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     Mon. Aug. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)

UGAZ latest price $364875.0000 (2.85%) ($331000.0000 - $367625.0000) on Mon. Aug. 6, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  259.64% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $364875.0000(2.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  UGAZ advances 32.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UGAZ advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  EMHY(2%)    EWJ(1%)    PCY(1%)    EWY(0%)    JNK(0%)  
Factors Impacting UGAZ price  UGAZ will decline at least -129.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
  GLD(-7%)    EWI(-4%)    REMX(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLP(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -129.82% (StdDev 259.64%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   5.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $242501.31(50.46%)
10 Day Moving Average  $184753.96(97.49%)
20 Day Moving Average  $234041.12(55.9%)
To recent high  -14.3%
To recent low  5404.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

Average daily price decay: -67.41%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 67.41% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 69.32% (three month std-dev: 259.64%) daily (68% of days).

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