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     Wed. Jul. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $29.8600 (2.82%) ($29.0300 - $29.9000) on Wed. Jul. 7, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.86% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $29.8600(2.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-26%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   2.7%
  
 

  


1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $21.27(-28.77%)
Resistance Level  $31.05
5 Day Moving Average  $29.29(1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average  $29.91(-0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average  $31.05(-3.83%)
To recent high  -16.9%
To recent low  2.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLY price fluctuates within 4.41% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

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