Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $41.9508 (1.69%) ($40.4126 - $42.0367) on Wed. Jun. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $41.9508(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLI(54%)    XLF(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.86(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.71(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.49(3.61%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $21.334b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.58% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.32%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.34%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.04%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.78%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.67%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2014	36.7	40.49	40.71	41.86	41.82	41.54	41.95(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-50	-5	28	10.94	60%	0.19	79.3	2.15%	0	1	56	0
2	Jun_24_2014	36.63	40.29	40.54	41.62	41.75	42.04	41.25(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	60	9	21	13.25	60%	0.19	77.1	2.17%	0	0.6	52	0
3	Jun_23_2014	36.56	40.12	40.56	41.37	41.41	42.1	42.38(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	120	39	37	18.46	62%	0.22	74.5	2.15%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Jun_20_2014	36.48	39.87	40.46	40.74	40.73	41.46	42.56(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	120	47	30	40.64	62%	0.25	64.8	2.16%	0	1.8	64	0
5	Jun_19_2014	36.39	39.59	40.35	39.94	39.92	40.72	41.14(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	140	39	18	14.12	60%	0.19	52.8	2.13%	0	1	64	0

6	Jun_18_2014	36.32	39.37	40.35	39.39	39.27	39.99	40.76(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	120	28	8	11.25	60%	0.19	39.1	2.13%	0	0.9	65	0
7	Jun_17_2014	36.25	39.16	40.28	39.32	38.84	39.12	40(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	10	1	13	12.53	62%	0.14	33.8	2.13%	0	0.5	63	0
8	Jun_16_2014	36.2	39.01	40.25	39.67	39.11	39.12	39.23(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-140	-21	31	13.63	62%	0.14	36.7	2.16%	0	0.1	62	0
9	Jun_13_2014	36.15	38.9	40.29	40.15	39.85	38.55	38.58(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-250	-53	51	13.59	62%	0.11	44.3	2.17%	0	-0.2	61	0
10	Jun_12_2014	36.11	38.81	40.31	40.82	40.68	39.68	38.41(-4.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-17	-180	-52	89	37.32	62%	0.11	53.7	2.19%	0	-0.2	63	0

11	Jun_11_2014	36.07	38.75	40.32	41.24	41.33	41.14	40.4(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-30	-16	138	13.19	67%	0.19	63.9	2.11%	0	0.9	78	0
12	Jun_10_2014	36	38.61	40.1	41.34	41.37	41.68	41.71(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	50	18	174	8.38	71%	0.25	73.9	2.08%	0	1.7	91	0
13	Jun_9_2014	35.91	38.39	39.69	40.92	41.03	41.53	41.65(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	90	30	170	11.69	71%	0.28	81.3	2.09%	0	1.9	86	0
14	Jun_6_2014	35.81	38.12	39.26	40.46	40.48	41.06	41.92(3.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	100	38	160	13.62	71%	0.31	86.1	2.11%	0	2.4	89	0
15	Jun_5_2014	35.7	37.84	38.76	39.75	39.87	40.54	40.52(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	130	37	139	8.54	69%	0.22	94.2	2.08%	0	2	87	0

16	Jun_4_2014	35.62	37.59	38.36	39.26	39.19	39.89	40.91(3.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	58	120	38	116	11.93	69%	0.28	96.4	2.1%	0	2.7	80	0
17	Jun_3_2014	35.52	37.29	37.91	38.68	38.66	39.2	39.59(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	100	33	85	9.46	67%	0.2	100.3	2.07%	0	2.1	67	0
18	Jun_2_2014	35.45	37.06	37.63	38.28	38.24	38.49	39.38(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	40	23	59	9.91	67%	0.2	100.4	2.09%	0	2.2	65	0
19	May_30_2014	35.38	36.83	37.36	37.88	37.96	38.12	38.37(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	40	14	41	13.89	65%	0.17	96.7	2.09%	0	1.5	68	0
20	May_29_2014	35.32	36.65	37.16	37.6	37.71	37.98	38.04(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	60	15	29	9.67	65%	0.14	84.2	2.11%	0	1.4	66	0

21	May_28_2014	35.27	36.43	37.06	37.32	37.41	37.81	38.02(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	80	20	30	11.13	65%	0.14	59.5	2.13%	0	1.4	73	0
22	May_27_2014	35.22	36.23	36.99	37.02	37.1	37.45	37.59(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	70	18	34	9.59	65%	0.14	48.4	2.14%	0	1.1	75	0
23	May_23_2014	35.17	36.03	36.98	36.87	36.84	37.01	37.36(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	30	10	43	9.87	65%	0.14	40.7	2.16%	0	1	74	0
24	May_22_2014	35.12	35.88	36.9	36.76	36.76	36.75	36.99(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-0	5	49	6.41	65%	0.11	42.2	2.18%	0	0.9	73	0
25	May_21_2014	35.08	35.81	36.86	36.66	36.69	36.68	36.61(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	0	-4	54	6.57	65%		47.1	2.2%	0	0.6	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.