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     Fri. Oct. 10, 2003

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $104.5700 (0.28%) ($103.9100 - $104.6000) on Fri. Oct. 10, 2003.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.82% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $104.5700(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(82%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-33%)    SHY(-21%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(17%)    OIH(64%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $104.19(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $103.06(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average  $102.72(1.8%)
To recent high  -0%
To recent low  8.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.3
One Month Target Price  > $104.57
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $100.28
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.3% away from the target price of 104.57.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

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