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     Wed. Mar. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)

XLF latest price $20.3900 (2.72%) ($19.3870 - $21.2300) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.2% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $20.3900(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLF advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLF declines -11% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  VYM(92%)    XLI(90%)    IWD(86%)    XLB(86%)    IVE(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLF price  XLF will decline at least -2.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-62%)    VXX(-29%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-22%)    TIP(0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.1% (StdDev 4.2%)
Hourly BBV   1.5 ()
Intraday Trend   1.2%
  
 

  


1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $-7.26(-135.61%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $22.75
5 Day Moving Average  $19.28(5.76%)
10 Day Moving Average  $19.95(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average  $22.75(-10.37%)
To recent high  -34.6%
To recent low  15.5%
Market Cap  $N/A