Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $24.6400 (7.13%) ($23.4400 - $25.0700) on Tue. Nov. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $24.6400(7.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(69%)    IWM(65%)    QQQ(65%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.73(8.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.62(13.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.48(9.61%)
To recent high   -33.4%
To recent low   30.2%
Market Cap   $7.614b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 7.7% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.52%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.05%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.45%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2008	31.84		21.62	22.73	22.83	23.38	24.64(7.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	180	31	16	3.21	42%	-0.41	-60.8	4.15%	0	1.2	58	0
2	Nov_3_2008	31.97	22.48	21.38	22.03	22.14	22.46	23(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	120	26	-24	2.24	39%	-0.44	-74	4.04%	0	0.3	45	0
3	Oct_31_2008	32.11	22.65	21.42	21.22	21.52	22.28	22.19(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	290	23	-66	4.25	39%	-0.46	-76.2	4.01%	0	-0.2	39	0
4	Oct_30_2008	32.26	22.93	21.44	20.73	20.76	21.81	22.53(5.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	360	27	-82	2.47	39%	-0.43	-78.3	4.01%	0	-0.2	52	0
5	Oct_29_2008	32.4	23.19	21.48	20.37	20.1	20.77	21.3(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	190	15	-100	3.63	37%	-0.49	-76.1	3.94%	0	-0.7	48	0

6	Oct_28_2008	32.56	23.58	21.56	20.36	19.95	19.7	21.15(11.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-150	-7	-127	3.41	37%	-0.46	-72.9	3.94%	0	-0.8	42	0
7	Oct_27_2008	32.71	23.99	21.89	20.67	20.35	19.42	18.92(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-370	-44	-145	3.15	31%	-0.55	-70.2	3.62%	0	-1.6	34	0
8	Oct_24_2008	32.89	24.51	22.56	21.66	21.33	20.2	19.75(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-420	-37	-114	3.4	32%	-0.54	-65.4	3.6%	0	-1.5	32	0
9	Oct_23_2008	33.07	25.06	22.86	22.23	22.24	21.28	20.72(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-300	-33	-127	4.59	35%	-0.51	-64.1	3.57%	0	-1.4	31	0
10	Oct_22_2008	33.24	25.56	23.1	22.73	22.74	22.46	21.24(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-80	-16	-134	3.1	35%	-0.48	-62.1	3.59%	0	-1.4	33	0

11	Oct_21_2008	33.4	26.04	23.48	22.91	22.87	23.2	22.73(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	100	-7	-154	2.23	37%	-0.42	-60.7	3.51%	0	-1	32	0
12	Oct_20_2008	33.54	26.44	23.71	23.29	22.88	23.01	23.85(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-48	-10	-7	-169	1.81	38%	-0.42	-58.2	3.48%	0	-0.8	34	0
13	Oct_17_2008	33.68	26.79	23.99	23.64	23.49	22.55	22.61(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-300	-6	-173	2.08	35%	-0.41	-53.1	3.4%	0	-1.2	32	0
14	Oct_16_2008	33.82	27.3	24.53	23.61	23.89	22.75	23.22(4.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-300	-22	-195	3.77	35%	-0.41	-53.9	3.39%	0	-1.2	30	0
15	Oct_15_2008	33.96	27.72	25	23.52	23.85	24.43	22.15(-10%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	210	-25	-216	3.05	32%	-0.44	-58.1	3.33%	0	-1.7	26	0

16	Oct_14_2008	34.11	28.12	25.75	24.09	24.06	25.03	24.61(-3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	280	27	-195	3.6	35%	-0.26	-61	3.12%	0	-1.2	30	0
17	Oct_13_2008	34.2	28.46	26.23	24.19	23.89	23.28	25.6(13.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-60	-220	-8	-215	2.96	37%	-0.32	-63.8	3.09%	0	-1	32	0
18	Oct_10_2008	34.31	28.72	26.56	24.46	24.34	23.09	22.48(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-132	-370	-78	-294	5.87	27%	-0.41	-65.3	2.53%	0	-2.2	9	0
19	Oct_9_2008	34.45	29.22	27.41	25.62	25.58	24.5	22.76(-8.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-114	-300	-67	-254	4.63	26%	-0.38	-64.7	2.53%	0	-2.5	8	0
20	Oct_8_2008	34.58	29.71	28.24	26.7	26.72	25.6	24.98(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-105	-290	-64	-229	3.33	31%	-0.32	-66.8	2.32%	0	-2.2	23	0

21	Oct_7_2008	34.69	30.07	28.83	27.64	27.65	26.65	25.11(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-91	-250	-62	-179	3.87	31%	-0.32	-68.3	2.35%	0	-2.7	35	0
22	Oct_6_2008	34.8	30.44	29.44	28.55	28.45	27.83	26.99(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-64	-160	-39	-140	4.53	34%	-0.23	-74.8	2.21%	0	-2.3	35	0
23	Oct_3_2008	34.88	30.74	29.86	28.96	29.04	28.65	28.28(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-90	-30	-118	3.23	36%	-0.2	-81.8	2.17%	0	-1.8	41	0
24	Oct_2_2008	34.95	30.97	30.32	29.49	29.32	29.06	28.14(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-80	-32	-87	3.25	36%	-0.14	-88	2.17%	0	-2.2	36	0
25	Oct_1_2008	35	31.19	30.66	30.02	29.81	29.44	29.67(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-110	-15	-62	2.61	39%		-90.9	2.09%	0	-1.3	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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