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     Tue. Apr. 5, 2011

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Utilities sector ETF)

XLU latest price $31.9700 (-0.4%) ($31.9500 - $32.1200) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  N/A
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.55 (1.74% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.68% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.1% (StdDev 0.68%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.2%
Latest Price  $31.9700(-0.4%)
Forecasted Low Price  31.91(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  32.13(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.1%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLU advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (73% probability)
  XLP(73%)    SPY(62%)    JNK(55%)    XLY(53%)    IWM(51%)  
Factors Impacting XLU price  XLU will advance at least -0% in a week (9% probabilities).
  TLT(-15%)    HYG(-7%)    LIT(-5%)    VT(-4%)    VCIT(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.7
 
Relative Volatility   0.8 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.1% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $31.97(0%)
Support Level  $31.68
5 Day Moving Average  $32(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average  $31.71(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average  $31.68(0.92%)
To recent high  -2.6%
To recent low  3.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 0.68%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110505

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Apr_5_201131.68 (-0%)31.71 (0.9%)32 (0.2%)  (0%)31.97(-0.4%)31.95-32.120.5(0.5)0 %0.1%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0752.600N/A 32.15(0.55%)31.8-32.434.02   -2.6%-3.5% 
2Apr_4_201131.68 (-0%)31.65 (0.8%)31.93 (0.5%)  (0%)32.1(-0.06%)31.99-32.20.6(0.7)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.18% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0612.600Uptrend Reversal 32.28(0.57%)32.13-32.383.97   -2.2%-4% 
3Apr_1_201131.7 (-0.1%)31.56 (0.5%)31.76 (0.4%)  (0%)32.12(0.78%)31.95-32.150.6(0.8)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)0472.600Uptrend Reversal 32.3(0.56%)32.15-32.46.18   -2.1%-4% 
4Mar_31_201131.69 (-0.1%)31.43 (0.1%)31.62 (0.3%)  (0%)31.87(-0.25%)31.8-31.970.2(0.3)0 0.1%0.2%0%-0% N/A  Higher(0.4%)0372.600Rebound 31.84(-0.1%)31.9-31.815.5   -2.9%-3.2% 
5Mar_30_201131.69 (-0.1%)31.35 (-0.3%)31.52 (0.4%)  (0%)31.95(1.14%)31.67-32.070.3(0.4)0 0.1%0.2%0%-0.08% N/A  Range(0.3%)0392.600N/A 31.85(-0.32%)31.82-31.875.6   -2.7%-3.5% 
 
6Mar_29_201131.7 (-0.2%)31.25 (-0.7%)31.39 (0.2%)  (0%)31.59(0.99%)31.21-31.62-0.2(-0.2)0 %0%0%-0.2% N/A  Range(0%)0282.600Downtrend Consolidation 31.47(-0.39%)31.64-31.415.44   -3.7%-2.3% 
7Mar_28_201131.71 (-0.2%)31.23 (-0.9%)31.33 (0%)  (0%)31.28(-0.35%)31.28-31.58-0.7(-0.8)0 %-0.2%0%-0.26% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0%)0312.700Downtrend 31.01(-0.85%)30.87-31.364.59   -4.7%-1.3% 
8Mar_25_201131.75 (-0.2%)31.3 (-1%)31.32 (0.3%)  (0%)31.39(-0.03%)31.36-31.53-0.5(-0.7)0 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.26% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0402.700Downtrend 31.14(-0.8%)31.01-31.443.41   -4.4%-1.7% 
9Mar_24_201131.77 (-0.3%)31.4 (-1.1%)31.22 (0.3%)  (0%)31.4(0.42%)31.19-31.48-0.6(-0.7)0 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.28% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0422.600Downtrend 31.14(-0.83%)31-31.476.2   -4.3%-1.7% 
10Mar_23_201131.78 (-0.3%)31.5 (-1.1%)31.14 (0.2%)  (0%)31.27(-0.06%)31.08-31.34-0.8(-0.9)0 %-0.3%0%-0.3% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.3%)0382.600Downtrend 30.98(-0.92%)30.82-31.365.62   -4.7%-1.3% 
 
11Mar_22_201131.81 (-0.4%)31.64 (-1.1%)31.09 (-0.1%)  (0%)31.29(0.16%)31.16-31.44-0.8(-1)0 %-0.3%0%-0.28% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)0442.500Growing Downtrend 31.05(-0.78%)30.86-31.377.27   -4.7%-1.3% 
12Mar_21_201131.83 (-0.4%)31.76 (-0.9%)31.12 (-0.5%)  (0%)31.24(1.17%)31.09-31.34-1(-1.1)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.24% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)0452.500Growing Downtrend 31.01(-0.73%)30.83-31.335.09   -4.8%-1.2% 
13Mar_18_201131.87 (-0.3%)31.85 (-0.8%)31.29 (-1%)  (0%)30.88(-0.48%)30.75-31.15-1.8(-1.9)0 -0.2%-0.3%0%-0.2% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)0362.500Growing Downtrend 30.68(-0.66%)30.48-31.049.1   -5.9%-0
14Mar_17_201131.93 (-0.2%)31.97 (-0.4%)31.62 (-0.9%)  (0%)31.03(0.13%)30.79-31.3-1.8(-2)0 -0.2%-0.3%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.5%)0442.200Downtrend 30.93(-0.31%)30.83-31.1712.03   -5.5%-0.1
15Mar_16_201131.97 (-0%)32.1 (0%)31.91 (-1.1%)  (0%)30.99(-1.56%)30.74-31.51-2.2(-2.5)0 -0.2%-0.3%0.5%0% Oversold  Higher(0.8%)046200N/A 31.21(0.7%)30.9-31.4615.34   -5.6%-0
 
16Mar_15_201132.02 (0.2%)32.2 (0.7%)32.27 (-0.6%)  (0%)31.48(-1.9%)31.37-31.65-1.5(-1.6)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.12% Oversold  Higher(0.8%)0501.700Uptrend Consolidation 31.63(0.48%)31.66-31.5414.26   -4.1%-1.3% 
17Mar_14_201132.04 (0.4%)32.2 (1.1%)32.47 (-0%)  (0%)32.09(-1.32%)31.87-32.20.2(0.2)0 %-0%0%0.18% N/A  Higher(0.7%)0561.700After Top 32.22(0.39%)32.04-32.3518.97   -2.2%-3.2% 
18Mar_11_201132.03 (0.5%)32.25 (1.2%)32.48 (0.3%)  (0%)32.52(0.22%)32.34-32.641.3(1.5)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)0601.800Growing Uptrend 32.69(0.51%)32.44-32.755.03   -0.9%-4.6% 
19Mar_10_201132.01 (0.4%)32.18 (1.1%)32.38 (0.2%)  (0%)32.45(-1.13%)32.43-32.711.3(1.5)0 %0.2%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)0601.700Growing Uptrend 32.58(0.4%)32.37-32.6310.86   -1.1%-4.4% 
20Mar_9_201131.98 (0.4%)32.09 (1%)32.33 (0.6%)  (0%)32.82(1.02%)32.45-32.892.7(3)0 0.1%0.3%-0.75%0.14% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-1.3%)0671.700Breakout 32.91(0.27%)32.68-33.0113.11   0%-5.9% 
 
21Mar_8_201131.94 (0.3%)31.97 (0.8%)32.13 (0.4%)  (0%)32.49(1.12%)32.13-32.562.4(2.8)0 0.1%0.2%-0.5%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-0.9%)0611.200Breakout 32.51(0.07%)32.4-32.566.72   0%-5.2% 
22Mar_7_201131.91 (0.2%)31.9 (0.5%)32.13 (0%)  (0%)32.13(0.37%)32.05-32.381.2(1.4)0 %0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)058100Uptrend 32.14(0.02%)32.09-32.1510.81   -0.2%-4.1% 
23Mar_4_201131.91 (0.2%)31.87 (0.5%)31.99 (0.2%)  (0%)32.01(-0.59%)31.77-32.230.8(0.8)0 %0%0%0.04% N/A  Higher(0.3%)0490.900Uptrend 32.02(0.04%)31.99-32.047.34   -0.6%-3.7% 
24Mar_3_201131.89 (0.1%)31.86 (0.2%)31.94 (0.4%)  (0%)32.2(1.13%)31.99-32.261.9(2.1)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.02% Overbought  Range(0.2%)0510.900Uptrend 32.2(0%)32.15-32.225.78   0%-4.3% 
25Mar_2_201131.87 (-0.1%)31.81 (-0.4%)31.82 (0.1%)  (0%)31.84(0.16%)31.72-31.93-0.2(-0.2)0 %-0%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0%)0450.800Downtrend Consolidation 31.84(-0.01%)31.85-31.835.76   -0.9%-3.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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