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     Mon. Oct. 21, 2013



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $106.7000 (-0.32%) ($106.4600 - $106.9200) on Mon. Oct. 21, 2013.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.2% a week (71% probability)
  TIP(73%)    LQD(55%)    BNDX(52%)    SHY(45%)    IGOV(35%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.6% in a week (36% probabilities).
  SPY(-40%)    IWM(-37%)    XLY(-35%)    XLK(-35%)    XAR(-34%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1
 
Relative Volatility   -1.7 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $106.7000
Next Hour Price  $106.7(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $106.76(0.06%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $106.58 - $106.84
Support Level  $106.02
5 Day Moving Average  $106.19(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average  $105.83(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average  $106.02(0.64%)
To recent high  -2.4%
To recent low  4.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 0.77%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20131121

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_21_2013-2.4%-4.5% 0.3%,0.5(-0)0.2%,0.3(0.4)0.4%,0.600%-0.2%1000.8NAN%06.16   106.7(-0.32%)106.46-106.92Uptrend 106.76(0.06%)106.58-106.8457
2Oct_18_2013-2.1%-4.8% 0.3%,0.5(0)-0.1%,-0.1(0.4)0.3%,0.400%-0.2%1.5000.8NAN%09.49   107.04(0.22%)106.98-107.48N/A 106.8(-0.22%)106.39-107.1553
3Oct_17_2013-2.3%-4.6% 0.3%,0.5(0)-0.3%,-0.4(0.3)0.3%,0.400%-0.2%1.3000.9NAN%011.31   106.81(0.91%)106.29-107.12N/A 106.55(-0.24%)106.25-106.8149
4Oct_16_2013-3.2%-3.6% 0.3%,0.4(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.7(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-0.2%0.2000.9NAN%014.46   105.85(1.25%)104.27-105.86Downtrend 105.8(-0.05%)105.78-105.8344
5Oct_15_2013-4.4%-2.4% 0.4%,0.4(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.400%-0.2%-1.4001NAN%08.29   104.54(-0.07%)104.53-105.3Correction 103.91(-0.6%)103.8-104.3823
 
6Oct_14_2013-4.3%-2.4% 0.5%,0.5(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.6(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.300%-0%-1.1001.2NAN%04.21   104.61(-0.81%)104.33-105.64Correction 104.03(-0.55%)103.92-104.5128
7Oct_11_2013-3.6%-3.3% 0.6%,0.6(-0)-0.4%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.1%,-000%0.2%-0.1001.3NAN%06.5   105.46(-0.03%)105.41-106.23Correction 105.03(-0.41%)104.93-105.4650
8Oct_10_2013-3.5%-3.3% 0.6%,0.6(-0)-0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%0.4%-0001.4NAN%09.95   105.49(0.16%)104.51-105.53Correction 105.12(-0.35%)105.02-105.5557
9Oct_9_2013-3.7%-3.1% 0.7%,0.6(-0)-0%,-0(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%0.6%-0.1001.5NAN%08.44   105.32(-0.8%)105.3-105.94Correction 105.05(-0.26%)104.94-105.4561
10Oct_8_2013-2.9%-4% 0.7%,0.5(0.1)0.2%,0.2(-0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.8%0.6001.7NAN%05.9   106.17(0.03%)105.83-106.51Uptrend 106.32(0.14%)105.99-106.4561
 
11Oct_7_2013-2.9%-3.9% 0.6%,0.4(0.1)0.5%,0.3(-0.2)-0.1%,-000%1%0.7001.7NAN%05.76   106.14(0.41%)105.98-106.36Uptrend Consolidation 105.87(-0.25%)105.7-106.3868
12Oct_4_2013-3.3%-3.5% 0.5%,0.4(0.1)0.8%,0.5(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%1.1%0.5001.5NAN%05.55   105.71(-0.08%)105.35-105.78Uptrend 105.92(0.2%)105.56-106.0871
13Oct_3_2013-3.8%-3.6% 0.4%,0.3(0.1)1%,0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%1.2%0.6001.6NAN%06.65   105.79(-0.16%)105.7-106.41Uptrend 106.05(0.25%)105.6-106.2665
14Oct_2_2013-4%-3.8% 0.3%,0.2(0)1.2%,0.8(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%1.2%0.8001.6NAN%05.97   105.96(0.15%)105.76-106.48Uptrend Consolidation 105.64(-0.3%)105.42-106.3268
15Oct_1_2013-4.2%-3.6% 0.3%,0.2(-0)1.5%,1(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%1.3%0.8001.5NAN%07.59   105.8(-0.56%)105.53-106.03Uptrend 106.14(0.32%)105.54-106.466
 
16Sep_30_2013-3.6%-4.2% 0.3%,0.2(-0)1.7%,1.2(0)0.1%,0.100%1.2%1.2001.6NAN%08.44   106.4(-0.15%)106.18-106.9Uptrend 106.89(0.46%)106.06-107.2474
17Sep_27_2013-3.5%-4.3% 0.4%,0.3(-0)1.7%,1.2(0.1)0.3%,0.200%0.9%1.4001.5NAN%06.46   106.56(0.24%)106.25-106.82Uptrend 107.02(0.43%)106.14-107.3968
18Sep_26_2013-3.7%-4.1% 0.4%,0.3(-0)1.6%,1.1(0.1)0.4%,0.300%0.6%1.3001.5NAN%05.12   106.3(-0.7%)106.19-106.62Uptrend 106.76(0.43%)105.93-107.1168
19Sep_25_2013-3.1%-4.8% 0.4%,0.3(-0)1.5%,1.1(0.2)0.4%,0.300%0.4%1.9001.4NAN%08.13   107.05(0.21%)106.39-107.28Growing Uptrend 107.52(0.44%)106.51-107.7774
20Sep_24_2013-3.3%-4.6% 0.5%,0.4(0)1.2%,0.9(0.4)0.6%,0.500%0.1%1.9001.4NAN%011.45   106.83(1.08%)105.85-106.84Growing Uptrend 107.21(0.36%)106.32-107.4462
 
21Sep_23_2013-4.3%-3.5% 0.4%,0.4(0.1)0.7%,0.6(0.5)0.6%,0.500%-0.2%1.3001.2NAN%010.24   105.69(0.72%)105.11-105.73Uptrend 105.85(0.15%)105.39-106.0556
22Sep_20_2013-5%-2.7% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)0.2%,0.2(0.4)0.3%,0.200%-0.4%0.7001.2NAN%08.42   104.93(0.54%)104.45-105.18Uptrend 104.97(0.04%)104.79-105.0542
23Sep_19_2013-6.9%-2.2% 0.2%,0.2(0.2)-0.2%,-0.2(0.3)0.2%,0.200%-0.5%0.3001.2NAN%011.63   104.37(-0.59%)104.16-105.09N/A 104.3(-0.07%)104.2-104.3739
24Sep_18_2013-7.3%-2.8% 0%,0(0.1)-0.6%,-0.5(0.3)0.3%,0.300%-0.6%0.9001.2NAN%019.75   104.99(1.23%)102.98-105.55Downtrend 104.84(-0.14%)104.87-104.7747
25Sep_17_2013-8.4%-1.5% -0.2%,-0.1(0.2)-1%,-0.9(0.2)0.3%,0.200%-0.6%-0.1001.2NAN%08.8   103.71(0.83%)102.97-103.74Downtrend 103.51(-0.19%)103.41-103.7436
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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