Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.5800 (0.08%) ($26.5000 - $26.6400) on Wed. Dec. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative   After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.25 (0.93% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.1% (StdDev 0.66%)
Daily Moving Force   %
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.16%
Latest Price   $26.5800(0.08%)
Forecasted Low Price   26.5(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price   26.63(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(-0.1%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   0.8%
Hourly Trend 0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (81% probability)
SPY(81%)    XLU(73%)    XLY(73%)    XLK(71%)    QQQ(69%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will advance at least -0% in a week (21% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-14%)    SHY(-9%)    DRIV(-7%)    XLF(-6%)
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 0.4

Relative Volatility -0.1 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Next Hour Price   $26.58(0%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.21(-1.39%)
Resistance Level   $26.82
5 Day Moving Average   $26.46(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.7(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.82(-0.89%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.66% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100123

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Dec_23_2009	26.82 (-0.6%)	26.7 (-0.9%)	26.46 (-0.2%)		(0%)	26.58(0.08%)	26.5-26.64	-0.9(-1)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	-0.16%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	0	42	1.4	0	0	After Bottom	26.57(-0.05%)	26.39-26.71	3.56	-2.2%-5.4%
2	Dec_22_2009	26.85 (-0.5%)	26.72 (-0.9%)	26.52 (-0.3%)		(0%)	26.56(0.68%)	26.35-26.58	-1(-1.1)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.14%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.2%)	0	37	1.5	0	0	Downtrend	26.49(-0.28%)	26.43-26.61	4.11	-2.3%-5.3%
3	Dec_21_2009	26.88 (-0.4%)	26.73 (-0.9%)	26.6 (-0.6%)		(0%)	26.38(0.53%)	26.27-26.53	-1.8(-2)	0	-0.1%	-0.2%	0%	-0.14%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.3%)	0	32	1.4	0	0	Growing Downtrend	26.32(-0.21%)	26.26-26.47	7.65	-2.9%-4.6%
4	Dec_18_2009	26.91 (-0.2%)	26.8 (-0.6%)	26.75 (-0.6%)		(0%)	26.24(-1.13%)	25.96-26.53	-2.6(-2.9)	0	-0.1%	-0.3%	0.9%	-0.08%	Oversold	Higher(1.1%)	0	41	1.3	0	0	Growing Downtrend	26.22(-0.07%)	26.17-26.35	10.12	-3.5%-4%
5	Dec_17_2009	26.94 (0.1%)	26.88 (-0.2%)	26.9 (-0.2%)		(0%)	26.54(-1.19%)	26.53-26.79	-2.2(-2.4)	0	%	-0.1%	0.3%	-0.02%	Oversold	Higher(0.8%)	0	44	1	0	0	Correction	26.46(-0.31%)	26.44-26.53	10.7	-2.4%-5.2%

6	Dec_16_2009	26.96 (0.3%)	26.93 (-0.2%)	26.96 (0.1%)		(0%)	26.86(-0.48%)	26.85-27.1	-0.5(-0.7)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	-0%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	44	0.8	0	0	N/A	26.88(0.09%)	26.86-26.9	6.11	-1.2%-6.5%
7	Dec_15_2009	26.96 (0.4%)	26.95 (-0.3%)	26.94 (0.2%)		(0%)	26.99(-0.41%)	26.92-27.06	0.1(0.1)	0	%	-0%	0%	-0%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	45	0.8	0	0	N/A	27(0.02%)	26.99-27	5.23	-0.7%-7.4%
8	Dec_14_2009	26.97 (0.4%)	26.96 (-0.5%)	26.88 (0%)		(0%)	27.1(0.37%)	27.02-27.18	0.7(0.9)	0	%	0.1%	0%	-0.02%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	49	0.8	0	0	Downtrend	27.09(-0.04%)	27.09-27.08	4.09	-0.3%-7.8%
9	Dec_11_2009	26.95 (0.5%)	26.93 (-0.6%)	26.87 (-0%)		(0%)	27(0.56%)	26.94-27.13	0.2(0.4)	0	%	0.1%	0%	-0.04%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	53	0.8	0	0	Correction	26.98(-0.08%)	26.97-26.99	4.55	-0.7%-7.4%
10	Dec_10_2009	26.93 (0.6%)	26.92 (-0.5%)	26.88 (-0%)		(0%)	26.85(0.34%)	26.82-27	-0.3(-0.5)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	-0.02%	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	0	51	1	0	0	Correction	26.77(-0.31%)	26.75-26.84	6.64	-1.2%-6.8%

11	Dec_9_2009	26.93 (0.7%)	26.95 (-0.3%)	26.89 (-0.3%)		(0%)	26.76(0.19%)	26.59-26.78	-0.7(-0.9)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0%	N/A	Range(-0.2%)	0	46	1.1	0	0	Correction	26.69(-0.27%)	26.67-26.76	6.64	-1.5%-6.9%
12	Dec_8_2009	26.93 (1%)	26.99 (-0%)	26.96 (-0.3%)		(0%)	26.71(-1.15%)	26.6-26.9	-1(-1.2)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Higher(0.4%)	0	44	1.1	0	0	Correction	26.67(-0.15%)	26.66-26.73	9.98	-1.7%-6.7%
13	Dec_7_2009	26.92 (1.2%)	27.03 (0.3%)	27.05 (0.2%)		(0%)	27.02(-0.11%)	26.92-27.11	0.4(0.5)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.08%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	55	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	27.06(0.16%)	27.01-27.09	4.44	-0.6%-7.9%
14	Dec_4_2009	26.88 (1%)	27.02 (0.2%)	27 (0.1%)		(0%)	27.05(0.52%)	26.87-27.29	0.6(0.7)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.08%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	60	1.4	0	0	Uptrend	27.09(0.15%)	27.02-27.12	8.09	-0.5%-8.9%
15	Dec_3_2009	26.83 (0.8%)	27 (0.2%)	26.97 (-0.2%)		(0%)	26.91(-0.77%)	26.87-27.16	0.3(0.3)	0	%	0%	0%	0.08%	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.4%)	0	62	1.7	0	0	Uptrend	26.95(0.16%)	26.89-26.98	7.58	-1%-9.1%

16	Dec_2_2009	26.79 (0.8%)	27.01 (0.3%)	27.01 (-0%)		(0%)	27.12(-0.11%)	27-27.19	0.9(1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	0	62	2	0	0	Uptrend	27.2(0.28%)	27.06-27.25	4.97	-0.2%-10.2%
17	Dec_1_2009	26.74 (0.7%)	27 (0.4%)	27.01 (0%)		(0%)	27.15(1.38%)	26.83-27.16	1(1.1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.14%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	64	2.3	0	0	Uptrend	27.26(0.4%)	27.07-27.34	5.35	-0.1%-10.4%
18	Nov_30_2009	26.68 (0.7%)	27 (0.5%)	27.02 (-0.1%)		(0%)	26.78(-0.37%)	26.68-26.91	0.2(0.3)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.16%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	0	57	2.4	0	0	Uptrend	26.91(0.48%)	26.76-26.97	4.73	-1.5%-8.9%
19	Nov_27_2009	26.64 (0.6%)	26.97 (0.6%)	27.04 (0%)		(0%)	26.88(-0.92%)	26.53-27.01	0.5(0.6)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	0	70	2.6	0	0	Uptrend	27.06(0.67%)	26.84-27.16	3.91	-1.1%-9.3%
20	Nov_25_2009	26.61 (0.6%)	26.94 (0.6%)	27.03 (0.1%)		(0%)	27.13(-0.18%)	27.12-27.24	1(1.2)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	0	80	2.9	0	0	Uptrend	27.33(0.73%)	27.04-27.45	4.85	-0.2%-10.3%

21	Nov_24_2009	26.54 (0.5%)	26.9 (0.7%)	27 (0.1%)		(0%)	27.18(0.22%)	27.02-27.21	1.3(1.4)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	83	2.9	0	0	Uptrend	27.4(0.82%)	27.06-27.55	4.57	0%-10.5%
22	Nov_23_2009	26.48 (0.5%)	26.84 (0.9%)	26.97 (0.2%)		(0%)	27.12(0.86%)	27.06-27.23	1.3(1.5)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.26%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	84	2.8	0	0	Uptrend	27.35(0.86%)	27.01-27.5	4.27	0%-10.3%
23	Nov_20_2009	26.41 (0.4%)	26.79 (1%)	26.92 (0.2%)		(0%)	26.89(0.15%)	26.74-26.97	1(1.2)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.26%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	73	2.6	0	0	Uptrend	27.11(0.83%)	26.81-27.24	5.68	-0.4%-9.9%
24	Nov_19_2009	26.37 (0.4%)	26.72 (1.1%)	26.88 (0.2%)		(0%)	26.85(-0.48%)	26.65-26.91	1.1(1.2)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.26%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	0	76	2.6	0	0	Uptrend	27.08(0.86%)	26.77-27.22	6.21	-0.6%-10.3%
25	Nov_18_2009	26.34 (0.3%)	26.66 (1.1%)	26.82 (0.2%)		(0%)	26.98(-0.07%)	26.8-27.02	1.5(1.7)	0	%	0.3%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	0	64	2.4	0	0	Uptrend	27.16(0.68%)	26.86-27.29	6.23	-0.1%-11.5%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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