Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 27, 2019

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)
XLF latest price $30.7700 (-0.26%) ($30.7500 - $30.9100) on Fri. Dec. 27, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $30.7700(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLF advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(93%)    XLI(91%)    IWD(88%)    IVE(87%)    VT(87%)
Factors Impacting XLF price   XLF will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-65%)    VXX(-32%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0.4 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.72(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.77(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.48(0.95%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLF price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2019	28.58	30.48			30.74	30.81	30.77(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	20	6	38	19.18	58%	0.11	45	0.8%	0.4	0.7	63	0.9
2	Dec_26_2019	28.55	30.45	30.77		30.72	30.72	30.85(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	0	3	57	18.68	58%	0.21	51.1	0.8%	0.4	1	73	1.2
3	Dec_24_2019	28.49	30.41	30.71	30.72	30.73	30.67	30.68(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-9	62	12.32	58%	0.14	54.7	0.8%	-2.4	0.7	73	1.3
4	Dec_23_2019	28.45	30.38	30.68	30.77	30.79	30.71	30.61(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-20	-10	86	37.13	58%	0.11	64.8	0.81%	-1.3	0.6	77	1.2
5	Dec_20_2019	28.42	30.35	30.65	30.81	30.85	30.79	30.68(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10	-7	103	93.1	58%	0.11	68.2	0.81%	-2.2	0.8	64	1.5

6	Dec_19_2019	28.39	30.3	30.62	30.81	30.89	30.87	30.8(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	0	-2	112	36.24	58%	0.11	66.7	0.82%	-1.4	1.2	61	1.8
7	Dec_18_2019	28.36	30.24	30.54	30.82	30.87	30.92	30.81(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	20	13	116	39.07	58%	0.07	70.5	0.82%	-1.7	1.4	60	1.7
8	Dec_17_2019	28.34	30.2	30.45	30.7	30.78	30.91	30.94(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	40	21	100	30.8	58%	0.11	65.9	0.82%	1	1.9	65	2.1
9	Dec_16_2019	28.31	30.14	30.31	30.58	30.62	30.82	30.82(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	50	9	67	43.21	58%	0.07	64.7	0.82%	0.3	1.9	62	2.2