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     Mon. Feb. 25, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)

UGAZ latest price $263125.0000 (11.67%) ($252500.0200 - $266566.2500) on Mon. Feb. 25, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  232.95% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $263125.0000(11.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  UGAZ advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UGAZ declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  USO(3%)    EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    OIH(2%)    PCY(2%)  
Factors Impacting UGAZ price  UGAZ will decline at least -116.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
  GLD(-4%)    XLP(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    XLY(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -116.475% (StdDev 232.95%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $239200(10%)
10 Day Moving Average  $235026.65(11.96%)
20 Day Moving Average  $243703.95(7.97%)
To recent high  -38.2%
To recent low  1102.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

Average daily price decay: -54.27%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 54.27% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 6.5% (three month std-dev: 232.95%) daily (68% of days).

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