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     Tue. Apr. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $147.0900 (0.27%) ($146.6500 - $147.4000) on Tue. Apr. 17, 2007.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.81% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $147.0900(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(19%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $145.56(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average  $144.92(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average  $143.75(2.32%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  7.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2.2
One Month Target Price  > $148.56
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $142.54
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1% away from the target price of 148.56.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

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