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     Thu. Jun. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $51.5800 (1.9%) ($50.9300 - $51.6100) on Thu. Jun. 5, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.11% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $51.5800(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLI(86%)    VT(80%)    IWM(79%)    XLF(79%)    SPY(76%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $50.69(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average  $50.3(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average  $50.19(2.77%)
To recent high  -2%
To recent low  6.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

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