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     Wed. Sep. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $87.7300 (0.05%) ($87.6600 - $88.0300) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  N/A
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.4 (0.46% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.42% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0% (StdDev 0.42%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Trend   0.04%
Latest Price  $87.7300(0.05%)
Forecasted Low Price  87.64(-0.1%)
Forecasted High Price  87.82(0.1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0%)
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at -0% a week (69% probability)
  TIP(68%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(42%)    GLD(15%)    VXX(5%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least -0% in a week (42% probabilities).
  SPY(-44%)    IWM(-42%)    VGK(-41%)    EWI(-41%)    XLY(-40%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY -0
 
Relative Volatility   -1.6 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $87.73(0%)
Support Level  $87.34
5 Day Moving Average  $87.45(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average  $87.53(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average  $87.34(0.45%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  5.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.42%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20061013

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Sep_13_200687.34 (1%)87.53 (0%)87.45 (0.2%)  (0%)87.73(0.05%)87.66-88.031(1)0 %0%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0%)0611.100N/A 87.69(-0.05%)87.49-87.850.8   -0.4%-5.4% 
2Sep_12_200687.25 (0.8%)87.51 (-0%)87.32 (0.1%)  (0%)87.69(0.5%)87-87.710.7(0.9)0 %0.1%0%0.02% N/A  Range(0.1%)0621.300N/A 87.66(-0.03%)87.51-87.80.82   -0.4%-5.4% 
3Sep_11_200687.14 (0.5%)87.49 (-0%)87.24 (-0.1%)  (0%)87.25(-0.09%)86.95-87.490.2(0.2)0 %0%0%0.02% N/A  Range(0%)0561.800Correction 87.21(-0.05%)87.12-87.310.56   -0.9%-4.8% 
4Sep_8_200687.05 (0.4%)87.49 (0.1%)87.34 (-0.2%)  (0%)87.33(0.08%)87.33-87.60.4(0.4)0 %0%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0%)064200Uptrend Consolidation 87.23(-0.11%)87.18-87.40.54   -0.9%-4.9% 
5Sep_7_200686.98 (0.4%)87.52 (0.3%)87.49 (-0.1%)  (0%)87.26(0.2%)86.74-87.320.4(0.4)0 %0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0%)0672.100Uptrend 87.4(0.16%)87.18-87.491.72   -0.9%-4.8% 
 
6Sep_6_200686.92 (0.5%)87.51 (0.5%)87.61 (-0.1%)  (0%)87.09(-0.19%)86.72-87.090.2(0.2)0 %0%0%0.08% N/A  Range(0.1%)0652.200Uptrend Consolidation 87.08(-0.01%)87.01-87.311.85   -1.1%-4.6% 
7Sep_5_200686.87 (0.6%)87.53 (0.7%)87.72 (-0.1%)  (0%)87.26(-0.57%)87.16-87.640.5(0.5)0 %0%0%0.12% Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)0762.200Uptrend Consolidation 87.21(-0.06%)87.1-87.562.27   -0.9%-4.8% 
8Sep_1_200686.83 (0.6%)87.52 (0.9%)87.77 (0.1%)  (0%)87.76(-0.36%)87.47-87.91(1.1)0 %0.1%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)0912.100After Top 88.01(0.29%)87.27-88.620.89   -0.4%-5.4% 
9Aug_31_200686.75 (0.7%)87.42 (1.1%)87.71 (0.2%)  (0%)88.08(0.24%)87.74-88.21.4(1.7)0 %0.2%0%0.18% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0932.100Uptrend 88.49(0.47%)87.86-88.771.27   0%-5.8% 
10Aug_30_200686.64 (0.7%)87.26 (1.1%)87.56 (0.2%)  (0%)87.87(0.26%)87.66-87.871.5(1.6)0 %0.1%0%0.18% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)081200Uptrend 88.23(0.41%)87.64-88.491.18   0%-5.6% 
 
11Aug_29_200686.53 (0.7%)87.13 (1.2%)87.41 (0.1%)  (0%)87.64(0.14%)86.98-87.641.3(1.5)0 %0.2%0%0.18% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0761.900Uptrend 88(0.41%)87.46-88.231.35   0%-5.3% 
12Aug_28_200686.42 (0.7%)86.97 (1.2%)87.31 (0.1%)  (0%)87.52(0.09%)87.24-87.521.3(1.6)0 %0.2%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0681.800Growing Uptrend 87.91(0.44%)87.35-88.040.58   0%-5.2% 
13Aug_25_200686.33 (0.8%)86.75 (1%)87.22 (0.2%)  (0%)87.44(0.15%)87.2-87.591.4(1.7)0 %0.2%0%0.14% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0631.700Growing Uptrend 87.75(0.35%)87.26-87.870.57   0%-5.1% 
14Aug_24_200686.24 (0.8%)86.55 (0.8%)87.08 (0.2%)  (0%)87.31(0.18%)87.24-87.441.4(1.7)0 %0.2%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0631.600Growing Uptrend 87.55(0.28%)87.13-87.661.21   0%-4.9% 
15Aug_23_200686.13 (0.7%)86.4 (0.7%)86.93 (0.1%)  (0%)87.15(0.05%)86.86-87.241.6(1.7)0 %0.1%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0671.500Uptrend 87.31(0.18%)86.97-87.450.8   0%-4.7% 
 
16Aug_22_200686.04 (0.7%)86.27 (0.7%)86.81 (0.3%)  (0%)87.11(0.03%)86.97-87.231.7(1.8)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.1% N/A  Range(0.2%)0671.500Growing Uptrend 87.28(0.2%)86.92-87.380.75   0%-4.7% 
17Aug_21_200685.93 (0.7%)86.16 (0.6%)86.58 (0.4%)  (0%)87.08(0.36%)86.87-87.081.9(2.1)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.08% Overbought  Range(0.2%)0701.400Breakout 87.19(0.13%)86.88-87.330.68   0%-4.6% 
18Aug_18_200685.84 (0.6%)86.08 (0.4%)86.21 (0.3%)  (0%)86.77(0.29%)86.65-86.911.7(1.9)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0.2%)0611.300Growing Uptrend 86.86(0.1%)86.61-86.921.05   0%-4.3% 
19Aug_17_200685.77 (0.5%)86.02 (0.2%)85.94 (0.2%)  (0%)86.52(-0.03%)86.42-86.771.5(1.7)0 %0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)0601.100Uptrend 86.55(0.03%)86.39-86.610.92   -0%-4.1% 
20Aug_16_200685.71 (0.4%)85.95 (0.2%)85.79 (0.2%)  (0%)86.55(0.67%)86.46-86.641.8(2)0 %0.1%0%0.02% Overbought  Range(0.1%)066100Breakout 86.55(0%)86.4-86.610.84   0%-4.2% 
 
21Aug_15_200685.64 (0.4%)85.86 (0.1%)85.66 (-0.1%)  (0%)85.97(0.84%)85.78-86.090.5(0.7)0 %0.1%0%0.02% N/A  Range(0.1%)0591.100Uptrend 85.99(0.02%)85.92-86.021.09   -0.5%-3.6% 
22Aug_14_200685.64 (0.4%)85.82 (0.2%)85.7 (-0.3%)  (0%)85.25(-0.18%)85.19-85.37-0.5(-0.7)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0561.100Uptrend Consolidation 85.31(0.07%)85.32-85.280.66   -1.3%-2.7% 
23Aug_11_200685.57 (0.6%)85.88 (0.6%)85.92 (-0.2%)  (0%)85.4(-0.43%)85.36-85.53-0.4(-0.4)0 %-0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0.2%)0541.100Uptrend Consolidation 85.47(0.08%)85.47-85.470.45   -1.1%-3.3% 
24Aug_10_200685.56 (0.8%)85.92 (0.9%)85.92 (0%)  (0%)85.77(-0.15%)85.45-85.850.3(0.4)0 %0.1%0%0.1% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0581.100Uptrend 85.9(0.15%)85.75-85.960.54   -0.7%-3.8% 
25Aug_9_200685.52 (0.9%)85.87 (0.8%)86.11 (0%)  (0%)85.9(-0.32%)85.71-86.020.6(0.8)0 %0.1%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)0561.200Uptrend 86.02(0.14%)85.84-86.10.37   -0.5%-3.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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