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     Mon. Jan. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $115.8700 (1.26%) ($114.3800 - $115.9300) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2004.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.62% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $115.8700(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(83%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(18%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $114.88(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average  $114.22(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average  $113.09(2.46%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  11.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2
One Month Target Price  > $115.87
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $112.28
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.6% away from the target price of 115.87.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

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