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     Thu. Sep. 7, 2017



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Dec. 3, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $129.2800 (1.02%) ($128.3300 - $129.5700) on Thu. Sep. 7, 2017.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Breakout
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.4% a week (70% probability)
  TIP(68%)    BND(59%)    BWX(48%)    BNDX(46%)    LQD(41%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least -0% in a week (63% probabilities).
  TBT(-95%)    XLF(-49%)    IVE(-47%)    VYM(-46%)    SDY(-46%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the breakout
 
Valuation to SPY   1.1
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  0.6%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -0.6%
Recommended Position Size  125%
Latest Price  $129.2800
Next Hour Price  $129.28(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $129.46(0.14%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $128.86 - $129.72
Support Level  $127.1
5 Day Moving Average  $128.15(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average  $127.78(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average  $127.1(1.72%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  5.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 0.58%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20171007

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_7_20170%-5.3% 0.6%,0.8(0.1)0.6%,0.7(0)0.3%,0.300%0.5%2.2001.3NAN%013.62   129.28(1.02%)128.33-129.57Breakout 129.46(0.14%)128.86-129.7265
2Sep_6_2017-0.6%-4.3% 0.5%,0.8(0)0.5%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.5%1.2001.2NAN%09.07   127.97(-0.61%)127.74-129Uptrend 128.16(0.15%)127.74-128.3365
3Sep_5_20170%-4.9% 0.5%,0.7(0)0.6%,0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.300%0.5%2.1001.4NAN%015.22   128.76(1.59%)127.69-128.8Overbought 127.99(-0.6%)127.17-129.2172
4Sep_1_2017-1.2%-3.3% 0.5%,0.7(-0.1)0.6%,0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%0.5%0.2001.3NAN%014.13   126.75(-0.97%)126.43-127.34Uptrend 126.97(0.17%)126.7-127.0859
5Aug_31_2017-0.2%-4.3% 0.6%,0.8(-0.1)0.6%,0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.6001.4NAN%07.98   127.99(0.3%)127.57-128.03Uptrend 128.25(0.2%)127.7-128.4761
 
6Aug_30_2017-0.5%-4% 0.6%,0.9(-0)0.6%,0.7(-0)0.1%,0.100%0.6%1.3001.4NAN%04.74   127.61(-0.03%)127.34-127.74Uptrend 127.84(0.18%)127.37-128.0460
7Aug_29_2017-0.5%-4% 0.7%,0.9(0)0.6%,0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.300%0.5%1.5001.4NAN%07.66   127.65(0.32%)127.31-128.52Uptrend 127.91(0.2%)127.36-128.1367
8Aug_28_2017-0.8%-3.7% 0.7%,0.8(0.1)0.5%,0.7(-0)0.1%,0.100%0.5%1.2001.4NAN%04.45   127.24(-0.06%)126.73-127.39Uptrend 127.48(0.19%)127.02-127.6969
9Aug_25_2017-0.7%-3.7% 0.6%,0.8(0.1)0.6%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.5%1.4001.5NAN%07.3   127.32(0.39%)126.87-127.45Uptrend 127.56(0.19%)127.04-127.7865
10Aug_24_2017-1.1%-3.3% 0.5%,0.6(0.1)0.6%,0.7(-0)0%,000%0.5%1001.6NAN%05.57   126.83(-0.37%)126.72-127.31Uptrend 127.11(0.22%)126.61-127.3364
 
11Aug_23_2017-0.7%-3.9% 0.5%,0.5(0.1)0.7%,0.7(0.1)0.3%,0.300%0.7%1.6001.6NAN%07.45   127.3(0.68%)126.76-127.31Growing Uptrend 127.64(0.27%)126.96-127.8157
12Aug_22_2017-1.4%-3.2% 0.3%,0.4(0.1)0.6%,0.6(0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1001.6NAN%06.14   126.44(-0.39%)126.27-126.81Growing Uptrend 126.76(0.25%)126.22-126.8961
13Aug_21_2017-1%-3.6% 0.3%,0.3(-0)0.5%,0.6(0)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.6001.6NAN%07.67   126.93(0.24%)126.5-127.02Uptrend 127.06(0.1%)126.6-127.2664
14Aug_18_2017-1.3%-3.3% 0.3%,0.3(-0.1)0.5%,0.6(-0.1)0%,000%0.5%1.5001.5NAN%08.38   126.62(-0.02%)126.26-127.15Uptrend 126.75(0.1%)126.31-126.9366
15Aug_17_2017-1.3%-3.4% 0.3%,0.4(-0.1)0.5%,0.7(-0.3)0%,0.100%0.4%1.7001.4NAN%09.36   126.65(0.75%)125.51-126.68Uptrend Consolidation 126.21(-0.35%)125.98-126.8767
 
16Aug_16_2017-2%-3.5% 0.4%,0.6(-0)0.7%,1(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.5%0.8001.2NAN%05.28   125.71(0.37%)124.81-126.02Uptrend 125.95(0.19%)125.58-126.1168
17Aug_15_2017-2.3%-3.5% 0.4%,0.6(-0)0.8%,1.1(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.4%0.3001.2NAN%07.47   125.25(-0.42%)124.71-125.54Uptrend 125.51(0.21%)125.21-125.6460
18Aug_14_2017-1.9%-3.9% 0.5%,0.6(0)0.8%,1.1(0.2)0.1%,0.200%0.4%1001.3NAN%05.11   125.78(-0.51%)125.73-126.28Growing Uptrend 126.11(0.26%)125.6-126.2365
19Aug_11_2017-1.4%-4.9% 0.5%,0.6(0.1)0.7%,0.9(0.3)0.2%,0.300%0.3%1.7001.3NAN%05.72   126.43(0.05%)125.55-126.46Growing Uptrend 126.71(0.22%)126.12-126.8555
20Aug_10_2017-1.5%-4.9% 0.4%,0.6(0)0.4%,0.6(0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.3%1.9001.3NAN%010.38   126.37(0.85%)125.52-126.44Growing Uptrend 126.52(0.12%)126.03-126.6451
 
21Aug_9_2017-2.3%-4% 0.4%,0.6(0.1)0.3%,0.4(0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.1%1001.2NAN%09.22   125.3(0.55%)125.2-125.95Growing Uptrend 125.43(0.1%)125.14-125.550
22Aug_8_2017-2.8%-3.4% 0.4%,0.5(0.1)0.1%,0.2(0.1)0%,000%0.1%0.2001.2NAN%06.2   124.62(-0.36%)124.15-124.98Growing Uptrend 124.71(0.07%)124.58-124.7449
23Aug_7_2017-2.5%-3.8% 0.3%,0.4(0.2)0%,0.1(-0)0.2%,0.200%0%0.8001.3NAN%04.68   125.07(0.11%)124.61-125.1N/A 124.99(-0.06%)124.67-125.2751
24Aug_4_2017-2.6%-3.7% 0.2%,0.2(0.2)0.1%,0.1(-0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.1%0.7001.3NAN%08.49   124.93(-0.85%)124.44-125.18N/A 124.86(-0.06%)124.58-125.0758
25Aug_3_2017-1.8%-4.6% 0%,0.1(0.3)0.1%,0.2(0.1)0.5%,0.600%0.3%2001.3NAN%010.32   126(1.03%)125.26-126.02Breakout 125.99(-0.01%)125.65-126.1466
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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