Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 20, 2005

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $23.4100 (1.47%) ($22.8200 - $23.4600) on Fri. May. 20, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $23.4100(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(69%)    IWM(65%)    QQQ(65%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.69(3.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.36(4.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.77(7.53%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $7.234b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.48%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.34%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.48%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2005	22.43	21.77	22.36	22.69	22.69	23.09	23.41(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	61	120	32	148	1.69	53%	-0.04	64.1	1.54%	0	2.2	79	0
2	May_19_2005	22.44	21.65	22.17	22.4	22.31	22.84	23.07(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	61	150	36	137	1.53	53%	-0.04	68.2	1.54%	0	2.2	79	0
3	May_18_2005	22.45	21.56	21.97	22.18	22.07	22.28	22.92(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	51	50	28	121	2.72	53%	-0.04	69	1.55%	0	2.3	79	0
4	May_17_2005	22.46	21.43	21.8	22.04	21.9	21.77	22.48(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-60	4	101	4.39	51%	-0.09	68.3	1.53%	0	2	64	0
5	May_16_2005	22.48	21.34	21.66	21.92	21.93	21.86	21.56(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-20	-10	89	4.54	43%	-0.04	61.8	1.43%	0	0.5	53	0

6	May_13_2005	22.49	21.3	21.61	21.98	21.96	22.02	21.99(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	32	20	9	100	3.19	47%	-0.09	58.6	1.43%	0	1.4	60	0
7	May_12_2005	22.51	21.22	21.49	21.88	21.86	22.01	21.97(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	50	19	88	3.92	47%	-0.09	46.8	1.44%	0	1.5	63	0
8	May_11_2005	22.53	21.16	21.36	21.71	21.69	21.89	22.2(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	60	23	60	2.13	51%	-0.04	30.4	1.45%	0	2.3	62	0
9	May_10_2005	22.54	21.08	21.26	21.52	21.48	21.7	21.86(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	70	19	50	1.93	49%	-0.09	12.1	1.48%	0	2	69	0
10	May_9_2005	22.56	21.05	21.2	21.38	21.35	21.49	21.89(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	40	22	47	1.99	46%	-0.09	2.9	1.48%	0	2.3	64	0

11	May_6_2005	22.58	21.01	21.13	21.2	21.21	21.26	21.5(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	20	13	34	1.56	50%	-0.09	-16.4	1.57%	0	1.5	62	0
12	May_5_2005	22.6	21	21.08	21.05	21.09	21.21	21.08(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	50	9	30	2.56	48%	-0.18	-39.5	1.56%	0	0.2	62	0
13	May_4_2005	22.64	21.02	21.11	21.05	20.97	21.16	21.25(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	60	8	31	2.85	48%	-0.13	-50.9	1.57%	0	0.7	59	0
14	May_3_2005	22.67	21.03	21.04	20.96	20.89	20.97	21.18(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	20	3	25	1.62	46%	-0.09	-59.6	1.58%	0	0.4	55	0
15	May_2_2005	22.69	21.04	21	20.99	20.93	20.79	20.97(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-60	-7	15	1.55	46%	-0.13	-70.2	1.61%	0	-0.2	44	0

16	Apr_29_2005	22.72	21.06	20.97	21.06	21.05	20.8	20.75(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-80	-15	11	2.59	48%	-0.13	-67.8	1.63%	0	-0.7	45	0
17	Apr_28_2005	22.75	21.12	20.94	21.13	21.19	21.06	20.65(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-30	-16	2	1.88	48%	-0.13	-61.9	1.64%	0	-1	41	0
18	Apr_27_2005	22.78	21.2	20.95	21.26	21.25	21.3	21.23(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	20	9	11	1.74	51%	-0.13	-53.5	1.62%	0	0.1	44	0
19	Apr_26_2005	22.81	21.24	20.91	21.12	21.19	21.31	21.34(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	50	14	-14	1.99	51%	-0.13	-57.8	1.62%	0	0.2	44	0
20	Apr_25_2005	22.84	21.29	20.9	21	21.03	21.19	21.32(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	60	13	-27	2.19	51%	-0.13	-59.5	1.62%	0	0	49	0

21	Apr_22_2005	22.87	21.35	20.87	20.87	20.9	21.08	21.1(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	60	18	-42	2.12	51%	-0.13	-62.3	1.63%	0	-0.4	45	0
22	Apr_21_2005	22.9	21.42	20.89	20.73	20.76	20.86	21.31(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	40	15	-68	2.21	51%	-0.09	-64.3	1.64%	0	-0.2	39	0
23	Apr_20_2005	22.92	21.47	20.91	20.6	20.6	20.73	20.51(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	40	-2	-101	1.95	46%	-0.13	-67.2	1.58%	0	-1.3	25	0
24	Apr_19_2005	22.95	21.58	21.02	20.66	20.62	20.65	20.77(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	0	-3	-107	2.58	46%	-0.09	-69.5	1.58%	0	-1.1	26	0
25	Apr_18_2005	22.97	21.67	21.08	20.78	20.69	20.46	20.67(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-90	-13	-118	2.45	46%		-72.6	1.59%	0	-1.4	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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