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     Thu. Mar. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $20.9600 (0.87%) ($20.7700 - $20.9900) on Thu. Mar. 4, 2004.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.12% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $20.9600(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $20.97
5 Day Moving Average  $20.86(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average  $20.8(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.97(-0.05%)
To recent high  -5.2%
To recent low  7.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

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