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     Wed. Dec. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $32.4200 (0.68%) ($32.3500 - $32.4200) on Wed. Dec. 19, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.99% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $32.4200(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $31.87(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average  $31.78(2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average  $31.44(3.12%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  9.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

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