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     Thu. Sep. 12, 2019

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)

UGAZ latest price $207.8000 (2.47%) ($197.2000 - $210.4000) on Thu. Sep. 12, 2019.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  6.4% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $207.8000(2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  UGAZ advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UGAZ advances 24.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  DRIV(31%)    IDRV(30%)    URA(28%)    XLY(28%)    SMH(27%)  
Factors Impacting UGAZ price  UGAZ will decline at least -3.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-23%)    VXX(-18%)    SHY(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-15%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -3.2% (StdDev 6.4%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   3.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $205.22(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average  $185.33(12.12%)
20 Day Moving Average  $160.46(29.5%)
To recent high  -3%
To recent low  78.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 19.1% (three month std-dev: 6.4%) daily (68% of days).

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