2.07%	0	-2.1	41	0
4	Jul_28_2014	37.61	40.39	40.48	40.1	40.28	39.63	38.49(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-100	-34	-26	15.94	52%	0.03	-44.7	2.05%	0	-1.8	54	0
5	Jul_25_2014	37.6	40.57	40.75	40.51	40.65	40.4	39.82(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-30	-21	14	10.99	52%	0.08	-37.7	2.03%	0	-0.8	62	0

6	Jul_24_2014	37.57	40.7	40.88	40.75	40.81	40.92	40.28(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	20	2	41	18.02	52%	0.08	-23.2	2.07%	0	-0.4	54	0
7	Jul_23_2014	37.54	40.78	40.95	40.66	40.82	40.9	41.4(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	30	7	46	10.17	56%	0.11	-20.6	2.04%	0	0.6	57	0
8	Jul_22_2014	37.5	40.76	40.82	40.69	40.67	40.69	40.49(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	0	-11	30	6.46	55%	0.08	-15	2.04%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Jul_21_2014	37.47	40.85	40.65	40.94	40.95	40.74	40.58(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-40	-3	27	5.68	55%	0.11	3.9	2.05%	0	-0.2	48	0
10	Jul_18_2014	37.43	40.94	40.44	41.04	41.12	40.65	41(2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-10	-70	-14	3	8.87	55%	0.11	21.2	2.04%	0	0.1	45	0

11	Jul_17_2014	37.39	40.95	40.32	41.03	41.24	41.15	39.84(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	0	-18	-18	13.92	52%	0.08	31.4	2.03%	0	-0.9	38	0
12	Jul_16_2014	37.36	41	40.32	41.25	41.35	41.6	41.54(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	50	21	-6	6.37	60%	0.13	39.3	1.95%	0	0.5	47	0
13	Jul_15_2014	37.31	40.93	40.35	40.96	40.91	41.33	41.75(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	70	28	-11	8.36	60%	0.13	26	2.05%	0	0.7	52	0
14	Jul_14_2014	37.26	40.81	40.26	40.3	40.52	41.09	41.06(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	21	110	41	-41	7.22	60%	0.11	1.3	2.04%	0	0.2	44	0
15	Jul_11_2014	37.22	40.69	40.33	39.75	39.63	40.5	40.97(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	140	26	-73	8.14	56%	0.13	-21.6	2.05%	0	0.2	42	0

16	Jul_10_2014	37.17	40.58	40.46	39.51	39.15	39.95	40.91(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	120	31	-69	11.83	52%	0.13	-31.7	2.14%	0	0.2	50	0
17	Jul_9_2014	37.12	40.55	40.55	39.35	39.21	38.76	40.11(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-90	-0	-80	20.47	54%	0.08	-36.8	2.21%	0	-0.3	49	0
18	Jul_8_2014	37.09	40.63	40.66	39.7	39.34	38.35	38.46(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-200	-56	-84	26.4	51%	0.05	-23.5	2.17%	0	-1.5	46	0
19	Jul_7_2014	37.07	40.79	41.06	40.22	40.33	39.65	38.31(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-110	-41	-42	14.23	51%	0.05	-6.9	2.17%	0	-1.8	50	0
20	Jul_3_2014	37.05	40.98	41.51	40.96	40.96	40.34	39.76(-0.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-24	-110	-36	12	8.26	54%	0.08	22.5	2.14%	0	-1	59	0

21	Jul_2_2014	37.02	41.03	41.67	41.52	41.46	41.02	40.08(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-80	-28	55	19.75	54%	0.11	46.2	2.14%	0	-0.8	62	0
22	Jul_1_2014	36.98	41.07	41.77	41.9	41.9	41.58	41.9(2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-50	-4	87	9.17	60%	0.19	65.8	2.06%	0	0.7	57	0
23	Jun_30_2014	36.91	40.96	41.59	41.77	41.83	41.9	41.04(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	20	-14	67	10.46	61%	0.14	69.3	2.11%	0	0.1	47	0
24	Jun_27_2014	36.86	40.89	41.44	42.04	41.88	42.22	42.04(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	50	8	73	41.47	61%	0.22	77.3	2.09%	0	0.9	51	0
25	Jun_26_2014	36.78	40.71	41.12	42.14	41.9	41.76	42.56(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-40	13	59	11.18	58%		80.6	2.12%	0	1.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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