Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $50.9800 (3.37%) ($50.7500 - $53.4700) on Thu. Sep. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $50.9800(3.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(63%)    XLK(60%)    QQQ(59%)    IWM(56%)    XLY(55%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.27(3.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.83(4.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.09(6.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $15.753b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.78%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.07%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.68%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2013	45.59	48.09	48.83	49.27	49.68	50.48	50.98(3.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	120	140	108	157	18.15	68%	0.22	61.6	1.15%	0	2.8	82	NAN
2	Sep_18_2013	45.49	47.87	48.49	48.8	48.8	48.91	49.32(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	20	5	100	2.04	64%	0.18	64.9	1.15%	0	1.8	77	NAN
3	Sep_17_2013	45.41	47.76	48.34	48.73	48.75	48.89	48.87(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	20	13	110	1.58	64%	0.18	68.6	1.15%	0	1.5	71	NAN
4	Sep_16_2013	45.33	47.63	48.15	48.67	48.7	48.68	48.74(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-0	12	101	1.86	64%	0.15	66.9	1.15%	0	1.5	60	NAN
5	Sep_13_2013	45.26	47.53	47.95	48.51	48.56	48.61	48.46(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	8	81	2.14	64%	0.13	67.5	1.16%	0	1.3	57	NAN

6	Sep_12_2013	45.2	47.46	47.79	48.3	48.37	48.72	48.62(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	50	23	64	1.47	64%	0.13	69.3	1.17%	0	1.6	54	NAN
7	Sep_11_2013	45.14	47.35	47.6	48.11	48.07	48.51	48.96(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	60	34	57	1.78	64%	0.16	66.7	1.17%	0	2.4	67	NAN
8	Sep_10_2013	45.07	47.24	47.39	47.9	47.84	48.02	48.55(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	20	35	44	1.82	64%	0.13	76	1.18%	0	2.3	63	NAN
9	Sep_9_2013	45.01	47.13	47.28	47.57	47.6	47.62	47.95(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	0	12	27	1.67	62%	0.16	74.5	1.17%	0	1.6	64	NAN
10	Sep_6_2013	44.94	47.04	47.24	47.31	47.43	47.65	47.43(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	40	13	21	1.33	62%	0.11	59.4	1.17%	0	0.8	56	NAN

11	Sep_5_2013	44.89	46.97	47.28	47.18	47.23	47.58	47.68(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	60	30	30	1.31	58%	0.13	46.2	1.17%	0	1.3	57	NAN
12	Sep_4_2013	44.83	46.9	47.2	47	46.96	47.2	47.87(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	30	24	20	2.52	58%	0.09	51.3	1.2%	0	1.8	62	NAN
13	Sep_3_2013	44.79	46.81	47.11	46.82	46.81	46.87	46.93(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	10	1	1	1.57	55%	0.09	54.1	1.17%	0	0.2	51	NAN
14	Aug_30_2013	44.75	46.76	47.07	46.95	46.82	46.72	46.64(-0.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-11	-20	-15	3	1.36	55%	0.07	65.2	1.18%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
15	Aug_29_2013	44.72	46.75	47.1	47.16	47.07	46.75	46.8(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-50	-23	19	1.9	55%	0.11	80	1.17%	0	0.1	57	NAN

16	Aug_28_2013	44.67	46.72	47.12	47.39	47.34	46.92	46.74(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-70	-26	43	1.59	58%	0.11	70.7	1.18%	0	0	60	NAN
17	Aug_27_2013	44.62	46.62	47.12	47.42	47.52	47.39	46.97(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10	-14	52	2.14	58%	0.11	52.7	1.2%	0	0.4	57	NAN
18	Aug_26_2013	44.57	46.53	47.1	47.43	47.48	47.75	47.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	18	76	2.01	61%	0.13	42.6	1.19%	0	1.3	65	NAN
19	Aug_23_2013	44.51	46.41	46.99	47.2	47.24	47.65	47.68(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	60	32	74	1.7	61%	0.16	28.2	1.2%	0	1.6	66	NAN
20	Aug_22_2013	44.44	46.3	46.84	47.02	46.94	47.21	47.97(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	40	27	61	3.15	61%	0.16	19.4	1.2%	0	2.3	63	NAN

21	Aug_21_2013	44.37	46.23	46.62	46.82	46.77	46.83	46.89(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	10	6	40	1.95	57%	0.16	19.6	1.18%	0	1	59	NAN
22	Aug_20_2013	44.3	46.21	46.56	46.75	46.89	46.67	47.03(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-20	-1	49	2.29	60%	0.14	25	1.18%	0	1.3	71	NAN
23	Aug_19_2013	44.24	46.18	46.47	46.72	46.87	46.72	46.44(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10	-17	54	1.73	58%	0.05	28.4	1.19%	0	0.4	67	NAN
24	Aug_16_2013	44.22	46.19	46.42	46.73	46.88	47.11	46.79(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	12	73	3.62	55%	0.11	34.1	1.19%	0	1	63	NAN
25	Aug_15_2013	44.17	46.16	46.37	46.61	46.71	47.03	46.96(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	50	31	82	6.71	60%		33.1	1.21%	0	1.3	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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