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     Fri. Sep. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)

XLP latest price $27.2900 (0.63%) ($27.1100 - $27.2900) on Fri. Sep. 3, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.25 (0.93% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.93% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 0.93%)
Daily Moving Force  0.1%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   -0%
Latest Price  $27.2900(0.63%)
Forecasted Low Price  27.24(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  27.43(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.4%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (81% probability)
  SPY(81%)    XLU(73%)    XLY(73%)    XLK(71%)    QQQ(69%)  
Factors Impacting XLP price  XLP will advance at least -0% in a week (20% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    TIP(-14%)    VXX(-9%)    XLC(-7%)    SHY(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   0.8
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $27.29(0%)
Support Level  $26.84
5 Day Moving Average  $26.86(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average  $26.78(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average  $26.84(1.68%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  7.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.93%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20101003

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Sep_3_201026.84 (-0.2%)26.78 (0.1%)26.86 (0.5%)  (0%)27.29(0.63%)27.11-27.291.6(1.8)0 0.1%0.2%0%-0% N/A  Range(0.3%)060100Rebound 27.08(-0.77%)27.3-26.985.84   -0.4%-7.2% 
2Sep_2_201026.83 (-0.4%)26.72 (-0.3%)26.74 (0.5%)  (0%)27.12(0.63%)26.94-27.121.1(1.3)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0.2%)0560.900Rebound 26.99(-0.49%)27.11-26.936.04   -1%-6.6% 
3Sep_1_201026.82 (-0.5%)26.72 (-0.6%)26.62 (0.2%)  (0%)26.95(1.77%)26.71-270.6(0.6)0 %-0%0%-0.1% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0530.900After Bottom 26.87(-0.29%)26.86-26.889.66   -1.6%-5.9% 
4Aug_31_201026.83 (-0.6%)26.67 (-0.6%)26.57 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.48(0.08%)26.37-26.64-1.3(-1.5)0 %-0.2%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0390.900After Bottom 26.54(0.21%)26.39-26.6512.42   -3.3%-4% 
5Aug_30_201026.86 (-0.6%)26.73 (-0.6%)26.61 (-0.3%)  (0%)26.46(-0.86%)26.46-26.77-1.6(-1.7)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.2%)028100Downtrend 26.44(-0.07%)26.4-26.548.01   -3.4%-4% 
 
6Aug_27_201026.9 (-0.6%)26.76 (-0.7%)26.61 (0%)  (0%)26.69(0.64%)26.35-26.72-1(-1)0 %-0%0%-0.12% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0340.900After Bottom 26.72(0.13%)26.61-26.829.87   -2.6%-4.9% 
7Aug_26_201026.92 (-0.6%)26.77 (-0.9%)26.68 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.52(-0.75%)26.46-26.82-1.8(-1.9)0 %-0.1%0%-0.12% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.3%)0350.800Downtrend 26.51(-0.05%)26.47-26.597.55   -3.2%-4.2% 
8Aug_25_201026.94 (-0.6%)26.81 (-0.9%)26.73 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.72(0.23%)26.49-26.8-1(-1.1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.12% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0410.800Downtrend 26.7(-0.09%)26.67-26.766.55   -2.4%-5% 
9Aug_24_201026.97 (-0.3%)26.82 (-0.8%)26.79 (-0.3%)  (0%)26.66(-0.49%)26.5-26.8-1.2(-1.5)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0360.800Growing Downtrend 26.64(-0.08%)26.61-26.718.43   -2.7%-4.8% 
10Aug_23_201027 (-0.2%)26.88 (-0.6%)26.87 (0%)  (0%)26.79(0.22%)26.77-26.94-0.9(-1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0430.800After Bottom 26.83(0.15%)26.74-26.94.15   -2.2%-5.3% 
 
11Aug_20_201027.03 (0%)26.92 (-0.6%)26.86 (-0.1%)  (0%)26.73(0%)26.64-26.77-1.4(-1.5)0 %-0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0350.800Downtrend 26.72(-0.02%)26.7-26.785.86   -2.4%-5% 
12Aug_19_201027.05 (0.2%)26.96 (-0.6%)26.88 (-0%)  (0%)26.73(-1.18%)26.62-26.97-1.5(-1.7)0 %-0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0.5%)0460.700Correction 26.62(-0.41%)26.6-26.717.94   -2.4%-5% 
13Aug_18_201027.06 (0.2%)26.99 (-0.5%)26.89 (0.2%)  (0%)27.05(0.07%)26.89-27.14-0(-0)0 %0%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0%)0540.700Downtrend 27.04(-0.03%)27.04-27.055.38   -1.3%-6.3% 
14Aug_17_201027.04 (0.1%)26.99 (-0.6%)26.85 (-0.2%)  (0%)27.03(0.97%)26.83-27.17-0(-0)0 %0%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0%)0450.800After Bottom 27.01(-0.08%)26.98-27.035.25   -1.9%-6.2% 
15Aug_16_201027.04 (0.1%)27 (-0.6%)26.9 (-0.3%)  (0%)26.77(-0.11%)26.53-26.82-1(-1.1)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.06% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0360.800Correction 26.62(-0.57%)26.59-26.745.08   -2.9%-5.2% 
 
16Aug_13_201027.03 (0.2%)27.05 (-0.3%)26.99 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.8(-0.04%)26.68-26.87-0.9(-0.9)0 %-0%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0%)0390.900Correction 26.68(-0.45%)26.65-26.794.44   -2.8%-5.3% 
17Aug_12_201027.03 (0.3%)27.07 (-0.3%)27.05 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.81(-0.11%)26.54-26.85-0.9(-0.9)0 %-0%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.1%)0440.900Correction 26.69(-0.44%)26.67-26.86.41   -3.2%-5.3% 
18Aug_11_201027.03 (0.5%)27.09 (-0.2%)27.1 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.84(-1.65%)26.8-27.01-0.6(-0.7)0 %-0.1%0%-0% N/A  Higher(0.7%)0510.900Correction 26.74(-0.36%)26.72-26.849.34   -3.1%-5.5% 
19Aug_10_201027.02 (0.7%)27.09 (0.2%)27.16 (0.2%)  (0%)27.29(0.22%)27.05-27.431.1(1.1)0 %0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0%)0660.900Uptrend 27.3(0.03%)27.24-27.337.5   -1.5%-7.2% 
20Aug_9_201027 (0.8%)27.13 (0.2%)27.11 (-0%)  (0%)27.23(0.52%)27.12-27.310.9(0.9)0 %0%0%0.08% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0570.900Uptrend Consolidation 27.17(-0.22%)27.14-27.263.65   -1.7%-7% 
 
21Aug_6_201026.97 (1%)27.13 (0.5%)27.12 (0.1%)  (0%)27.09(0.22%)26.8-27.10.4(0.4)0 %0%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0%)0610.900Uptrend 27.13(0.15%)27.07-27.168.37   -2.2%-6.4% 
22Aug_5_201026.94 (1.1%)27.13 (0.7%)27.1 (0.1%)  (0%)27.03(-0.44%)26.96-27.080.2(0.3)0 %0.1%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0610.900Uptrend 27.08(0.2%)27.02-27.1118.51   -2.4%-6.2% 
23Aug_4_201026.91 (1%)27.14 (0.5%)27.08 (-0%)  (0%)27.15(0.37%)27.03-27.220.6(0.7)0 %0.2%0%0.16% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0541.100Uptrend 27.21(0.21%)27.11-27.254.46   -2%-6.7% 
24Aug_3_201026.86 (0.9%)27.09 (0.4%)27.09 (-0.3%)  (0%)27.05(-0.88%)26.99-27.160.4(0.5)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0.18% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)0541.400Uptrend 27.13(0.29%)27.02-27.187.1   -2.7%-6.3% 
25Aug_2_201026.8 (0.9%)27.07 (0.5%)27.16 (0%)  (0%)27.29(1.15%)27.13-27.291(1.2)0 %0.3%0%0.2% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)0581.400Uptrend 27.37(0.29%)27.2-27.447.79   -1.8%-7.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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