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     Wed. Dec. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)

XLP latest price $26.5800 (0.08%) ($26.5000 - $26.6400) on Wed. Dec. 23, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.25 (0.93% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.66% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.1% (StdDev 0.66%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.16%
Latest Price  $26.5800(0.08%)
Forecasted Low Price  26.5(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price  26.63(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.1%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.8%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLP declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (81% probability)
  SPY(81%)    XLU(73%)    XLY(73%)    XLK(71%)    QQQ(69%)  
Factors Impacting XLP price  XLP will advance at least -0% in a week (21% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    TIP(-14%)    SHY(-9%)    DRIV(-7%)    XLF(-6%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.4
 
Relative Volatility   -0.1 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.1% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $26.58(0%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $26.21(-1.39%)
Resistance Level  $26.82
5 Day Moving Average  $26.46(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $26.7(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average  $26.82(-0.89%)
To recent high  -2.2%
To recent low  5.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.66%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20100123

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Dec_23_200926.82 (-0.6%)26.7 (-0.9%)26.46 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.58(0.08%)26.5-26.64-0.9(-1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.16% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0421.400After Bottom 26.57(-0.05%)26.39-26.713.56   -2.2%-5.4% 
2Dec_22_200926.85 (-0.5%)26.72 (-0.9%)26.52 (-0.3%)  (0%)26.56(0.68%)26.35-26.58-1(-1.1)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.14% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0371.500Downtrend 26.49(-0.28%)26.43-26.614.11   -2.3%-5.3% 
3Dec_21_200926.88 (-0.4%)26.73 (-0.9%)26.6 (-0.6%)  (0%)26.38(0.53%)26.27-26.53-1.8(-2)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.14% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)0321.400Growing Downtrend 26.32(-0.21%)26.26-26.477.65   -2.9%-4.6% 
4Dec_18_200926.91 (-0.2%)26.8 (-0.6%)26.75 (-0.6%)  (0%)26.24(-1.13%)25.96-26.53-2.6(-2.9)0 -0.1%-0.3%0.9%-0.08% Oversold  Higher(1.1%)0411.300Growing Downtrend 26.22(-0.07%)26.17-26.3510.12   -3.5%-4% 
5Dec_17_200926.94 (0.1%)26.88 (-0.2%)26.9 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.54(-1.19%)26.53-26.79-2.2(-2.4)0 %-0.1%0.3%-0.02% Oversold  Higher(0.8%)044100Correction 26.46(-0.31%)26.44-26.5310.7   -2.4%-5.2% 
 
6Dec_16_200926.96 (0.3%)26.93 (-0.2%)26.96 (0.1%)  (0%)26.86(-0.48%)26.85-27.1-0.5(-0.7)0 %-0.1%0%-0% N/A  Range(0.1%)0440.800N/A 26.88(0.09%)26.86-26.96.11   -1.2%-6.5% 
7Dec_15_200926.96 (0.4%)26.95 (-0.3%)26.94 (0.2%)  (0%)26.99(-0.41%)26.92-27.060.1(0.1)0 %-0%0%-0% N/A  Range(0.2%)0450.800N/A 27(0.02%)26.99-275.23   -0.7%-7.4% 
8Dec_14_200926.97 (0.4%)26.96 (-0.5%)26.88 (0%)  (0%)27.1(0.37%)27.02-27.180.7(0.9)0 %0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.1%)0490.800Downtrend 27.09(-0.04%)27.09-27.084.09   -0.3%-7.8% 
9Dec_11_200926.95 (0.5%)26.93 (-0.6%)26.87 (-0%)  (0%)27(0.56%)26.94-27.130.2(0.4)0 %0.1%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)0530.800Correction 26.98(-0.08%)26.97-26.994.55   -0.7%-7.4% 
10Dec_10_200926.93 (0.6%)26.92 (-0.5%)26.88 (-0%)  (0%)26.85(0.34%)26.82-27-0.3(-0.5)0 %-0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(-0.1%)051100Correction 26.77(-0.31%)26.75-26.846.64   -1.2%-6.8% 
 
11Dec_9_200926.93 (0.7%)26.95 (-0.3%)26.89 (-0.3%)  (0%)26.76(0.19%)26.59-26.78-0.7(-0.9)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0% N/A  Range(-0.2%)0461.100Correction 26.69(-0.27%)26.67-26.766.64   -1.5%-6.9% 
12Dec_8_200926.93 (1%)26.99 (-0%)26.96 (-0.3%)  (0%)26.71(-1.15%)26.6-26.9-1(-1.2)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Higher(0.4%)0441.100Correction 26.67(-0.15%)26.66-26.739.98   -1.7%-6.7% 
13Dec_7_200926.92 (1.2%)27.03 (0.3%)27.05 (0.2%)  (0%)27.02(-0.11%)26.92-27.110.4(0.5)0 %0.1%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0551.100Uptrend 27.06(0.16%)27.01-27.094.44   -0.6%-7.9% 
14Dec_4_200926.88 (1%)27.02 (0.2%)27 (0.1%)  (0%)27.05(0.52%)26.87-27.290.6(0.7)0 %0.1%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0601.400Uptrend 27.09(0.15%)27.02-27.128.09   -0.5%-8.9% 
15Dec_3_200926.83 (0.8%)27 (0.2%)26.97 (-0.2%)  (0%)26.91(-0.77%)26.87-27.160.3(0.3)0 %0%0%0.08% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.4%)0621.700Uptrend 26.95(0.16%)26.89-26.987.58   -1%-9.1% 
 
16Dec_2_200926.79 (0.8%)27.01 (0.3%)27.01 (-0%)  (0%)27.12(-0.11%)27-27.190.9(1)0 %0.1%0%0.12% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)062200Uptrend 27.2(0.28%)27.06-27.254.97   -0.2%-10.2% 
17Dec_1_200926.74 (0.7%)27 (0.4%)27.01 (0%)  (0%)27.15(1.38%)26.83-27.161(1.1)0 %0.1%0%0.14% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0642.300Uptrend 27.26(0.4%)27.07-27.345.35   -0.1%-10.4% 
18Nov_30_200926.68 (0.7%)27 (0.5%)27.02 (-0.1%)  (0%)26.78(-0.37%)26.68-26.910.2(0.3)0 %0.1%0%0.16% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)0572.400Uptrend 26.91(0.48%)26.76-26.974.73   -1.5%-8.9% 
19Nov_27_200926.64 (0.6%)26.97 (0.6%)27.04 (0%)  (0%)26.88(-0.92%)26.53-27.010.5(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0.18% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)0702.600Uptrend 27.06(0.67%)26.84-27.163.91   -1.1%-9.3% 
20Nov_25_200926.61 (0.6%)26.94 (0.6%)27.03 (0.1%)  (0%)27.13(-0.18%)27.12-27.241(1.2)0 %0.2%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)0802.900Uptrend 27.33(0.73%)27.04-27.454.85   -0.2%-10.3% 
 
21Nov_24_200926.54 (0.5%)26.9 (0.7%)27 (0.1%)  (0%)27.18(0.22%)27.02-27.211.3(1.4)0 %0.2%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0832.900Uptrend 27.4(0.82%)27.06-27.554.57   0%-10.5% 
22Nov_23_200926.48 (0.5%)26.84 (0.9%)26.97 (0.2%)  (0%)27.12(0.86%)27.06-27.231.3(1.5)0 %0.2%0%0.26% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0842.800Uptrend 27.35(0.86%)27.01-27.54.27   0%-10.3% 
23Nov_20_200926.41 (0.4%)26.79 (1%)26.92 (0.2%)  (0%)26.89(0.15%)26.74-26.971(1.2)0 %0.2%0%0.26% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0732.600Uptrend 27.11(0.83%)26.81-27.245.68   -0.4%-9.9% 
24Nov_19_200926.37 (0.4%)26.72 (1.1%)26.88 (0.2%)  (0%)26.85(-0.48%)26.65-26.911.1(1.2)0 %0.2%0%0.26% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)0762.600Uptrend 27.08(0.86%)26.77-27.226.21   -0.6%-10.3% 
25Nov_18_200926.34 (0.3%)26.66 (1.1%)26.82 (0.2%)  (0%)26.98(-0.07%)26.8-27.021.5(1.7)0 %0.3%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)0642.400Uptrend 27.16(0.68%)26.86-27.296.23   -0.1%-11.5% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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