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     Fri. Apr. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 20, 2021)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $39.3000 (0.64%) ($39.1400 - $39.5800) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Reversal
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.55 (1.43% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.97% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.3% (StdDev 0.97%)
Daily Moving Force  0.1%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.2%
Latest Price  $39.3000(0.64%)
Forecasted Low Price  39.22(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  39.54(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.4%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.1%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (91% probability)
  SPY(93%)    QQQ(89%)    XLK(87%)    IWM(86%)    PEJ(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will advance at least -0% in a week (27% probabilities).
  TLT(-42%)    TIP(-16%)    SHY(-16%)    ONLN(-9%)    ACES(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the reversal
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.1
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.3% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $39.3(0%)
Support Level  $38.56
5 Day Moving Average  $38.95(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average  $38.68(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average  $38.56(1.92%)
To recent high  -1.8%
To recent low  5.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.97%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110501

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Apr_1_201138.56 (-0%)38.68 (0.2%)38.95 (0.3%)  (0%)39.3(0.64%)39.14-39.581.1(1.3)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0561.500Uptrend Reversal 39.48(0.46%)39.33-39.586.04   -1.8%-5.9% 
2Mar_31_201138.54 (-0%)38.51 (0.2%)38.85 (0.2%)  (0%)39.05(-0.36%)38.83-39.130.8(0.9)0 %0.2%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0481.500Uptrend Reversal 39.23(0.47%)39.08-39.345.56   -2.4%-5.3% 
3Mar_30_201138.56 (-0%)38.38 (0.2%)38.79 (0.5%)  (0%)39.19(1.08%)38.9-39.250.9(1.1)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0521.500Uptrend Reversal 39.37(0.46%)39.22-39.477.03   -2%-5.6% 
4Mar_29_201138.54 (-0%)38.21 (-0%)38.59 (0.5%)  (0%)38.77(0.91%)38.34-38.780.4(0.4)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.2%)0441.500Rebound 38.66(-0.29%)38.77-38.616.12   -3.1%-4.5% 
5Mar_28_201138.53 (-0%)38.21 (-0.2%)38.41 (0.1%)  (0%)38.42(-1.03%)38.41-38.93-0.2(-0.2)0 %-0%0%-0.1% Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(0.5%)0411.500Downtrend 38.35(-0.18%)38.31-38.459.78   -4%-3.6% 
 
6Mar_25_201138.57 (-0%)38.21 (-0.2%)38.36 (0.7%)  (0%)38.82(0.18%)38.74-39.080.4(0.4)0 0.1%-0%0%-0.12% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0491.600Downtrend Consolidation 38.75(-0.19%)38.76-38.743.55   -3%-4.6% 
7Mar_24_201138.57 (-0.2%)38.15 (-0.2%)38.11 (0.6%)  (0%)38.75(1.47%)38.35-38.860.3(0.3)0 0.1%0%0%-0.2% N/A  Range(0.1%)0441.600Downtrend Consolidation 38.63(-0.3%)38.69-38.615.02   -3.1%-4.4% 
8Mar_23_201138.58 (-0.2%)38.14 (-0.4%)37.9 (0.3%)  (0%)38.19(0.87%)37.52-38.29-0.5(-0.7)0 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.28% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0351.600After Bottom 38.07(-0.31%)37.72-38.367.46   -4.5%-2.9% 
9Mar_22_201138.6 (-0.2%)38.23 (-0.4%)37.78 (-0.2%)  (0%)37.86(-0.79%)37.84-38.19-1.1(-1.3)0 %-0.3%0%-0.32% -1.0495862068966 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)0421.600Bottom 37.94(0.2%)37.66-38.126.74   -5.4%-2% 
10Mar_21_201138.66 (-0.2%)38.36 (-0.4%)37.85 (-0.2%)  (0%)38.16(1.54%)37.94-38.23-0.8(-0.9)0 %-0.2%0%-0.28% -0.65813571428571 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0461.600After Bottom 38.05(-0.28%)37.62-38.4113.36   -4.6%-2.9% 
 
11Mar_18_201138.75 (-0.2%)38.42 (-0.4%)37.92 (-0.8%)  (0%)37.58(-0.4%)37.53-38.02-1.6(-1.9)0 -0.2%-0.4%0%-0.3% -1.6745967741936 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)0331.800Bottom 37.71(0.35%)37.37-37.9417.82   -6.1%-1.3% 
12Mar_17_201138.86 (-0.2%)38.59 (-0.2%)38.21 (-0.6%)  (0%)37.73(0.45%)37.69-38.18-1.7(-1.9)0 -0.1%-0.4%0%-0.22% -1.7835254237288 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.5%)0381.700Growing Downtrend 37.58(-0.4%)37.41-37.926.23   -5.7%-1.7% 
13Mar_16_201138.97 (-0.2%)38.77 (-0.2%)38.42 (-0.9%)  (0%)37.56(-1.7%)37.38-38.21-2.3(-2.5)0 -0.2%-0.3%0.9%-0.14% Oversold  Higher(1.3%)0421.600Growing Downtrend 37.48(-0.22%)37.34-37.799.54   -6.1%-1.2% 
14Mar_15_201139.07 (-0%)38.91 (-0%)38.75 (-0.5%)  (0%)38.21(-0.83%)37.49-38.46-1.7(-1.8)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0.1%)0501.400Oversold 38.44(0.61%)38.18-38.517.52   -4.5%-3% 
15Mar_14_201139.13 (-0%)38.96 (-0%)38.93 (-0.2%)  (0%)38.53(-1.23%)38.2-38.83-1.2(-1.4)0 %-0.2%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.4%)0461.200Oversold 38.68(0.39%)38.52-38.726.66   -3.7%-3.9% 
 
16Mar_11_201139.13 (0%)39.05 (-0%)38.99 (-0.1%)  (0%)39.01(0.62%)38.51-39.15-0.4(-0.4)0 %-0%0%-0% N/A  Range(0%)0411.200After Bottom 39.06(0.13%)39.01-39.110.68   -2.5%-5.1% 
17Mar_10_201139.19 (0%)39.05 (-0%)39.03 (-0.4%)  (0%)38.77(-1.15%)38.6-39.08-1(-1)0 -0.1%-0%0%-0.02% N/A  Higher(0.5%)0411.200Downtrend 38.78(0.03%)38.75-38.859.66   -3.1%-4.5% 
18Mar_9_201139.22 (0.2%)39.06 (-0%)39.18 (0.2%)  (0%)39.22(0.23%)38.85-39.32-0.1(0)0 %0.1%0%-0% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0441.200N/A 39.25(0.08%)39.25-39.256.97   -2%-5.7% 
19Mar_8_201139.2 (0.2%)38.99 (-0.2%)39.09 (0.2%)  (0%)39.13(0.8%)38.64-39.24-0.2(-0.2)0 %0%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0%)0471.200N/A 39.15(0.05%)39.1-39.195.38   -2.2%-5.5% 
20Mar_7_201139.17 (0.2%)38.98 (-0.2%)39 (-0.3%)  (0%)38.82(-0.99%)38.6-39.45-0.6(-0.8)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.08% -0.72423636363636 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.2%)0451.300Correction 38.53(-0.75%)38.47-38.758.32   -3%-4.6% 
 
21Mar_4_201139.15 (0.2%)39.09 (-0.2%)39.12 (0.1%)  (0%)39.21(-0.73%)38.88-39.530.1(0.1)0 %-0%0%-0.02% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)0461.500Correction 39.18(-0.07%)39.16-39.218.21   -2%-5.7% 
22Mar_3_201139.09 (0.2%)39.14 (-0%)39.1 (0.4%)  (0%)39.5(1.78%)39.13-39.550.7(0.7)0 0.1%0%0%-0.02% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0531.700N/A 39.43(-0.18%)39.29-39.547.6   -1.3%-6.5% 
23Mar_2_201138.99 (0.2%)39.16 (-0.2%)38.94 (0.2%)  (0%)38.81(0.39%)38.55-38.96-0.2(-0.3)0 %-0.1%0%-0.04% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)048200Correction 38.56(-0.65%)38.5-38.817.41   -3%-4.6% 
24Mar_1_201138.94 (0.2%)39.23 (-0.2%)38.87 (-0.2%)  (0%)38.66(-1.9%)38.61-39.58-0.3(-0.4)0 %-0.1%0%-0.04% -0.35549714285715 Growing Downtrend  Higher(0.9%)0502.200Correction 38.32(-0.88%)38.24-38.6310.04   -3.4%-4.7% 
25Feb_28_201138.88 (0.2%)39.31 (-0%)38.95 (-0.3%)  (0%)39.41(0.77%)39.1-39.410.6(0.7)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0632.500Correction 39.19(-0.57%)39-39.414.89   -1.5%-9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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