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     Thu. Sep. 2, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $18.9400 (1.18%) ($18.6400 - $18.9400) on Thu. Sep. 2, 2004.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.17% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $18.9400(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(78%)    EEM(74%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $18.75(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average  $18.74(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average  $18.56(2.05%)
To recent high  -8.5%
To recent low  5.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

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