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     Thu. May. 15, 2008



Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 27, 2020)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)

XLY latest price $33.6700 (0.96%) ($33.0200 - $33.7200) on Thu. May. 15, 2008.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Implied Volatility  n/a (,,)
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLY advance at 1% a week (91% probability)
  SPY(91%)    IWM(88%)    QQQ(88%)    XLK(86%)    PEJ(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLY price  XLY will advance at least 0.2% in a week (29% probabilities).
  TLT(-41%)    SHY(-29%)    TIP(-17%)    VXX(-8%)    ACES(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2
 
Relative Volatility   0 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  75%
Bullish Price Move  1.8%
Bearish Probability  25%
Bearish Price Move  -1.8%
Recommended Position Size  28%
Latest Price  $33.6700
Next Hour Price  $33.67(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $33.74(0.2%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $33.96(0.86%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $33.44 - $33.87
Support Level  $32.53
5 Day Moving Average  $33.01(2%)
10 Day Moving Average  $32.89(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $32.53(3.5%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  13.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 1.77%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20080615

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1May_15_20080%-13.6% 1.5%,0.8(0.1)1%,0.5(0)0.8%,0.400%1.1%1.8001.1NAN%05.42   33.67(0.96%)33.02-33.72Uptrend 33.74(0.2%)33.44-33.8760
2May_14_20080%-12.5% 1.3%,0.7(0.1)0.9%,0.5(0.2)0.7%,0.300%1.3%1.5001.1NAN%03.69   33.35(1.12%)33.06-33.55Growing Uptrend 33.44(0.26%)33.16-33.5161
3May_13_2008-0.8%-11.3% 1.2%,0.6(0.1)0.5%,0.2(-0.1)0%,000%1%1001.2NAN%02.49   32.98(0.37%)32.73-33.08Uptrend 33.01(0.09%)32.84-33.0862
4May_12_2008-1.2%-10.9% 1%,0.5(0.1)0.8%,0.4(-0)0%,000%1.2%0.9001.3NAN%01.88   32.86(2.05%)32.24-32.9Uptrend 32.93(0.2%)32.73-33.0162
5May_9_2008-3.2%-8.6% 0.9%,0.4(-0)0.9%,0.4(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.300%1.4%0.1001.3NAN%03.41   32.2(-0.59%)31.93-32.45Uptrend 32.27(0.22%)32.18-32.3153
 
6May_8_2008-2.6%-9.3% 0.9%,0.4(-0)1.3%,0.6(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.200%1.6%0.5001.3NAN%03.71   32.39(0.15%)32.16-32.65Uptrend Consolidation 32.31(-0.25%)32.24-32.5254
7May_7_2008-2.8%-9.1% 0.9%,0.4(0.1)1.8%,0.8(0.1)0.5%,0.200%1.7%0.4001.3NAN%04.55   32.34(-1.88%)32.34-33.24Uptrend 32.51(0.53%)32.28-32.6159
8May_6_2008-0.9%-11.2% 0.7%,0.3(0)1.6%,0.7(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%1.7%1.3001.4NAN%03.86   32.96(0.43%)32.38-32.97Uptrend 33.07(0.32%)32.76-33.265
9May_5_2008-1.3%-10.7% 0.6%,0.3(-0)1.8%,0.8(-0.1)0.3%,0.100%1.5%1.3001.3NAN%06.09   32.82(-1.11%)32.7-33.07Uptrend 32.92(0.3%)32.63-33.0469
10May_2_2008-0.2%-12% 0.7%,0.3(-0)2.1%,1(-0)0.5%,0.200%1.4%2001.2NAN%04.58   33.19(-0.21%)32.98-33.64Uptrend 33.28(0.27%)32.9-33.4472
 
11May_1_20080%-12.2% 0.7%,0.4(0)2.2%,1.1(0.2)0.8%,0.400%1.2%2.4001.1NAN%06.86   33.26(5.76%)32.12-33.55Breakout 33.35(0.27%)32.95-33.5270
12Apr_30_2008-4.6%-6.1% 0.7%,0.4(-0.1)1.8%,1.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%0.9%-0.5001NAN%06.21   31.45(-3.47%)31.45-32.88Uptrend Dip 31.72(0.87%)31.56-31.7751
13Apr_29_2008-1.2%-9.9% 0.8%,0.5(0.1)1.9%,1.1(0.4)0.6%,0.400%0.8%1.6001NAN%03.09   32.58(0.8%)32.27-32.62Growing Uptrend 32.72(0.43%)32.42-32.866
14Apr_28_2008-2%-9% 0.7%,0.4(0.2)1.3%,0.7(0.2)0.2%,0.100%0.3%1.1001NAN%03.78   32.32(-0.12%)32.16-32.59Growing Uptrend 32.4(0.26%)32.2-32.4653
15Apr_25_2008-1.9%-9.2% 0.4%,0.2(0.1)0.9%,0.5(0.2)0.2%,0.100%0%1.3001.1NAN%05.68   32.36(1%)31.82-32.41Uptrend 32.38(0.05%)32.21-32.4553
 
16Apr_24_2008-2.8%-8.1% 0.3%,0.1(0)0.4%,0.2(0.2)0.4%,0.200%-0.2%0.9001NAN%05.21   32.04(1.39%)31.52-32.31Uptrend 32.05(0.03%)31.94-32.148
17Apr_23_2008-4.2%-6.6% 0.3%,0.1(-0)0%,0(0.2)0.2%,0.100%-0.3%0.2001NAN%02.59   31.6(-0.03%)31.36-31.87Range Bound 31.59(-0.03%)31.55-31.6342
18Apr_22_2008-4.1%-6.6% 0.3%,0.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.2(0.2)0.6%,0.300%-0.4%0.2001NAN%04.15   31.61(-1.43%)31.33-31.95Range Bound 31.6(-0.04%)31.58-31.6143
19Apr_21_2008-2.7%-8.2% 0.5%,0.3(-0)-0.8%,-0.4(0.1)0.9%,0.500%-0.4%1001NAN%03.43   32.07(0%)31.73-32.08Downtrend 32.04(-0.1%)32.07-31.9748
20Apr_18_2008-2.7%-8.6% 0.6%,0.3(0)-0.9%,-0.5(0)0.7%,0.400%-0.5%1001NAN%04.86   32.07(1.91%)31.75-32.22Downtrend 32.02(-0.17%)32.04-31.9564
 
21Apr_17_2008-4.5%-6.6% 0.5%,0.3(0)-0.9%,-0.5(-0.2)0%,000%-0.4%0001NAN%04.23   31.47(0.45%)31.11-31.49Correction 31.15(-1.03%)31.08-31.4162
22Apr_16_2008-5%-6.1% 0.5%,0.2(-0)-0.6%,-0.3(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%-0%-0.1001.1NAN%06.37   31.33(2.22%)30.83-31.33Correction 31.03(-0.95%)30.96-31.353
23Apr_15_2008-7%-3.8% 0.5%,0.2(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.400%0.3%-1.2001.1NAN%02.88   30.65(-0.13%)30.49-30.84Correction 30.3(-1.15%)30.23-30.5944
24Apr_14_2008-6.9%-4% 0.7%,0.3(-0.1)-0.1%,-0(0)-0.8%,-0.300%0.9%-0.9001.3NAN%03.3   30.69(-0.71%)30.65-30.89N/A 30.89(0.65%)30.69-31.0539
25Apr_11_2008-6.2%-4.7% 0.9%,0.4(-0.1)-0.1%,-0(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.300%1%-0.6001.4NAN%03.88   30.91(-1.84%)30.76-31.29Correction 30.61(-0.97%)30.54-30.9138
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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