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     Thu. Jan. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $51.3300 (-1.27%) ($51.1400 - $51.9900) on Thu. Jan. 23, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.7% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $51.3300(-1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $51.28(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $50.87(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average  $50.14(2.37%)
To recent high  -1.3%
To recent low  15.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

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