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     Tue. Jul. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $137.7100 (-0.7%) ($137.7100 - $138.8700) on Tue. Jul. 31, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.01% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $137.7100(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(78%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $137.04(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average  $136.61(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average  $136.04(1.23%)
To recent high  -2.2%
To recent low  7.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

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