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     Mon. Oct. 25, 2010

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $118.7000 (0.3%) ($118.6100 - $119.7600) on Mon. Oct. 25, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.97% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $118.7000(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(89%)    IWM(88%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(80%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $117.96(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $117.86(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average  $116.65(1.76%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  12.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.3
One Month Target Price  > $118.7
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $112.94
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.1% away from the target price of 118.7.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

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