Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $40.0018 (1.97%) ($38.9413 - $40.3075) on Tue. Jun. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $40.0018(1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLI(54%)    XLF(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.32(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.28(-0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.16(2.15%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $20.343b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.26% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2014	36.25	39.16	40.28	39.32	38.84	39.12	40(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	10	1	13	12.53	62%	0.14	33.8	2.13%	0	0.5	63	INF
2	Jun_16_2014	36.2	39.01	40.25	39.67	39.11	39.12	39.23(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-140	-21	31	13.63	62%	0.14	36.7	2.16%	0	0.1	62	INF
3	Jun_13_2014	36.15	38.9	40.29	40.15	39.85	38.55	38.58(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-250	-53	51	13.59	62%	0.11	44.3	2.17%	0	-0.2	61	INF
4	Jun_12_2014	36.11	38.81	40.31	40.82	40.68	39.68	38.41(-4.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-17	-180	-52	89	37.32	62%	0.11	53.7	2.19%	0	-0.2	63	INF
5	Jun_11_2014	36.07	38.75	40.32	41.24	41.33	41.14	40.4(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-30	-16	138	13.19	67%	0.19	63.9	2.11%	0	0.9	78	INF

6	Jun_10_2014	36	38.61	40.1	41.34	41.37	41.68	41.71(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	50	18	174	8.38	71%	0.25	73.9	2.08%	0	1.7	91	INF
7	Jun_9_2014	35.91	38.39	39.69	40.92	41.03	41.53	41.65(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	90	30	170	11.69	71%	0.28	81.3	2.09%	0	1.9	86	INF
8	Jun_6_2014	35.81	38.12	39.26	40.46	40.48	41.06	41.92(3.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	100	38	160	13.62	71%	0.31	86.1	2.11%	0	2.4	89	INF
9	Jun_5_2014	35.7	37.84	38.76	39.75	39.87	40.54	40.52(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	130	37	139	8.54	69%	0.22	94.2	2.08%	0	2	87	INF
10	Jun_4_2014	35.62	37.59	38.36	39.26	39.19	39.89	40.91(3.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	58	120	38	116	11.93	69%	0.28	96.4	2.1%	0	2.7	80	INF

11	Jun_3_2014	35.52	37.29	37.91	38.68	38.66	39.2	39.59(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	100	33	85	9.46	67%	0.2	100.3	2.07%	0	2.1	67	INF
12	Jun_2_2014	35.45	37.06	37.63	38.28	38.24	38.49	39.38(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	40	23	59	9.91	67%	0.2	100.4	2.09%	0	2.2	65	INF
13	May_30_2014	35.38	36.83	37.36	37.88	37.96	38.12	38.37(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	40	14	41	13.89	65%	0.17	96.7	2.09%	0	1.5	68	INF
14	May_29_2014	35.32	36.65	37.16	37.6	37.71	37.98	38.04(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	60	15	29	9.67	65%	0.14	84.2	2.11%	0	1.4	66	INF
15	May_28_2014	35.27	36.43	37.06	37.32	37.41	37.81	38.02(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	80	20	30	11.13	65%	0.14	59.5	2.13%	0	1.4	73	INF

16	May_27_2014	35.22	36.23	36.99	37.02	37.1	37.45	37.59(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	70	18	34	9.59	65%	0.14	48.4	2.14%	0	1.1	75	INF
17	May_23_2014	35.17	36.03	36.98	36.87	36.84	37.01	37.36(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	30	10	43	9.87	65%	0.14	40.7	2.16%	0	1	74	INF
18	May_22_2014	35.12	35.88	36.9	36.76	36.76	36.75	36.99(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-0	5	49	6.41	65%	0.11	42.2	2.18%	0	0.9	73	INF
19	May_21_2014	35.08	35.81	36.86	36.66	36.69	36.68	36.61(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	0	-4	54	6.57	65%	0.09	47.1	2.2%	0	0.6	72	INF
20	May_20_2014	35.05	35.75	36.77	36.76	36.66	36.78	36.53(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	10	-5	73	6.29	65%	0.09	62	2.23%	0	0.6	79	INF

21	May_19_2014	35.02	35.65	36.64	36.96	36.78	36.7	36.85(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-30	-2	92	7.17	65%	0.11	75.8	2.25%	0	0.9	76	INF
22	May_16_2014	34.98	35.51	36.47	37.12	36.93	36.53	36.81(0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-90	-8	108	7.06	65%	0.11	88.2	2.27%	0	1	77	INF
23	May_15_2014	34.94	35.36	36.28	37.07	37.09	36.86	36.49(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-40	-10	111	10.68	65%	0.11	87.7	2.29%	0	0.9	66	INF
24	May_14_2014	34.9	35.23	36.12	37.08	37.08	37.33	37.11(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	50	12	117	7.99	65%	0.14	84.2	2.3%	0	1.5	58	INF
25	May_13_2014	34.85	34.99	35.78	36.77	36.79	37.31	37.56(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	100	30	99	8.68	65%		66.1	2.32%	0	1.9	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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