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     Mon. Jun. 25, 2018

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $120.8000 (0.22%) ($120.6400 - $121.1100) on Mon. Jun. 25, 2018.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.83 (0.69% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.62% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.1% (StdDev 0.62%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.1%
Latest Price  $120.8000(0.22%)
Forecasted Low Price  120.56(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  121.16(0.3%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.8%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (70% probability)
  TIP(67%)    BND(57%)    BWX(48%)    BNDX(45%)    LQD(39%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least 0% in a week (64% probabilities).
  TBT(-95%)    XLF(-51%)    VYM(-49%)    SDY(-49%)    IVE(-49%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.4
 
Relative Volatility   -1.8 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.1% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $120.8(0%)
Support Level  $120.2
5 Day Moving Average  $120.55(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average  $120.25(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $120.2(0.5%)
To recent high  -1.2%
To recent low  3.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.62%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20180725

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jun_25_2018120.2 (0.7%)120.25 (0.7%)120.55 (0.1%)  (0%)120.8(0.22%)120.64-121.110.6(0.7)0 %0.1%0%0.1% N/A  Range(0.1%)0571.10-2.1Uptrend 120.94(0.12%)120.7-121.058.36   -1.2%-3.9% 
2Jun_22_2018120.14 (0.8%)120.11 (0.6%)120.44 (0%)  (0%)120.53(-0.01%)120.06-120.620.3(0.5)0 %0.1%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0581.100.1Uptrend 120.69(0.13%)120.49-120.784.08   -1.4%-3.7% 
3Jun_21_2018120.06 (0.9%)120.01 (0.5%)120.41 (0%)  (0%)120.54(0.53%)120.22-120.750.4(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0501.20-0.4Uptrend 120.71(0.14%)120.47-120.87.24   -1.4%-3.7% 
4Jun_20_2018119.94 (0.8%)119.94 (0.3%)120.36 (0.1%)  (0%)119.91(-0.88%)119.9-120.79-0.2(-0)0 %0.1%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)0401.300.8Uptrend 120.1(0.16%)119.96-120.156.88   -1.9%-3.2% 
5Jun_19_2018119.81 (0.7%)119.83 (-0%)120.23 (0.3%)  (0%)120.97(0.58%)120.7-121.230.9(1)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.04% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0441.600.4Growing Uptrend 121.12(0.12%)120.77-121.26.13   -1%-4.1% 
 
6Jun_18_2018119.63 (0.5%)119.69 (-0.3%)119.91 (0.2%)  (0%)120.27(-0.09%)120.04-120.560.4(0.5)0 %0.1%0%-0.02% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0341.701.3Growing Uptrend 120.25(-0.02%)120.18-120.274.89   -1.6%-3.5% 
7Jun_15_2018119.49 (0.4%)119.6 (-0.4%)119.72 (0.1%)  (0%)120.38(0.09%)120.3-121.090.6(0.7)0 %0.1%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)0541.801.4Correction 119.98(-0.33%)119.71-120.317.99   -1.5%-3.6% 
8Jun_14_2018119.29 (0.2%)119.58 (-0.4%)119.55 (0.1%)  (0%)120.27(0.83%)119.48-120.30.7(0.7)0 %0%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0%)058201.7Correction 119.79(-0.4%)119.52-120.1210.08   -1.6%-3.5% 
9Jun_13_2018119.13 (0.2%)119.65 (-0.2%)119.47 (0.1%)  (0%)119.28(-0.05%)118.63-119.640.2(0.1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0592.101.3Range Bound 119.2(-0.07%)119.2-119.28.83   -2.4%-2.6% 
10Jun_12_2018119.03 (0.1%)119.85 (0%)119.36 (-0.1%)  (0%)119.34(0.03%)118.89-119.460.3(0.2)0 %-0.2%0%0.02% N/A  Range(-0.2%)0632.201.6Range Bound 119.28(-0.05%)119.1-119.426.05   -2.4%-2.7% 
 
11Jun_11_2018119 (0.1%)120.12 (0.3%)119.44 (-0%)  (0%)119.31(-0.18%)118.94-119.390.2(0.2)0 %-0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0.1%)0612.101.7Uptrend 119.51(0.17%)119.23-119.636.84   -2.4%-2.7% 
12Jun_8_2018118.99 (0.1%)120.17 (0.5%)119.46 (-0.1%)  (0%)119.53(-0.3%)119.44-119.850.3(0.3)0 %0%0%0.1% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0632.101.5Uptrend Consolidation 119.41(-0.1%)119.29-119.86.79   -2.2%-2.9% 
13Jun_7_2018118.95 (0.2%)120.13 (0.7%)119.61 (-0.2%)  (0%)119.89(0.97%)118.68-120.490.5(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0.14% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0682.101.4Uptrend 120.3(0.34%)119.73-120.5413.24   -1.9%-3.2% 
14Jun_6_2018118.95 (0.2%)119.96 (0.9%)119.88 (-0.5%)  (0%)118.74(-0.81%)118.42-119.1-0.1(-0.1)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0.18% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.4%)0612.101.6Uptrend Consolidation 118.86(0.1%)118.74-119.227.81   -2.9%-2.2% 
15Jun_5_2018118.86 (0.3%)119.83 (1.1%)120.42 (-0.4%)  (0%)119.71(0.23%)119.62-120.160.5(0.5)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0.22% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0632.200.8Uptrend 120.32(0.51%)119.51-120.685.64   -2.1%-3% 
 
16Jun_4_2018118.81 (0.4%)119.62 (1.2%)120.92 (-0%)  (0%)119.43(-0.72%)119.37-120.140.3(0.4)0 %0.1%0%0.26% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.5%)0542.200.3Uptrend 120.24(0.68%)119.35-120.637.16   -2.3%-2.8% 
17Jun_1_2018118.78 (0.4%)119.42 (1.1%)120.96 (0.2%)  (0%)120.3(-0.76%)119.85-120.710.8(1)0 %0.2%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)0532.100.7Growing Uptrend 121.27(0.81%)120.06-121.588.72   -1.6%-3.5% 
18May_31_2018118.69 (0.4%)119.03 (0.9%)120.68 (0.6%)  (0%)121.22(-0.16%)120.95-121.981.4(1.6)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)0592.100.1Growing Uptrend 122.02(0.66%)120.83-122.3210.77   -0.8%-4.3% 
19May_30_2018118.53 (0.3%)118.58 (0.7%)120.02 (0.7%)  (0%)121.42(-0.67%)120.74-121.481.8(2)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.14% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)0631.900.3Breakout 121.83(0.34%)120.95-122.2211.62   -0.7%-4.5% 
20May_29_2018118.37 (0.2%)118.14 (0.3%)119.15 (0.8%)  (0%)122.24(2.19%)120.43-122.522.8(3.1)0 0.2%0.3%-0.9%0.06% Overbought  Lower(-1.6%)0621.70-0.7Uptrend 122.31(0.06%)121.56-122.6321.67   0%-5.2% 
 
21May_25_2018118.18 (0%)117.72 (-0.2%)118.16 (0.4%)  (0%)119.62(0.62%)119.47-119.841.5(1.6)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.2%)0521.401.3N/A 119.29(-0.28%)118.87-119.628.48   -1.9%-2.9% 
22May_24_2018118.14 (-0.1%)117.64 (-0.5%)117.68 (0.5%)  (0%)118.88(0.8%)118.64-119.060.9(0.9)0 0.1%0%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0.1%)0471.301.2Downtrend Consolidation 118.77(-0.09%)118.62-118.828.2   -2.5%-2.3% 
23May_23_2018118.09 (-0.4%)117.64 (-0.9%)117.14 (0.2%)  (0%)117.94(0.73%)117.66-118.11-0.2(-0.2)0 %0%0%-0.1% N/A  Range(0%)0431.301.5After Bottom 117.81(-0.11%)117.49-118.079.63   -3.2%-1.5% 
24May_22_2018118.06 (-0.6%)117.62 (-1.1%)116.92 (-0%)  (0%)117.09(-0.15%)116.85-117.35-1(-1.1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.14% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0%)0431.301.6Downtrend 116.84(-0.21%)116.66-117.264.7   -3.9%-0.8% 
25May_21_2018118.1 (-0.8%)117.77 (-1.1%)116.95 (-0.2%)  (0%)117.27(0.05%)116.95-117.38-0.9(-1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.14% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0431.301.7Growing Downtrend 117.02(-0.21%)116.82-117.414.45   -3.8%-0.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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