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     Mon. Apr. 30, 2012

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)

UGAZ latest price $270501.2500 (12.93%) ($228012.4800 - $271875.0000) on Mon. Apr. 30, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  80.93% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $270501.2500(12.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  UGAZ advances 5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UGAZ advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    EWP(2%)    EWY(2%)    EEM(1%)  
Factors Impacting UGAZ price  UGAZ will decline at least -40.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
  GLD(-7%)    TLT(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLP(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -40.465% (StdDev 80.93%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   18.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $232805.25(16.19%)
10 Day Moving Average  $215712.53(25.4%)
20 Day Moving Average  $226936.27(19.2%)
To recent high  -36.1%
To recent low  375.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

Average daily price decay: -6.55%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 6.55% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 12.96% (three month std-dev: 80.93%) daily (68% of days).

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