Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $29.8200 (3.79%) ($28.8700 - $29.8700) on Mon. Aug. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.48% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $29.8200(3.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(67%)    IWM(62%)    QQQ(62%)    XLK(61%)    EWG(59%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -1.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.24% (StdDev 2.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.63(4.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.58(4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.46(4.78%)
To recent high   -14.3%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $9.214b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 2.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.08%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.93%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2010	31.97	28.46	28.58	28.63	28.53	28.9	29.82(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	80	20	11	3.69	46%	-0.12	9.5	2.48%	0	2	65	0
2	Aug_6_2010	32.01	28.37	28.54	28.43	28.25	28.35	28.73(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	10	8	13	3.38	39%	-0.16	4.6	2.49%	0	0.6	61	0
3	Aug_5_2010	32.06	28.36	28.58	28.27	28.29	28.17	28.46(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-30	3	21	2.07	38%	-0.16	0	2.53%	0	0.2	63	0
4	Aug_4_2010	32.11	28.38	28.61	28.21	28.19	28.15	28.29(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10	-9	16	2.35	37%	-0.16	0	2.54%	0	-0.1	50	0
5	Aug_3_2010	32.16	28.38	28.55	28.3	28.31	28.42	27.84(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	30	-4	15	4.24	38%	-0.19	0	2.56%	0	-0.9	45	0

6	Aug_2_2010	32.22	28.39	28.54	28.51	28.47	28.24	28.82(3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-60	-6	15	2.9	39%	-0.12	-11.1	2.54%	0	0.7	50	0
7	Jul_30_2010	32.26	28.34	28.42	28.67	28.64	28.2	27.93(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-110	-22	12	3.69	36%	-0.19	-23.6	2.52%	0	-0.6	49	0
8	Jul_29_2010	32.32	28.36	28.35	28.95	29.03	28.7	28.15(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-5	-70	-12	17	4.41	37%	-0.19	-29.6	2.54%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Jul_28_2010	32.38	28.38	28.37	29.06	29.13	29.09	28.78(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-0	3	26	3.12	37%	-0.12	-49.6	2.54%	0	0.6	49	0
10	Jul_27_2010	32.42	28.39	28.36	28.82	29	29.35	28.87(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	100	16	21	3.34	36%	-0.15	-77.2	2.55%	0	0.7	52	0

11	Jul_26_2010	32.47	28.46	28.33	28.55	28.61	29.17	29.64(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	140	28	20	2.13	37%	-0.09	-82.1	2.54%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Jul_23_2010	32.5	28.5	28.18	28.13	28.06	28.65	29.3(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	140	29	4	3.72	37%	-0.09	-95.3	2.53%	0	0.9	62	0
13	Jul_22_2010	32.53	28.55	28.18	27.68	27.68	28.05	28.72(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	90	16	-20	3.65	37%	-0.12	-104.5	2.52%	0	0.2	53	0
14	Jul_21_2010	32.57	28.7	28.09	27.61	27.49	27.46	27.58(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-20	-6	-30	4.45	34%	-0.15	-89.1	2.46%	0	-0.9	43	0
15	Jul_20_2010	32.62	28.91	28.19	27.84	27.68	27.31	27.52(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-110	-16	-28	4.36	37%	-0.12	-76.8	2.46%	0	-1	36	0

16	Jul_19_2010	32.66	29.14	28.22	28.08	28.07	27.51	27.54(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-140	-18	-39	5.66	37%	-0.12	-63.7	2.5%	0	-1	29	0
17	Jul_16_2010	32.7	29.39	28.26	28.21	28.38	28.05	27.03(-4.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-32	-60	-23	-57	6.35	37%	-0.15	-53.3	2.48%	0	-1.4	24	0
18	Jul_15_2010	32.75	29.66	28.26	28.54	28.57	28.63	28.4(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	20	-5	-56	4.13	41%	-0.09	-43.2	2.42%	0	-0.7	28	0
19	Jul_14_2010	32.78	29.86	28.4	28.62	28.63	28.72	28.69(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	20	5	-74	4.21	42%	-0.06	-32.9	2.46%	0	-0.7	24	0
20	Jul_13_2010	32.8	30.04	28.44	28.6	28.62	28.51	28.75(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-20	6	-96	4.09	42%	-0.06	-27.2	2.47%	0	-0.7	24	0

21	Jul_12_2010	32.82	30.17	28.6	28.4	28.5	28.55	28.2(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-31	20	-0	-123	3.75	42%	-0.09	-27.3	2.46%	0	-1.1	16	0
22	Jul_9_2010	32.85	30.31	28.84	28.31	28.42	28.73	28.65(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	90	10	-138	2.37	42%	-0.09	-28.9	2.45%	0	-1	17	0
23	Jul_8_2010	32.88	30.41	29.03	28.24	28.25	28.45	28.81(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-30	50	11	-153	3.66	42%	-0.03	-36.2	2.46%	0	-0.9	19	0
24	Jul_7_2010	32.89	30.46	29.32	28.16	28.12	28.12	28.57(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-45	-0	-4	-169	3.3	42%	-0.06	-45.1	2.45%	0	-1.1	16	0
25	Jul_6_2010	32.91	30.54	29.65	28.29	28.29	28.04	27.75(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-60	-23	-176	3.78	40%		-49.5	2.42%	0	-1.7	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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