Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $87.7300 (0.05%) ($87.6600 - $88.0300) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   N/A
Trend Narrative   N/A
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.4 (0.46% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0% (StdDev 0.42%)
Daily Moving Force   %
Trend   0.04%
Latest Price   $87.7300(0.05%)
Forecasted Low Price   87.64(-0.1%)
Forecasted High Price   87.82(0.1%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0%)
Hourly Trend 0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at -0% a week (69% probability)
TIP(68%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(42%)    GLD(15%)    VXX(5%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will advance at least -0% in a week (42% probabilities).
SPY(-44%)    IWM(-42%)    VGK(-41%)    EWI(-41%)    XLY(-40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -0

Relative Volatility -1.6 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Next Hour Price   $87.73(0%)
Support Level   $87.34
5 Day Moving Average   $87.45(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.53(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.34(0.45%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.42% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061013

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Sep_13_2006	87.34 (1%)	87.53 (0%)	87.45 (0.2%)		(0%)	87.73(0.05%)	87.66-88.03	1(1)	0	%	0%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0%)	0	61	1.1	0	0	N/A	87.69(-0.05%)	87.49-87.85	0.8	-0.4%-5.4%
2	Sep_12_2006	87.25 (0.8%)	87.51 (-0%)	87.32 (0.1%)		(0%)	87.69(0.5%)	87-87.71	0.7(0.9)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	62	1.3	0	0	N/A	87.66(-0.03%)	87.51-87.8	0.82	-0.4%-5.4%
3	Sep_11_2006	87.14 (0.5%)	87.49 (-0%)	87.24 (-0.1%)		(0%)	87.25(-0.09%)	86.95-87.49	0.2(0.2)	0	%	0%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Range(0%)	0	56	1.8	0	0	Correction	87.21(-0.05%)	87.12-87.31	0.56	-0.9%-4.8%
4	Sep_8_2006	87.05 (0.4%)	87.49 (0.1%)	87.34 (-0.2%)		(0%)	87.33(0.08%)	87.33-87.6	0.4(0.4)	0	%	0%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0%)	0	64	2	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	87.23(-0.11%)	87.18-87.4	0.54	-0.9%-4.9%
5	Sep_7_2006	86.98 (0.4%)	87.52 (0.3%)	87.49 (-0.1%)		(0%)	87.26(0.2%)	86.74-87.32	0.4(0.4)	0	%	0%	0%	0.06%	N/A	Range(0%)	0	67	2.1	0	0	Uptrend	87.4(0.16%)	87.18-87.49	1.72	-0.9%-4.8%

6	Sep_6_2006	86.92 (0.5%)	87.51 (0.5%)	87.61 (-0.1%)		(0%)	87.09(-0.19%)	86.72-87.09	0.2(0.2)	0	%	0%	0%	0.08%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	65	2.2	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	87.08(-0.01%)	87.01-87.31	1.85	-1.1%-4.6%
7	Sep_5_2006	86.87 (0.6%)	87.53 (0.7%)	87.72 (-0.1%)		(0%)	87.26(-0.57%)	87.16-87.64	0.5(0.5)	0	%	0%	0%	0.12%	Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	0	76	2.2	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	87.21(-0.06%)	87.1-87.56	2.27	-0.9%-4.8%
8	Sep_1_2006	86.83 (0.6%)	87.52 (0.9%)	87.77 (0.1%)		(0%)	87.76(-0.36%)	87.47-87.9	1(1.1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	0	91	2.1	0	0	After Top	88.01(0.29%)	87.27-88.62	0.89	-0.4%-5.4%
9	Aug_31_2006	86.75 (0.7%)	87.42 (1.1%)	87.71 (0.2%)		(0%)	88.08(0.24%)	87.74-88.2	1.4(1.7)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	93	2.1	0	0	Uptrend	88.49(0.47%)	87.86-88.77	1.27	0%-5.8%
10	Aug_30_2006	86.64 (0.7%)	87.26 (1.1%)	87.56 (0.2%)		(0%)	87.87(0.26%)	87.66-87.87	1.5(1.6)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	81	2	0	0	Uptrend	88.23(0.41%)	87.64-88.49	1.18	0%-5.6%

11	Aug_29_2006	86.53 (0.7%)	87.13 (1.2%)	87.41 (0.1%)		(0%)	87.64(0.14%)	86.98-87.64	1.3(1.5)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	76	1.9	0	0	Uptrend	88(0.41%)	87.46-88.23	1.35	0%-5.3%
12	Aug_28_2006	86.42 (0.7%)	86.97 (1.2%)	87.31 (0.1%)		(0%)	87.52(0.09%)	87.24-87.52	1.3(1.6)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	68	1.8	0	0	Growing Uptrend	87.91(0.44%)	87.35-88.04	0.58	0%-5.2%
13	Aug_25_2006	86.33 (0.8%)	86.75 (1%)	87.22 (0.2%)		(0%)	87.44(0.15%)	87.2-87.59	1.4(1.7)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.14%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	63	1.7	0	0	Growing Uptrend	87.75(0.35%)	87.26-87.87	0.57	0%-5.1%
14	Aug_24_2006	86.24 (0.8%)	86.55 (0.8%)	87.08 (0.2%)		(0%)	87.31(0.18%)	87.24-87.44	1.4(1.7)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.12%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	63	1.6	0	0	Growing Uptrend	87.55(0.28%)	87.13-87.66	1.21	0%-4.9%
15	Aug_23_2006	86.13 (0.7%)	86.4 (0.7%)	86.93 (0.1%)		(0%)	87.15(0.05%)	86.86-87.24	1.6(1.7)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.1%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	67	1.5	0	0	Uptrend	87.31(0.18%)	86.97-87.45	0.8	0%-4.7%

16	Aug_22_2006	86.04 (0.7%)	86.27 (0.7%)	86.81 (0.3%)		(0%)	87.11(0.03%)	86.97-87.23	1.7(1.8)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.1%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	67	1.5	0	0	Growing Uptrend	87.28(0.2%)	86.92-87.38	0.75	0%-4.7%
17	Aug_21_2006	85.93 (0.7%)	86.16 (0.6%)	86.58 (0.4%)		(0%)	87.08(0.36%)	86.87-87.08	1.9(2.1)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.08%	Overbought	Range(0.2%)	0	70	1.4	0	0	Breakout	87.19(0.13%)	86.88-87.33	0.68	0%-4.6%
18	Aug_18_2006	85.84 (0.6%)	86.08 (0.4%)	86.21 (0.3%)		(0%)	86.77(0.29%)	86.65-86.91	1.7(1.9)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.06%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	61	1.3	0	0	Growing Uptrend	86.86(0.1%)	86.61-86.92	1.05	0%-4.3%
19	Aug_17_2006	85.77 (0.5%)	86.02 (0.2%)	85.94 (0.2%)		(0%)	86.52(-0.03%)	86.42-86.77	1.5(1.7)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	60	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	86.55(0.03%)	86.39-86.61	0.92	-0%-4.1%
20	Aug_16_2006	85.71 (0.4%)	85.95 (0.2%)	85.79 (0.2%)		(0%)	86.55(0.67%)	86.46-86.64	1.8(2)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.02%	Overbought	Range(0.1%)	0	66	1	0	0	Breakout	86.55(0%)	86.4-86.61	0.84	0%-4.2%

21	Aug_15_2006	85.64 (0.4%)	85.86 (0.1%)	85.66 (-0.1%)		(0%)	85.97(0.84%)	85.78-86.09	0.5(0.7)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	59	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	85.99(0.02%)	85.92-86.02	1.09	-0.5%-3.6%
22	Aug_14_2006	85.64 (0.4%)	85.82 (0.2%)	85.7 (-0.3%)		(0%)	85.25(-0.18%)	85.19-85.37	-0.5(-0.7)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	0	56	1.1	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	85.31(0.07%)	85.32-85.28	0.66	-1.3%-2.7%
23	Aug_11_2006	85.57 (0.6%)	85.88 (0.6%)	85.92 (-0.2%)		(0%)	85.4(-0.43%)	85.36-85.53	-0.4(-0.4)	0	%	-0%	0%	0.06%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	54	1.1	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	85.47(0.08%)	85.47-85.47	0.45	-1.1%-3.3%
24	Aug_10_2006	85.56 (0.8%)	85.92 (0.9%)	85.92 (0%)		(0%)	85.77(-0.15%)	85.45-85.85	0.3(0.4)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.1%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	0	58	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	85.9(0.15%)	85.75-85.96	0.54	-0.7%-3.8%
25	Aug_9_2006	85.52 (0.9%)	85.87 (0.8%)	86.11 (0%)		(0%)	85.9(-0.32%)	85.71-86.02	0.6(0.8)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.1%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	0	56	1.2	0	0	Uptrend	86.02(0.14%)	85.84-86.1	0.37	-0.5%-3.9%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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