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     Fri. Aug. 6, 2004

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $86.4200 (1.68%) ($86.1200 - $86.8600) on Fri. Aug. 6, 2004.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.66% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $86.4200(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  TIP(69%)    LQD(46%)    SHY(43%)    REMX(-1%)    XLU(-12%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
  SPY(-34%)    EWP(-33%)    EWI(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWG(-32%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $85.05(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average  $84.52(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average  $84.62(2.13%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  7.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

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