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     Tue. Jul. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)

UGAZ latest price $378000.0000 (3.9%) ($366500.0000 - $378750.0000) on Tue. Jul. 3, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  10.06% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $378000.0000(3.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  UGAZ advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UGAZ advances 15.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    EWP(2%)    EWY(2%)    EEM(1%)  
Factors Impacting UGAZ price  UGAZ will decline at least -5.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
  GLD(-7%)    TLT(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLP(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -5.03% (StdDev 10.06%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $358485.75(5.44%)
10 Day Moving Average  $336141.25(12.45%)
20 Day Moving Average  $292212.04(29.36%)
To recent high  -11%
To recent low  106.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 19.51% (three month std-dev: 10.06%) daily (68% of days).

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